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FxWirePro: Three major driving forces for BoE’s status quo with a hawkish twist – Gaining traction of hedging bids for bearish risks in GBP against EUR

Mar 28, 2017 12:33 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The summary of the BoE meeting in March contained three main triggers for changes to the BoEs current monetary policy stance. 1. CPI inflation. 2. Wage growth. 3. Private consumption. Higher CPI inflation and/or...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: WTI and Brent demand/supply forecasts send conducive signals for both speculators and investors – Diagonal option straps to stiff hedge

Mar 28, 2017 11:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The supply estimates of now incorporated in our forecasts for the coming 18 months drive a further structural loosening in projected market balances. Consequently, we lower price forecasts for 2017 and 2018 to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Prefer AUD/CAD 6m put switch as low-cost risk hedge signifies competitive edge over USD/CAD

Mar 28, 2017 07:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Data events: BoC Gov Poloz speech on 28th March. Canadian GDP on 31st March. Aussie Retail Sales on 2nd April. Aussie Trade balance on 3rd April. RBAs Monetary Policy on 4th April. Canadian Trade balance on...

Moody's: Kazakhstan more resilient than Azerbaijan in adjustment to lower oil prices

Mar 27, 2017 07:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service (Moodys) says that policymakers in Kazakhstan (Baa3 negative) and Azerbaijan (Ba1 negative) have faced similar challenges from the decline in oil prices from their mid-2014 highs, including a sharp...

FxWirePro: GBP/AUD vega longs and theta shorts in 3-way straddles versus OTM call as hedging vehicle ahead of RBA’s cash rates

Mar 24, 2017 12:54 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The central bank of Australia is scheduled to be announcing its monetary policy on April 04th which is likely to stay pat, even if the RBA does not deliver easings in 2H17, three hikes from the Fed will still leave minimal...

FxWirePro: Bearish GBP basket via shorts in cable spot trades and long 2m EUR/GBP call spread

Mar 24, 2017 10:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

This write up emphasizes on the prevailing shorts in GBP and those who squared off lets reopen a bearish basket (stay short cable in cash, buy a 2-m EURGBP call spread), we bought cable two weeks ago as this was the most...

FxWirePro: Option strips to hedge AUD/JPY as Aussie seems vulnerable global commodity supply surge cools off

Mar 24, 2017 07:21 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

TheAustralian federal governments mid-year fiscal updateis expected to show a deteriorating deficit as broad economic weakness offsets commodity price gains. Markets will be watching for any rating agency reactions. The...

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Economy

Spanish economic growth could exceed 2.5 pct for the next 2-4 years - Economy Minister Luis de Guindos

The Spanish economy expanded at 0.7 percent in both the third and fourth quarters of 2016. Spain maintained an economic growth of 3.2 percent in 2016, unchanged from the previous year. The economy expanded for the third...

U.S. Treasuries slightly gain ahead of Fed Chair Yellen’s speech

The U.S. Treasuries gained slightly Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellens scheduled speech later in the day. Investors reassessed Trumps ability to pass potentially reflationary bills, such as the...

Poland inflation likely to rise further in March, unlikely to have any impact on MPS stance

Poland Marchs flash CPI inflation data is due Friday, and analysts expect Polands inflation to rise further as base effects are still in place and are likely to push the number higher. Driven by a global acceleration in...

German bunds rally on expectations of lower March consumer inflation

The German bunds rallied Tuesday, following expectations of a fall in the countrys consumer price inflation during the month of March. The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond, which moves inversely to its price, slumped...

JGBs trade mixed ahead of February retail sales, consumer inflation

The Japanese government bonds traded mixed Tuesday as investors remain keen to watch the countrys February retail sales as well as consumer price inflation data, scheduled to be released on March 29 and 31...

Politics

German election: Merkel’s CDU wins big in regional election

The final crucial election in the European continent will take place in Germany on September 24th. Incumbent German Chancellor Angela Merkel is hoping to become Germanys longest serving chancellor by winning the fourth...

How the Spanish political laboratory is reconfiguring democracy

This article is part of the Democracy Futures series, a joint global initiative with the Sydney Democracy Network. The project aims to stimulate fresh thinking about the many challenges facing democracies in the 21st...

