FxWirePro: Euro area – A benevolent vols atmosphere brands as bullish call for chasing equity space

Jun 15, 2017 11:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The European equities are recording the best earnings data since 2010. The Eurozone benefits from better valuations, improving macro data, fading political risk, slowly normalizing inflation expectations and...

FxWirePro: “Counter-cyclical factor, one-off devaluation” lead to tepid vols in USD/CNH - “Strangle shorts” to fetch certain yields

Jun 15, 2017 09:57 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

With extremely low volatility and expectations of a stable USDCNH, the market prefers the carry trade again. Taking one-year tenor as an example, the implied yields of CNH is above 4%. In other words, as long as USDCNH...

FxWirePro: Bullish, bearish scenarios, OTC indications and hedging vehicles of sterling

Jun 15, 2017 09:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Bearish sterling scenarios: 1) The UK growth slows below 1% as consumers are squeezed by inflation and falling house prices. 2) Outright capital repatriation from slower moving long-term investors including central...

FxWirePro: Deploy DXY straddles on dual reading of overnight volatility ahead of FOMC

Jun 14, 2017 12:42 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The old conflict between what the market expects and what the Fed suggests has been re-ignited. This does not involve a rate hike expected for today which is completely priced in on the market and which therefore...

FxWirePro: Low vol plus flat curve in sync with buying EUR/USD forward vols

Jun 14, 2017 12:07 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

After the French presidential election, the EURUSD volatility curve aggressively sold off, reaching its lowest level since 2014. Since then, implied vols have bounced only very timidly and are still very close to their...

FxWirePro: Chinese flow of investments slowdown, Is volatility underpricing China tail risks?

Jun 14, 2017 11:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As expected by us, Chinas investment growth slowed. Latest data showed that Chinas fixed asset investment grew 8.6% YoY year-to-date in May, below market expectations and previous reading at 8.9%. After seasonal...

FxWirePro: Favor EUR/USD top end range with “European knock in options”

Jun 14, 2017 08:27 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EURUSD has traded between about 1.05 and 1.16 since 2015. While these bounds are pretty wide, this has been the longest period deprived of trends since the introduction of the single currency (refer above graph). EURUSD...