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Energy price drag assumptions leave US CPI profile revised down

Dec 11, 2015 03:52 am UTC| Commentary

US CPI forecasts have been revised last month, since then the gasoline futures prices for delivery through September 2016 moved higher, while long-term futures prices dropped slightly. The crude oil futures prices,...

US Quarterly Services Survey leaves Q3 GDP tracking at 1.8%

Dec 11, 2015 03:39 am UTC| Commentary

In US, Census Bureau Quarterly Services Survey (QSS) for Q3 15, indicated modestly less spending over services and software than the assumptions in the second estimate of Q3 GDP.Second estimate of Q3 GDP reported that real...

Current flatness is the UST curve more consistent with the early stages of a Fed hike cycle

Dec 11, 2015 02:56 am UTC| Commentary

The UST curve is unusually flat given where we are on the monetary policy cycle. The 2Y/10Y spread has compressed from 265bps at the beginning of 2014 to 128bps currently. During the 2004/2006 cycle, this level of slope...

Asian currencies caught between weaker CNY and higher US rates

Dec 11, 2015 02:51 am UTC| Commentary

The central parity for USD/CNY was lifted, for the fourth straight session, by 96 bps to 6.4236 yesterday. Altogether, the central parity has been increased by a total 385 bps from 6.3851 from last Friday. According to the...

Expectations are high for November US retail sales

Dec 11, 2015 02:42 am UTC| Commentary

Expectations are high for November retail sales, due today. Maybe too high. More than one-fifth of all retail sales are autos and, in unit terms, they fell by half a percentage point in November. Nor were Black Friday...

India's production numbers due today

Dec 11, 2015 02:36 am UTC| Commentary

Oct industrial production data is due today and favourable base effects are likely to sharply lift the headline print. Oct IP is expected to rise 6.6% YoY from 3.6% the month before. Besides base effects, higher...

Fiscal spending is crucial for Indonesia's GDP growth outlook

Dec 11, 2015 02:25 am UTC| Commentary Economy

While GDP growth is expected to tick higher to 5.2% in 2016, and probably to around 5.5% in 2017, President Widodos target of 7% GDP growth by 2019 seems a stretch. That several members of the cabinet still talk about the...

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Economy

U.S. Stock Futures Edge Higher as Tech Rout Deepens on AI Concerns and Earnings

U.S. stock index futures moved modestly higher on Wednesday evening after Wall Street ended the regular session mostly lower, as investors continued to grapple with a deepening technology selloff driven by AI disruption...

Oil Prices Slip as U.S.–Iran Talks Ease Supply Disruption Fears

Oil prices moved lower on Thursday as news of planned diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran reduced immediate fears of a military conflict that could disrupt crude supply from the Middle East, one of the...

Asian Markets Slip as AI Spending Fears Shake Tech, Wall Street Futures Rebound

Asian stock markets declined as growing concerns over the soaring costs of artificial intelligence investment weighed heavily on the technology sector, while U.S. stock futures attempted a modest recovery led by gains in...

US-India Trade Bombshell: Tariffs Slashed to 18% — Rupee Soars, Sensex Explodes

Announced on February 2, 2026, the US-India commerce deal offers Indian exports significant tariff relief. From 25% to 18%, US reciprocal tariffs on Indian goods have been cut; the extra 25% punitive tariff connected with...

India Services Sector Rebounds in January as New Business Gains Momentum: HSBC PMI Shows Growth

Indias dominant services sector showed a strong rebound in January after slipping to an 11-month low in December, supported by a rise in new business activity, according to the latest HSBC India Services Purchasing...

Politics

Trump Stays Neutral on 2028 GOP Successor as Vance and Rubio Emerge as Top Contenders

President Donald Trump has declined to take sides in early speculation over who could succeed him as the Republican presidential nominee in the 2028 election, as Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio...

U.S. Justice Department Removes DHS Lawyer After Blunt Remarks in Minnesota Immigration Court

The U.S. Justice Department has removed a government lawyer from a high-pressure assignment in Minnesota following blunt comments made in federal court about her workload and the governments failure to comply with judicial...

Melania Trump Pushes Diplomacy to Return Ukrainian Children from Russia

U.S. First Lady Melania Trump said Wednesday that she remains in ongoing contact with Russian President Vladimir Putins team as part of efforts to secure the return of Ukrainian children taken to Russia since the start of...

Human Rights Watch Warns of Democratic Decline in U.S. Under Trump Administration

Human Rights Watch has raised serious concerns about the state of democracy in the United States, warning that key democratic institutions and human rights protections are under threat during President Donald Trumps second...

Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks in Abu Dhabi Show Cautious Progress Amid Ongoing Fighting

Ukrainian and Russian officials concluded what Kyiv described as a productive first day of new U.S.-brokered peace talks in Abu Dhabi, even as intense fighting continued across Ukraine in Europes largest conflict since...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Baidu Approves $5 Billion Share Buyback and Plans First-Ever Dividend in 2026

Baidu Inc (NASDAQ: BIDU), Chinas largest internet search engine company, announced on Thursday that its board of directors has approved a new share repurchase program of up to $5 billion, running through the end of 2028....

Instagram Outage Disrupts Thousands of U.S. Users

Meta Platforms Instagram experienced a significant service disruption on Wednesday evening, leaving more than 10,000 users across the United States unable to properly access the popular social media platform. According to...

TSMC Eyes 3nm Chip Production in Japan with $17 Billion Kumamoto Investment

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the worlds largest contract chipmaker, is reportedly planning to mass produce advanced 3-nanometre (3nm) semiconductors in Kumamoto, southern Japan, marking a major shift...

Tencent Shares Slide After WeChat Restricts YuanBao AI Promotional Links

Shares of Tencent Holdings (HK:0700) fell sharply on Wednesday after its popular messaging platform WeChat blocked certain promotional links related to YuanBao, the companys artificial intelligence chatbot. The move...

Nvidia Nears $20 Billion OpenAI Investment as AI Funding Race Intensifies

Nvidia is reportedly nearing a major investment deal with OpenAI, signaling a significant development in the global artificial intelligence landscape. According to sources cited by Reuters, the chipmaking giant is in...
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