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FxWirePro: Hedge AUD/NZD bullish risks via options straps as expectations of RBNZ’s OCR cut intensify, IVs to favour holders

Aug 10, 2016 06:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

As early as March the central bank had cut rates due to the strong NZD. And only last month it pointed out that the kiwi is still trading approx. 6% stronger on a trade-weighted basis than it had assumed in its...

FxWirePro: Bidding USD/JPY implied volatilities and RR versus buying time signals OTM put strikes amid Fed’s deferral stances

Aug 09, 2016 13:07 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Volatility shocks and the passage of time have opposite effects on the value of a vanilla option (see ATM strikes on USDJPY options). When it can benefit from more volatility (long vega and gamma on OTM put strikes), time...

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF tepid OTC functions move in sync with underlying spot - Iron butterfly spreads to fetch certain yield

Aug 09, 2016 13:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The swiss franc against counterparts has appreciated aftermath Brexit series, but EURCHF has been an exception and trading between in a 1.0715-1.0950 range from last 1 month or so. Short term risk sentiment will...

FxWirePro: Trade “USD/CAD diagonal debit call spreads” as 1m RR evidences bullish hedging interests, IV skews towards OTM call strikes

Aug 09, 2016 11:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Any rate hikes by the Fed or any hawkish statements are viewed as bearish for CAD, which struggles to compete with high-yield bearing assets in rising rate environments. USDCAD was almost unchanged at 1.3165. Sentiment...

FxWirePro: Is Italy next potential threat to Eurozone in H2'2016 and 2017? Mounting hedging sentiments in euro exposures

Aug 08, 2016 12:58 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

On-going euro turbulence: The main risks events are now in Europe (ECB in September, Italian referendum, immigration tensions) and in the US (Jackson Hole, presidential election): this should support EUR/USD...

FxWirePro: A what if analysis on NZD/USD hedging framework with “Sure and Fire option strips”

Aug 08, 2016 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

NZD OTC market functions are likely to intensify contemplating upcoming RBNZ OCR cut in its monetary policy by 25 bps to keep it at 2.00%. As a result of this speculation in the FX market, the New Zealand dollar moved...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY cast-iron hedge at the OTM strike capitalizing 1m RR, worse than “Outright Forward rate” if unleveraged

Aug 08, 2016 08:06 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals have again shown in bearish interests as the progressive increase in negative numbers signify the traction for hedging sentiments for further downside risks in both short and long term. Amid...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Samsung's Galaxy S25 Rumored to Boost Longevity with 'Battery AI'

Samsungs upcoming Galaxy S25 Ultra is poised to incorporate Battery AI, an innovative technology promising to improve battery life by up to 10% through smarter energy management. Unlocking the Potential of Battery AI in...

AI Protocol Render (RNDR) Soars 15% As Bitcoin Fights For Balance

As Bitcoin grapples with market volatility, altcoin Render (RNDR) stands out with a remarkable 15% surge, showcasing its resilience amid the crypto markets tumult. This surge comes as Bitcoin struggles to find stability,...

Huawei's Covert US Funding Scheme Raises Eyebrows Amid Export Ban

The revelation of Huaweis discreet sponsorship of U.S. research through a Washington-based foundation has reignited concerns about the efficacy of the export ban. Despite regulatory hurdles, the tech giant managed to fund...

Crypto.com's F1 Sponsorship Expansion Sparks Global Visibility Drive

Crypto.com, one of the top exchanges in the digital currency ecosystem, is set to expand its sporting ad budget. Notably, the trading platform is looking to expand its dominance in its push for global...

Stablecoins Set to Overtake Visa, Ripple CEO Affirms XRP and ETH Not Securities

Stablecoins are poised to challenge Visas dominance in payment volume, marking a significant shift in the crypto landscape. Meanwhile, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse asserts that XRP and Ethereum (ETH) are not securities,...