Mexico Banxico to hike right after US Fed
Jul 02, 2015 03:45 am UTC| Commentary
Banxico announced changes to its monetary policy calendar to coordinate decisions along with the US Fed. The press release mentions that the relative monetary position with the US has an important effect in the evolution...
Weak EM to pose downside risk to global growth and manufacturing
Jul 02, 2015 03:40 am UTC| Commentary
Emerging markets sentiment was generally week almost everywhere. But, global manufacturing output should show an improvement in upcoming months, given the strength of the leading DM economies, the apparent signs of...
US investments continue to keep previous debt sustainable
Jul 02, 2015 03:15 am UTC| Commentary
US continues to pile up positive net investment income, despite a net -$7tn investment position. This positive income in light of a large negative NIIP position is a striking contrast to other countries, such as Germany or...
Fundamentals supporting secular USD strength
Jul 02, 2015 03:07 am UTC| Commentary
Recent US net international investment position data remain consistent with our view for a secular positive trend in USD. USD strengthening since the crisis, compared to when the EUR-USD was around 1.60 in summer 2008,...

South Korea's large current account surplus increases pressure to weaken FX
Jul 02, 2015 02:20 am UTC| Commentary
South Koreas current account surplus widened to USD8.7bn in May (April: USD8.1bn; March: USD10.4bn), broadly in line with the forecast (USD8.5bn). The slightly bigger surplus was driven by a substantial improvement in the...
Better US data though RoW looks soft
Jul 02, 2015 01:56 am UTC| Commentary
Stronger US data gave a bid tone to USD ahead of tonights payrolls. ADP came in above expectations at 237K (cons 218K) while ISM also beat expectations at 53.5 (cons 53.2), despite yesterdays soft Chicago PMI which rattled...
Jul 02, 2015 01:15 am UTC| Commentary
Macro/CTA funds had their largest drawdown on Monday since August 2007 as risk assets collapsed and the euro rallied, accordiing to Barclays research note to its clients. With markets in flux after the Greece-induced...