RBA confronting riskier outlook

Aug 31, 2015 05:06 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

A lot has happened since the RBAs August meeting, the net effect of which must have been to make the RBA board a good deal more concerned about downside risks to the outlook. To a large extent these risks emanate from...

RBA policy reaction at this stage is likely to be judged as premature

Aug 31, 2015 04:46 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Firstly, the uncertainty about China is simply too great, and the risks are not all one-way, if Chinas growth prospects improve as a result of the various changes, admittedly not the most likely scenario, the impact would...

ECB likely to extend the asset purchase program

Aug 31, 2015 04:32 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The ECB is expected to nod in the direction of further policy easing at this weeks Governing Council meeting, with risks skewed toward more forward-leaning guidance and possibly even action. Since the last policy...

BoJ likely to be on hold till April 2016

Aug 31, 2015 04:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

A relief rally in global equity markets and solid US economic data helped USDJPY regain some of its losses. While yen should remain prone to the fluctuations in global equity markets, a potential Fed hike delay and...

RBA likely to be on hold

Aug 31, 2015 04:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The RBA cash rate is likely to be on hold for an extended period, but with the continued risk of a rate cut even as recent commentary from the bank has taken on a more neutral tone. This risk reflected frustration with...

Fed update: Wrap up on Jackson Hole

Aug 30, 2015 22:32 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC members have voiced their opinions this weekend at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The most important was Vice Chair Stanley Fischer who participated in a panel discussion on Saturday on inflation dynamics and...

EEMEA Update: NBP to remain on hold, Russia and Turkey inflation will be in focus

Aug 30, 2015 21:39 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

PMI readings in CEE is expected to remain at expansionary territory, echoing the upward trend in German PMI. CEE currencies would likely experience appreciation pressures against EUR in the near term, as the prospects of...