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FxWirePro: USD/TRY diagonal put option spreads for hedging ahead of CBRT

Oct 16, 2018 14:21 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

It is quite surprising that the lira not rallying at all on Friday following the release of Pastor Andrew Brunson. In our preview of the court case, we had anticipated USDTRY to fall even as far as 5.50 in the event of a...

BoK likely to raise policy rate by 25 bps to 1.75 pct, aimed at protecting nation’s financial stability: Scotiabank

Oct 16, 2018 06:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of Korea (BoK) is expected to raise its monetary policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.75 percent at its upcoming meeting on Thursday, with an aim to protect the nations financial stability, according to the latest...

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Oct 15, 2018 08:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In terms of volatility risks, this week is heavy with economic data, as well as geopolitical events. What to watch for over the coming days: Central Banks: FOMC will release minutes of September meeting on...

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Oct 15, 2018 05:16 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March, June and in September. Increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. September decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 200-225 bps (Note, all...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 15th October 2018

Oct 15, 2018 04:56 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Not many economic data and events scheduled for today, but some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Japan: Industrial production up 0.2 percent y/y in...

Monetary Authority of Singapore tightens policy again in October, likely to tighten further in April 2019

Oct 12, 2018 11:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Monetary Authority of Singapore tightened again in October after tightening in April. This was consistent with expectations. The S$NEER slope rose a bit, which is estimated to be 1 percent pa from 0.5 percent...

FxWirePro: Bid 1m EUR/CAD skews and deploy 3-way straddles for hedging ahead of BoC and ECB

Oct 11, 2018 11:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Quick glimpse at some fundamentals:The most noteworthy release today would be the publication of the ECBs account from the 13 September Governing Council meeting, when the reduction in the rate of net asset purchases from...

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Economy

China vs U.S. AI Race Shifts Toward Robotics and Manufacturing Power in 2026

The global competition for artificial intelligence dominance is no longer driven solely by computing power and advanced chips. A new Alpine Macro report released on May 12, 2026, argues that industrial scale, manufacturing...

Sterling Slides as UK Political Uncertainty Sparks Market Volatility

The British pound came under heavy selling pressure on Thursday after rising political uncertainty in the United Kingdom triggered a sharp increase in forex market volatility. Investors reacted swiftly to reports...

Fed Rate Hike Fears Return as Inflation Risks Reshape Global Market Sentiment

Institutional investors are becoming increasingly worried about rising inflation risks in the United States, while concerns over slowing economic growth continue to fade. A new Bank of America global FX and Rates Sentiment...

Samsung Strike Talks Resume as South Korea Weighs Emergency Action

South Korea is considering all available measures, including emergency arbitration, to prevent a potential labor strike at Samsung Electronics, according to Prime Minister Kim Min-seok. The government is aiming to minimize...

Australia Capital Gains Tax Reform Sparks Housing Market Debate

Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers has strongly defended the federal governments proposed overhaul of capital gains tax laws, arguing that major reform is necessary to address Australias worsening housing affordability...

Politics

Russia Downs Hundreds of Ukrainian Drones in Largest Moscow Attack in Over a Year

Russia reported one of the largest Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions in more than a year, leaving at least four people dead and several others injured. The large-scale overnight assault targeted...

Colombia Election Violence: Two Campaign Workers for Abelardo De La Espriella Killed Ahead of Presidential Vote

Political violence in Colombia has intensified after two campaign workers supporting right-wing presidential candidate Abelardo De La Espriella were killed just weeks before the countrys 2026 presidential election. The...

Alex Saab Deported to U.S. as Maduro Investigation Deepens

Venezuelan official Alex Saab, a close ally of former President Nicolas Maduro, has reportedly been deported to the United States, according to Venezuelas migration agency SAIME. The move marks another major development in...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Remain Key to Regional Stability

Taiwan reaffirmed on Saturday that U.S. arms sales remain vital to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region after President Donald Trump said he had not yet decided whether to approve a new weapons...

Amazon Faces Class-Action Lawsuit Over Trump Tariff Price Hikes

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is facing a proposed class-action lawsuit after consumers accused the company of inflating product prices due to tariffs later ruled unlawful by the U.S. Supreme Court. The case, filed in...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Samsung Union Talks Enter Final Stage as Strike Threat Looms

Samsung Electronics and its largest labor union are set to resume critical wage negotiations on Monday as both sides race to prevent a major strike that could disrupt South Koreas economy and global semiconductor supply...

SpaceX Shareholders Approve 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Potential IPO

A majority of SpaceX shareholders have reportedly approved a 5-for-1 stock split proposed by the companys board, according to a Bloomberg News report published Friday. The decision comes as interest continues to grow...

FTC Antitrust Probe Targets Arm Holdings Over Chip Licensing Practices

Arm Holdings Plc (NASDAQ: ARM) is reportedly under formal investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) over concerns tied to its semiconductor licensing business, according to Bloomberg. The probe marks a...

Applied Materials Forecasts Strong Q3 Revenue as AI Chip Demand Accelerates

Applied Materials posted record fiscal second-quarter revenue on Thursday and issued a stronger-than-expected forecast for the third quarter, fueled by rising global investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and...

Anthropic Nears $30 Billion Funding Round at $900 Billion Valuation

AI startup Anthropic is reportedly close to securing a massive $30 billion fundraising deal that would value the company at approximately $900 billion, according to a Financial Times report published Friday. The new...
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