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Mon, Feb 02, 2026 09:50 PM All times are UTC

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FxWirePro: Short Antipodeans through optionality ahead of RBA

Aug 06, 2018 10:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

We forecast AUD to decline to USD0.72 by 3Q18. RBA commentary this year continues to reinforce Australias policy divergence with the G10, but the central bank now seems more comfortable with the level of AUD. We expect...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD theta shorts on its functionality as underlying goes in range, uphold delta longs for optimized hedge ahead of RBA

Aug 06, 2018 08:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Bearish AUDUSD scenarios below 0.72 given: 1) the unemployment rate moves back towards 5.75%, raising the spectre of RBA rate cuts; 2) the Fed responds to firm labour market outcomes and above-trend growth by delivering a...

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Aug 06, 2018 05:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

FxWirePro: Is Bank of Japan struggling to keep yields low?

Aug 03, 2018 13:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The central bank of Japan has been very active in the bond market lately, largely to prevent the volatility to rise excessively as it nears the time to reverse its extra-ordinary easy monetary policies, which has been in...

FxWirePro: Central banks’ hawkish/dovish ranking based on monetary policy outlook

Aug 03, 2018 08:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Since 2015, global central banks have been reversing their ultra-easy monetary policy stance with the U.S. Federal Reserve leading the way. In this piece, we rank the majority of the G10 central banks from hawkish to...

FxWirePro: GBP/AUD perplexed with mixed bag of macros and geopolitics - Theta shorts and delta longs in 3-way straddles to execute smart hedge

Aug 03, 2018 07:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Macro and geopolitical outlook: In the UK, Macroeconomic fundamentals and political factors continue to dominate the headlines, with further signs that the UK and the EU are entering the Brexit negotiations some...

Bank of England hikes interest rate by 25 bps

Aug 02, 2018 13:23 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of England today decided to hike its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75 percent, as anticipated. The Monetary Policy Committee unanimously decided to hike rates. This was slightly unexpected as there were...

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Economy

Viksit Bharat 2026: Fiscal Muscle, Factory Revival, and the War on Speculation

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharamans Union Budget 202627 pursues the Viksit Bharat vision vigorously by combining severe fiscal discipline with a huge growth push. Driven by a 7% GDP growth objective and a lowered fiscal...

IMF Forecasts Global Inflation Decline as Growth Remains Resilient

Global inflation is expected to continue its downward trend over the coming years, according to new projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF estimates that global inflation will fall to 3.8% this...

EU Recovery Fund Faces Bottlenecks Despite Driving Digital and Green Projects

Across Spains olive groves and vineyards, sensors and drones funded by the European Unions massive post-pandemic recovery plan are collecting soil data to power AI-driven farming. These projects reflect the core ambition...

JPMorgan Lifts Gold Price Forecast to $6,300 by End-2026 on Strong Central Bank and Investor Demand

JPMorgan has raised its year-end 2026 gold price forecast to an ambitious $6,300 per ounce, reinforcing its bullish outlook on the precious metal despite recent market volatility. The bank points to sustained and...

Philippines Manufacturing PMI Hits Nine-Month High Despite Weak Confidence Outlook

The Philippines manufacturing sector showed a notable rebound at the start of the year, as the SP Global Philippines Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) climbed to a nine-month high of 52.9 in January, up from...

Politics

Medvedev Warns World Is Growing More Dangerous but Says Russia Seeks to Avoid Global Conflict

Dmitry Medvedev, Russias deputy chairman of the Security Council and a senior Kremlin security official, has warned that the global situation is becoming increasingly dangerous, while stressing that Russia does not want a...

Laura Fernandez Set to Become Costa Rica’s Next President, Promising Sweeping Political Change

Laura Fernandez is poised to become Costa Ricas next president, marking a significant political shift as she pledges to continue and deepen the populist agenda of outgoing President Rodrigo Chaves. Her victory signals a...

Starmer’s China Visit Highlights Western Balancing Act Amid U.S.-China Rivalry

British Prime Minister Keir Starmers recent visit to China underscores the complex balancing act Western middle powers are attempting as rivalry between Beijing and Washington intensifies. While the trip allowed China to...

Peter Mandelson Resigns from Labour Party Amid Renewed Jeffrey Epstein Links

Former British government minister Peter Mandelson has resigned from Prime Minister Keir Starmers Labour Party following renewed media scrutiny over his past connections to disgraced U.S. financier Jeffrey Epstein. The...

Japan Election Poll Signals Landslide Win for Sanae Takaichi, Raising Fiscal Policy Concerns

Japans ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, is poised for a decisive victory in the upcoming lower house election, according to a new opinion poll released by the Asahi newspaper....

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Jensen Huang Urges Taiwan Suppliers to Boost AI Chip Production Amid Surging Demand

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang praised and gently pushed Taiwans leading technology suppliers to ramp up production, highlighting the intense global demand for artificial intelligence hardware during a high-profile visit to the...

Oracle Plans $45–$50 Billion Funding Push in 2026 to Expand Cloud and AI Infrastructure

Oracle has announced plans to raise between $45 billion and $50 billion in 2026 as it accelerates the expansion of its cloud infrastructure to meet surging demand from major technology and artificial intelligence clients....

Elon Musk’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI Merger Talks Spark Investor Debate

Speculation around a potential Musk Inc has resurfaced as Elon Musks companiesSpaceX, Tesla, and xAIexplore closer ties amid rapid advances in artificial intelligence and automation. With SpaceX expected to go public later...

SpaceX Reports $8 Billion Profit as IPO Plans and Starlink Growth Fuel Valuation Buzz

SpaceX delivered a strong financial performance last year, generating an estimated $8 billion in profit on revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, according to people familiar with the companys results. The figures,...

SpaceX Updates Starlink Privacy Policy to Allow AI Training as xAI Merger Talks and IPO Loom

SpaceX has revised its Starlink privacy policy to allow customer data to be used for artificial intelligence training, a move that could significantly support Elon Musks broader AI ambitions. The policy change comes as...