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Outlook for EUR/USD

Jun 04, 2015 17:11 pm UTC| Commentary

BofA Merrill Lynch notes:With Bund yields turning, EUR/USD is likely to stall out and turn lower; particularly given its proximity to almost year-long trendline resistance at 1.1393. Against here, the larger downtrend for...

South African bonds/swaps have weakened more than US/Bund moves would justify

Jun 04, 2015 16:47 pm UTC| Commentary

South African bonds and swaps have sold off significantly over the past month. The weakeness is more than US/Bund moves would justify. The curve has bear steepened significantly with the 2s10s IRS spread 30bp steeper since...

Market movers ahead

Jun 04, 2015 15:48 pm UTC| Commentary

Danske Bank Markets:We expect a 1.4% m/m increase in overall US retail sales in May on the back of an increase in auto sales and higher gasoline prices.Greece and its creditors will work on reaching an agreement on Greeces...

Inflation in Russia is declining, but RUB depreciation remains a concern

Jun 04, 2015 15:40 pm UTC| Commentary

Russian inflation continued to decelerate in May, rising just 0.4% and 15.8% y/y, slightly below forecasts. On an incremental basis, inflation was up just 6.5% annualised during April and May. Food and services inflation...

US productivity decline driven by Q1 output weakness

Jun 04, 2015 15:25 pm UTC| Commentary

US productivity, as measured by the change in nonfarm business output per hour, fell 3.1% q/q saar in Q1. This was broadly in line with consensus expectations (-3.0%). Output for the nonfarm business sector was revised...

France FDI remain healthy despite its average positioning in international rankings

Jun 04, 2015 15:17 pm UTC| Commentary

Frances does not seem to have a very good standing in terms of international rankings. Yet Frances rather average rankings do not prevent a healthy inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI), despite a slowdown in 2013 and...

USD review

Jun 04, 2015 14:31 pm UTC| Commentary

Western Union:U.S. weekly jobless claims held below 300,000 for as many weeks. The dollar edged above lows as jobless claims fared better, moving to 276,000 from 284,000, better than forecasts of 279,000.Americas job...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

SHIB Whale Activity Surges Amid Plummeting Shibarium Transaction Volumes

While the Shiba Inu developer team continues to work on and implement key updates to the Layer-2 blockchain, Shibarium is seeing a significant drop in transaction volume, which has been ongoing for about a month. This...

AirTag With New Chip and Improved Tracking Due Next Year; No New Mac Studio, Pro Until Mid-2025: Mark Gurman

Apples upcoming AirTag, equipped with an upgraded chip and enhanced tracking, is expected to launch by mid-2025, as detailed by Bloombergs Mark Gurman. He also claimed that Apple will not update the Mac Studio and Mac Pro...

Shibarium Faces 97% Drop in Transactions, Yet Transfers Rise Steadily

While the Shiba Inu developer team continues to work on and implement key updates to the Layer-2 blockchain, Shibarium is seeing a significant drop in transaction volume, which has been ongoing for about a month. This...

High FDVs on Binance Listings Lead to Investor Losses, Analysis Reveals

An analysis of Binance listings over the past six months reveals that high fully diluted valuations often lead to token value loss, adversely affecting regular investors while benefiting insiders. VC-Backed Tokens on...
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