Mixed signals from the U.S. Jobs Report
Jul 02, 2015 16:54 pm UTC| Commentary
The U.S. jobs report was released today, giving investors mixed feelings. Certain numbers indicate a strong economy bouncing back from a tepid first quarter while other data foreshadows an economy trapped in the same low...
September still a strong contender for FED to hike Interest rate
Jul 02, 2015 16:33 pm UTC| Commentary
The Feds conditions for lift-off include further progress on the labor market, steady or rising core inflation and confirmation that the Q1 slowdown in GDP was transitory. Importantly, a pickup in wage growth is not a...
US Household employment fell unexpectedly
Jul 02, 2015 16:06 pm UTC| Commentary
Employment in the household survey fell by 56k in June, the first such monthly decline since March 2014. The household survey is frequently volatile on a month-to-month basis. It is expected to be clearer in longer-term...
US soft average hourly earnings
Jul 02, 2015 15:27 pm UTC| Commentary
Elsewhere in the establishment survey, average hourly earnings were flat on the month and up 2.0% y/y. Average earnings for production and nonsupervisory employees were up 0.1% m/m and 1.9% y/y. Both numbers underperformed...
US Payrolls,back to sustainable trend
Jul 02, 2015 14:56 pm UTC| Commentary
Nonfarm payrolls rose by 223k in June, a bit below estimated expectation of 250k and in line with market consensus of a 230k rise. The shortfall relative expectation came mainly in goods producing sectors and the...
June US employment: Softer than expected, but not decisive enough to alter the Fed’s outlook
Jul 02, 2015 14:38 pm UTC| Commentary
At a gain of 223k with net revisions of -60k to previous months of data and flat earnings growth, the tone of the establishment survey was softer than we and consensus expected. May payrolls are now reported as rising by...
US labor market: not bad, but not yet good enough for Fed
Jul 02, 2015 14:12 pm UTC| Commentary
The US labor market continued to recover in June but all in all the employment report failed to meet expectations. While the number of jobs increased by 223k, wages were flat. The unemployment rate fell to 5.3%, a level...