Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Sep 24, 2018 05:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Central Bank of Taiwan likely to leave policy rate unchanged at 1.375 pct, says Scotiabank

Sep 24, 2018 05:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) is expected to leave its policy rate unchanged at 1.375 percent on Thursday afternoon, rather than delivering a 12.5 basis points rate hike post the September 25-26 FOMC...

FxWirePro: Snippets of Norges bank monetary policy decision – NOK seems cheapest among G10 commodity FX bloc

Sep 21, 2018 13:49 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Norwegian central bank really did not revise its key rate forecast to the upside despite a recent strong rise in inflation. Krone eased as a result of the decision and we now feel much complacent about our EURNOK...

FxWirePro: Three driving forces of TRY – FX debt burden, unlikely expansionary fiscal policy and momentary relief from CBRT monetary policy

Sep 21, 2018 12:27 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

FX debt burden:The large share of foreign currency debt in particular in the private sector entails potential risks for the Turkish economy. Companies that hold debt in EUR or USD but whose revenue is TRY denominated...

Kiwis dollar strengthened on upbeat NZ GDP flashes but reduces odds of RBNZ OCR cuts

Sep 21, 2018 09:29 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Majority of the NZD crosses have been spiking considerably higher on the back of kiwis growth data. The New Zealand economy advanced 1.0 percent on quarter in the second quarter of 2018, above 0.5 percent in the...

FxWIrePro: SNB’s approach to Swiss franc and CHF relative value trades

Sep 20, 2018 13:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

CHF is the best performing DM currency over the past three months, indeed is the only currency to have gained vs USD over this period. A combination of anxiety about the Italian budget, the broadening of stress in EM,...

Swiss National Bank keeps monetary policy unchanged, expects economy to grow between 2.5-3 pct in 2018

Sep 20, 2018 13:35 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Swiss National Bank maintained its expansionary monetary policy today, thereby steadying price developments and underpinning economic activity. The interest rate on sight deposits was kept unchanged at -0.75 percent,...