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FxWirePro: Credible Russian central bank curbs depreciation stress – Deploy put spreads for further USD/RUB depreciating risks

Apr 13, 2017 13:13 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

After having contracted massively by 2.8% in 2015, the minus in 2016 amounted to only 0.2%. The economy looks set to recover this year and the next. But especially in view of Russias heavy dependence on the oil price, we...

FxWirePro: Swiss franc to boost up even after French political risk elapses and SNB tapers - Append longs in CHF vs USD via put spread and EUR cash

Apr 13, 2017 12:25 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We continue to envisage a phased decline in EURCHF to 1.03 by year-end predicated on a relaxation in the SNBs very aggressive intervention tactics once the immediate threat of exchange rate instability spilling over from...

FxWirePro: Macros to favor more Yen than Kiwis dollar – Snapping Chinese momentary rallies and put buying vs. short selling as NZD/JPY option pricing in sync with IVs

Apr 13, 2017 08:48 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macro outlook: In japan, Business sentiment improved from the end of last year, but remains cautious. The PMI rose in March as services strengthened and manufacturing declined. Wage inflation remained anemic in...

FxWirePro: China trade surplus cushions kiwi dollars but mid-month IV skews signal bearish risks of NZD/USD – Use rallies to write overpriced puts in PRBS for hedging

Apr 13, 2017 07:06 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

China reported trade surplus a USD 23.9 billion in March of 2017, compared to a USD 25.2 billion surplus a year earlier and above market expectations of a USD 10 billion surplus. Exports surged by 16.4 pct YoY, following a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Insights on MAS’s SGD NEER implications – USD/SGD low IV yielder via debit put spreads

Apr 12, 2017 13:52 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The instrument of monetary policy in Singapore is the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) rather than a market interest rate. This is because of the small and open nature of the economy with free capital movement. The...

FxWirePro: EUR valuations still seem slightly rich and sterling no longer cheaper but edgy in long-term fair value projections of G10 space

Apr 12, 2017 13:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

GBP is no longer the cheapest G10 currency and still has room to cheapen further if political risks intensify. The same is true for EUR where valuations are still near fair value despite underperformance in the past...

FxWirePro: What-if scenarios of French and Italian elections - 1w1m IVs and skewness conducive for both writers and holders of EUR/CAD PRBS

Apr 12, 2017 11:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The most focused on the political event in Euro area this year the French elections are approximately a month away. Our forecast assumes that mainstream parties prevail, which combined with a less dovish ECB should...

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Economy

Some experts say the US economy is on the up, but here’s why voters don’t think so

Many Americans are gloomy about the economy, despite some data saying it is improving. The Economist even took this discussion to TikTok. When its US editor John Prideaux examined inflation, wage and employment numbers,...

Electric air taxis are on the way – quiet eVTOLs may be flying passengers as early as 2025

Imagine a future with nearly silent air taxis flying above traffic jams and navigating between skyscrapers and suburban droneports. Transportation arrives at the touch of your smartphone and with minimal environmental...

Electricity from farm waste: how biogas could help Malawians with no power

In sub-Saharan Africa, over 600 million people (more than 50% of the population) are without access to electricity. Malawi has one of the worlds lowest electricity access rates just 14.1% of the total population have...

High interest rates aren’t going away anytime soon – a business economist explains why

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its May 1, 2024, policy meeting, dashing the hopes of potential homebuyers and others who were hoping for a cut. Not only will rates remain at their current level a...

US long-term care costs are sky-high, but Washington state’s new way to help pay for them could be nixed

If you needed long-term care, could you afford it? For many Americans, especially those with a middle-class income and little savings, the answer to that question is absolutely not. Nursing homes charge somewhere...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

Taiwan is experiencing millions of cyberattacks every day

Taiwan stands out as a beacon of democracy, innovation and resilience in an increasingly autocratic region. But this is under growing threat. In recent years, China has used a variety of grey zone tactics to pressure...

What the Supreme Court is doing right in considering Trump’s immunity case

Following the nearly three-hour oral argument about presidential immunity in the Supreme Court on April 25, 2024, many commentators were aghast. The general theme, among legal and political experts alike, was a...

US Urges China, Russia to Reject AI Control in Nuclear Arms, Align with Global Norms

Paul Dean, a senior U.S. arms control official, emphasized the critical need for China and Russia to join the U.S. in declaring that humans will always decide on the deployment of nuclear weapons, not artificial...

US election: why it’s not the protesters’ votes that the Democrats should worry about

As hundreds of New York police officers in riot gear were called in to clear away a student protest at Columbia University on Tuesday night, the university president Nemat Shafik was saying she had no choice but to take...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Joe Biden to Possibly Quadruple Tariffs on Chinese EVs, Raising Duties to 100%

The US government plans to impose higher tariffs on various Chinese imports, including green products such as solar panels and batteries, medical equipment, and, most notably, an increase in duties on Chinese EVs from 25%...

Bloomberg Unveils Causes of Bitcoin, ETH, SOL, XRP, SHIB Price Plunge Amid Market Turbulence

Crypto trading volumes on major cryptocurrency exchanges fell dramatically in April. Trading volumes declined for the first time in seven months after Bitcoins price fell from an all-time high of $73,800, Bloomberg...

Harvest CEO Eyes Bitcoin ETF Entry into Mainland China via Hong Kong's ETF Connect

Harvests CEO feels that the Hong Kong-mainland China ETF bridge initiative can potentially expand crypto ETF access in mainland China. Harvest Explores Offering Bitcoin and Ether ETFs to Mainland Chinese Investors via...

Samsung Follows Apple, Abandons Autonomous Driving and EV Research Initiatives

Samsung has reportedly halted its autonomous EV driving research project. The companys Advanced Institute of Technology branch has dropped autonomous driving from its research initiatives. This move comes after allegations...

SHIB Burns Skyrocket 5,803%: 26.4 Million Shiba Inu Sent Ablaze in Meme Coin Surge

Shibburn, a popular meme coin explorer, has reported a significant spike in the burn rate of Shiba Inu, the second-largest meme cryptocurrency in market capitalization value. In the meantime, the SHIB price has risen...