EUR close to equilibrium but mind the ECB

Sep 10, 2015 21:33 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Surprisingly, EUR is close to its equilibrium level on a trade weighted basis, and EUR/USD is also close to fair value of 1.16. Indeed the equilibrium estimate for EUR/USD at 1.16 is below the long-term average level of...

Hike or no hike, do not expect a dovish FOMC

Sep 10, 2015 20:59 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The long-awaited September FOMC meeting is finally upon us. The Fed is expected deliver a rate hike but package it in a dovish message. The dots are likely to show only one rate increase this year, signalling that the...

Copom meeting minutes: Better forecasts, deteriorating balance of risks

Sep 10, 2015 16:52 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Copom meeting minutes released earlier today show that the 2016 inflation forecast was reduced. That happened in the reference scenario, in which the exchange rate was kept flat at (from 3.25 previously) and the Selic...

Key highlights from BOE monetary policy and minutes

Sep 10, 2015 11:47 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Bank of Englands monetary policy committee (MPC) chose to keep monetary policy steady for 6 years and 7 months with interest rates at record low 0.5%. Last time policy rate was changed dates back in February 2009, when...

No immediate need for SNB to intervene

Sep 10, 2015 11:40 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

SNB convenes on 17 September to announce the quarterly monetary policy assessment and is widely expected to keep the key policy rates unchanged at -0.75%. Although the international environment has become more uncertain,...

BOE’s monetary policy preview

Sep 10, 2015 09:44 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Bank of England (BOE) is scheduled to announce its monetary policy at 11:00 GMT, will release minutes of meeting along with. Pound is trading just below key resistance of 1.543 against Dollar, heading into monetary...

A February hike still likely from BoE

Sep 10, 2015 04:33 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

August has on the face of it been unkind to the call for a February BoE rate hike. The BoE could give a more dovish feel to Thursdays BoE policy meeting minutes. There is no need for the BoE to sound hawkish right now....