Latin American presidents love Twitter – and that's not a good sign

The Conversation Globals series, Politics in the Age of Social Media, examines how governments around the world rely on digital tools to exercise power. Latin American democracy was born with an original sin: income...

Why polls seem to struggle to get it right – on elections and everything else

I am a professor of mathematics, so my ears perk up when I hear someone say that polls seem inaccurate. The public understandably focuses on polling results and how much these results seem to vary. Take two presidential...

Trump's credibility takes a hit as FBI finds no evidence of Obama 'wiretap'

FBI Director James Comey and National Security Agency Director Michael S. Rogers have both testified before the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence that they do not have any information or evidence to support...

Science

National Science Statement a positive gesture but lacks policy solutions: experts

Today the Australian government launched the National Science Statement, outlining its commitment to science as part of the National Innovation and Science Agenda. This comes in advance of the 2030 Strategic Plan, with...

It’s the age of the antibiotic revolution, not apocalypse

Bad news sells papers. Or as Elliot Carver, the media mogul set on world domination in the Bond film Tomorrow Never Dies put it: Theres no news like bad news. As a scientist, my responsibility is to separate fact from...

New Drug Destroys Breast Cancer In 11 Days, Study Indicates

Breast cancer is one of the most frightening diseases that afflict women and even some men in all walks of life. While some treatment plans have been proven to work in the past such as chemotherapy, many of them are too...

Can science produce better passport control officers?

Passport officers often have to scrutinise hundreds of people each day. They have just a few seconds to stare through their glass screens at the impatient and perhaps slightly dishevelled traveller facing them and decide...

Astronomers to peer into a black hole for the first time with new Event Horizon Telescope

Ever since first mentioned by Jon Michell in a letter to the Royal Society in 1783, black holes have captured the imagination of scientists, writers, filmmakers and other artists. Perhaps part of the allure is that these...

Technology

Android Co-Founder Makes His Own Smartphone, The God Creator Comes

Andy Rubin is one of the founders of the Android mobile operating system, which effectively makes him a God within the Android development community. In a recent Tweet, Rubin hinted that his new company called Essential...

New Tesla Roadster, Coming Right Up; Fastest EV Car

The Tesla Roadster was the first car that the popular electric car company ever built and it broke a lot of conventions. For one thing, it was the first all-electric sports car that was meant to be both fast and efficient....

Google Creates Dedicated Page For Free Paid Apps On Play Store, ‘Free App Of The Week’

At this point, everybody already knows that there are free apps and there are paid apps on stores like Google Play and the Apple App Store. Sometimes, however, paid apps are available for free. Google just made it a lot...

Apple Might Finally Start Selling iPhones In China Again

Apple and China havent really been seeing eye-to-eye over the last few years, with the second largest consumer market having its own ideas of what the American company should be sharing that the latter just did not like....

Tesla Model 3 Dashboard The Same As Model S, Will Have Better Range Than Chevy Bolt Though

The Tesla Model 3 is the companys attempt at finally accessing that coveted mass consumer market and a lot is riding on it. If fans were hoping for a more futuristic dashboard, however, it seems CEO Elon Musk popped that...
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March 28 21:00 UTC Released

KRBOK Manufacturing BSI*

Actual

78 bln $

Forecast

Previous

79 bln $

March 28 19:00 UTC Released

ARTrade Balance*

Actual

-122 mln $

Forecast

Previous

-106 mln $

March 28 23:50 UTC 1717m

JPRetail Sales YY

Actual

Forecast

0.5 %

Previous

1.0 %

March 29 06:00 UTC 387387m

DEImport Prices YY

Actual

Forecast

7.0 %

Previous

6.0 %

March 29 06:00 UTC 387387m

DEImport Prices MM

Actual

Forecast

0.3 %

Previous

0.9 %

March 29 06:45 UTC 432432m

FRConsumer Confidence

Actual

Forecast

100 bln $

Previous

100 bln $

March 29 08:00 UTC 507507m

ITWage Inflation MM*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

March 29 08:00 UTC 507507m

ITWage Inflation YY*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

March 29 08:00 UTC 507507m

ITConsumer Confidence

Actual

Forecast

Previous

106.6 %

March 29 08:00 UTC 507507m

ITMfg Business Confidence

Actual

Forecast

Previous

106.3 %

Close

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