SGD Outlook (1-3 Months)– Cannot rule out another inter-meeting easing before October
Jun 04, 2015 10:48 am UTC| Commentary
Singapore Dollar was a middle of the road performer in May, but SGD is expected to play catch-up to the downside. CPI inflation and industrial production data for April reinforce, according to RBC Capital Markets. Core...
South Korean Won Outlook (1-3 Months) – Door to cuts remains open
Jun 04, 2015 10:42 am UTC| Commentary
KRW was one of the worst performing AXJ currencies in May, falling by 3.2% against the USD. Cyclical data and JPY price action have returned focus on KRWs overvaluation. The June Business Survey showed increasingly...
Indian Rupee Outlook (1-3 Months) – Limited room to underperform
Jun 04, 2015 10:24 am UTC| Commentary
INR was a middle of the road performer in May, dropping 0.63% against the USD. The modest weakness was partly attributable to follow through selling from FInMin Jaitleys announcement in late April that he planned to...
Chinese Yuan Outlook (1-3 Months) – Further easing will be needed
Jun 04, 2015 10:17 am UTC| Commentary
The RMB was the only AXJ currency (with the exception of PHP) to gain ground against the USD in May. Analysts find this surprising given early indicators for Q2 suggest a soft start (Retail sales: 10%y/y, cons: 10.4%,...
New Zealand DollarOutlook (1-3 Months)– RBNZ easing
Jun 04, 2015 10:10 am UTC| Commentary
The RBNZ released a paper on inflation in late May, and it was believeed to be another small step toward a policy rate cut. The interpretation of the paper was that non-tradable inflation is not the prohibitive factor in...
Australian Dollar Month Outlook (1 – 3 Months)– RBA holds the line for now
Jun 04, 2015 10:02 am UTC| Commentary
The early June meeting of the RBA saw the Bank leave the policy rate steady at 2.00%, following two cuts earlier this year in February and May. In the latest policy statement, the RBA did not include any obvious easing...
Canadian Dollar Month Outlook (1 – 3 Months)– USD/CAD toward the highs
Jun 04, 2015 09:54 am UTC| Commentary
USD/CAD found its low in mid-May before bouncing sharply through the second half of the month. As it is noted in early May, the main drivers of the pullback appeared to be short-term, and had nearly run their course....