Dec 10, 2015 21:57 pm UTC| Commentary
The further absorption of economic slack points to rising inflation in 2016. In 2015 inflation has mainly been held down by the low oil price and strong dollar. These factors will be less of a constraint next year,...
UK labour market expansion to ease
Dec 10, 2015 21:45 pm UTC| Commentary
Following a temporary reversal during the spring, which may have been linked to pre-election uncertainty, the labour market resumed its strong pace of expansion during the summer and early autumn. Forward-looking surveys...
Dec 10, 2015 19:32 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) left policy rates unchanged, no surprise. It expects a weaker CHF over time, something that is also needed to support growth and to bring inflation closer to target. More easing from the ECB...
US CPI profile revised down on energy price assumptions
Dec 10, 2015 18:58 pm UTC| Commentary
US CPI forecast has revised from the last update on November 17. Since then, gasoline futures prices for delivery through September 2016 have moved higher, while longer-term futures prices have declined modestly. Futures...
BoE data depended rather than Fed-dependent
Dec 10, 2015 18:39 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks
As expected the MPC members again voted 8-1 for keeping the rates unchanged and unanimously to maintain the stock of purchased assets at the 9 December MPC meeting. This was the fifth time in row that the MPC member Ian...
CBR to keep rate on hold following disappointing inflation
Dec 10, 2015 18:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks
Russian macroeconomic conditions have soured again just as the Bank of Russia (CBR) approaches a rate decision on Friday 11 December. It is a familiar sequence of events. Global oil prices have declined to new lows,...
South African markets likely to remain on the back foot
Dec 10, 2015 16:33 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
The sell-off in South African markets on Thursday was probably a sign of things to come. The yields on 10-year government bonds rose more than 100bp, to leave them above 10% for the first time since 2008. That added to a...
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