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FxWirePro: NZD/USD projections lower in 2019 as USD likely to get cushion from Fed but Kiwis vulnerable on dovish RBNZ and macro outlook

Jan 28, 2019 07:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

NZD has actually performed better than expected over 4Q2018, as a rebound in domestic activity data offset global drags on high beta FX. Still, it is reckoned that the global risks play less favorably for NZ than they do...

ECB’s softer tone amid downside risks to Eurozone growth could suppress EUR’s strength for now, says Scotiabank

Jan 28, 2019 07:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The ECBs softer tone amid downside risks to the Eurozone growth could suppress the EURs strength for now. ECB President Mario Draghi said in an opening statement at his news conference last Thursday that the risks...

Explainer: South Africa's central bank -- ownership, mandate and independence

Jan 27, 2019 14:45 pm UTC| Central Banks Economy

In recent months, various debates about the South African Reserve Bank have focused broadly on three aspects its shareholding, its mandate and its independence. The three debates are somewhat convoluted. They are...

FxWirePro: Hedge EUR/GBP via options strategy on persisting geopolitical setbacks

Jan 25, 2019 10:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

3-way options straddle seems to be the most suitable strategy for EURGBP contemplating some geopolitical aspects. The rationale:Well, lets just quickly glance at OTC outlook before looking at the options...

FxWirePro: ECB downplays recessionary risks, maintains ‘dovish status quo’ monetary policy - EUR/USD options short set-up on luring OTC indications

Jan 25, 2019 08:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

TheECBs Draghi highlighted increased downside risks on a host of uncertainties and near term growth is expected to be weaker than previously expected. The euro made a new low for 2019 at 1.1304 on bets that the European...

FxWirePro: Norweign Krone likely to outperform on Norges hawkish status quo and other constructive driving forces – Options trade perspectives

Jan 24, 2019 13:54 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Norges Bank (NB) left the sight deposit rate unchanged at 0.75%, in a decision widely expected by both markets and analysts. However, it already sounded a little more cautious by lowering the rate path slightly for the...

FxWirePro: Aussie resumes bearish streaks ahead of RBA - AUD/USD OTC indications in tandem with H1’2019 projections

Jan 24, 2019 13:10 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Despite the momentary rebound during New Year eve, AUDUSD is lower than when we published our 2019 Outlook, and we continue to expect modest depreciation to 0.68 by end of H1-2019. JPM forecasts assume that global growth...

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Economy

Barclays Warns U.S. Stock Rally May Be Detached From Fundamentals

U.S. equities have delivered strong gains in 2026, but Barclays analysts warn that the stock market rally may be increasingly disconnected from underlying fundamentals as investors continue chasing higher prices. The SP...

Gold Prices Rise as Weak US Retail Sales Cut Fed Rate Hike Bets

Gold prices edged higher on Friday and headed for a weekly gain as weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales further reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $4,374.30...

S&P 500 Retreats From Record High as AI Stocks Slide, Retail Sales Disappoint

The SP 500 closed lower on Friday, retreating from its latest record high as weakness in AI-related stocks and disappointing U.S. retail sales weighed on investor sentiment. The SP 500 fell 0.17% to 7,785.76, while the...

Trump Imposes New Tariffs on Drone Imports Over US Security Concerns

President Donald Trump has announced new tariffs on imported drones and drone components, citing national security concerns and the United States heavy dependence on foreign suppliers. Under a proclamation signed by Trump,...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Near Standstill After New Vessel Attacks

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed to a near standstill on Friday after two more vessels were attacked, while the United States signaled it could maintain its naval blockade of Iran indefinitely. The disruption...

Politics

US Admiral Visits USS Abraham Lincoln as Carrier Prepares to End Deployment

The US admiral overseeing military operations involving Iran visited the USS Abraham Lincoln on Saturday as the aircraft carrier prepared to return home after a demanding nine-month deployment, according to a report by the...

AMLO’s Son Says U.S. Revoked His Visa

Andres Manuel Lopez Beltran, the son of former Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, said the United States has revoked his visa in what he described as a politically motivated decision. Lopez Beltran, widely...

DNC Makes South Carolina First in 2028 Democratic Primaries

The Democratic National Committee has officially selected South Carolina as the first state to vote in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries, cementing a new nominating calendar designed to reflect the partys diverse...

Israeli Troops Enter Qusra Homes as Settler Siege Intensifies

Israeli troops took up positions inside Palestinian homes in the occupied West Bank village of Qusra on Thursday, according to local officials and residents, as a settler siege that has trapped several Palestinian families...

U.S. Pressures Nations to Choose Sides in AI Race

The United States is preparing to pressure dozens of countries to choose between joining a U.S.-led artificial intelligence alliance or supporting Chinas competing AI framework, according to a U.S. official and an internal...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Alphabet Shifts AI Strategy Toward Commercial Growth, Goldman Sachs Says

Alphabet is increasingly shifting its artificial intelligence strategy toward commercialization, scale and long-term revenue growth, according to Goldman Sachs analysts. The investment bank said recent management changes,...

Nvidia Eyes $3 Billion Investment in SoftBank-Backed AI Data Center

Nvidia is reportedly in discussions to invest up to $3 billion in SB Energy, a SoftBank Group-backed company developing a major AI data center campus in Ohio for OpenAI. According to a report by The Information, the...

Alphabet’s SpaceX Investment Soars 100-Fold to $94 Billion

Alphabets early investment in SpaceX has delivered extraordinary returns, with the Google parents stake valued at roughly $94.2 billion at the end of June. The company originally invested $900 million in Elon Musks rocket...

Stripe, Advent Reportedly Pursue $53 Billion PayPal Takeover

Stripe and private equity firm Advent International reportedly offered to acquire PayPal for $60.50 per share in July, valuing the payments company at roughly $53 billion. PayPal rejected the proposal as too low, but...

J.P. Morgan Upgrades SanDisk, Sets $2,250 Price Target on AI NAND Growth

J.P. Morgan upgraded SanDisk to Overweight from Not Rated and set a December 2027 price target of $2,250, citing stronger long-term growth prospects following the flash memory companys 2026 Investor Day in New York....