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Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Dec 17, 2018 06:41 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March, June and in September. Increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. September decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 200-225 bps (Note, all...

FxWirePro: Lingering Optimism of CBR Rate Hikes to intensify RUB – Strategic Options Structures to Hedge USD/RUB

Dec 14, 2018 13:21 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Bank of Russia raised unexpectedly its benchmark one-week repo rate by 25 bps to 7.75 percent on December 14th, saying the decision is aimed at limiting inflation risks that remain elevated, especially over the...

FxWirePro: Lingering Optimism of CBR Rate Hikes to intensify RUB – Strategic Options Structures to Hedge USD/RUB

Dec 14, 2018 12:09 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The ruble has been the top performer among EM currencies over the past month, which is surprising given the lingering oil price and sanction risks weighing against it. A further rate hike by CBR today could further bolster...

FxWirePro: ECB hawks disappear – Place EUR/USD diagonal options strips on dovish rhetoric

Dec 14, 2018 11:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

ECBs Mario Draghis press conference yesterday did not help the euro. European central banks President modestly seemed too pessimistic for that: growth and inflation forecasts revised down, warnings of global risks. On the...

FxWirePro: Robust EUR/JPY hedging sentiments for bearish risks on ECB and EU PMIs hint – Deploy Delta Instruments

Dec 14, 2018 10:41 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

After the ECB yesterday highlighted growing downside risks to the EU economy, todays manufacturing and services PMIs will provide further evidence on whether underlying growth momentum continues to soften. Last month, the...

Central Bank of Turkey keeps interest rate on hold at 24 pct

Dec 13, 2018 18:13 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Central Bank of Turkeys Monetary Policy Committee decided to keep the one-week repo auction rate on hold at 24 percent today. Lately, the released data indicate that rebalancing trend in the economy has become more...

FxWirePro: A glance at loonie and expression of USD/CAD call spreads

Dec 13, 2018 14:09 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The CAD is soft, down modestly vs the USD while underperforming most of the G10 currencies as market participants focus on escalating diplomatic tensions between Canada and China. The CADs standard driversoil prices...

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Economy

US Resumes Dollar Shipments to Iraq After Months-Long Suspension

The United States has resumed limited shipments of U.S. dollars to Iraq after a months-long suspension, according to a report by The New York Times citing two senior aides to Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani....

Trump Administration Declines USMCA Renewal, Opens Talks on New Trade Changes

The Trump administration has declined to renew the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in its current form, triggering a 10-year countdown that keeps the North American trade pact in force while negotiations continue over...

Asian Currencies Stay Under Pressure as Dollar Holds Near 13-Month High Ahead of U.S. Jobs Report

Asian currencies traded in a narrow range on Thursday as the U.S. dollar remained close to a 13-month high, with investors awaiting the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for fresh clues on the Federal Reserves...

US Jobs Report Preview: June Payroll Growth Seen Slowing as Fed Rate Decision Looms

The U.S. labor market is expected to remain resilient in June, although hiring likely slowed from the strong pace recorded over the previous three months. Economists forecast that the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report will...

Japan Signals Surprise Yen Intervention Strategy as BOJ Hawkish Stance Puts FX Traders on Alert

Japan is shifting its foreign exchange strategy by abandoning its long-standing practice of warning markets before intervening, opting instead for a more unpredictable approach aimed at catching speculators off guard and...

Politics

EU Chip Industry Faces Growing Risks From China Export Controls and U.S. Technology Dependence: Report

Europes semiconductor industry faces mounting challenges from Chinese export controls, heavy reliance on U.S. technology, and persistent structural weaknesses, leaving the region with a difficult outlook unless it...

NRC Proposes Radiation Rule Changes to Boost U.S. Nuclear Power Expansion Under Trump

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) on Wednesday unveiled a proposal to revise long-standing radiation protection rules, a move that aligns with the Trump administrations broader strategy to accelerate nuclear...

Trump Vows U.S. Will Prevent China From Taking Over the Panama Canal

U.S. President Donald Trump declared on Wednesday that the United States will not allow China to take control of the Panama Canal, underscoring Washingtons continued focus on one of the worlds most strategically important...

US Envoy Urges Taiwan to Build ‘Hornet’s Nest’ Drone Defense Against China

Taiwan should rapidly expand its drone capabilities to strengthen deterrence against potential conflict with China, the top U.S. representative to the island said on Thursday, underscoring growing support for Taipeis...

Trump Dedicates Theodore Roosevelt Museum, Unveils New Air Force One Ahead of America’s 250th Anniversary

President Donald Trump on Wednesday dedicated the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library in North Dakota, celebrating the legacy of the 26th U.S. president while tying Roosevelts leadership and patriotism to his own...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Switch Seeks $2 Billion Funding at Nearly $50 Billion Valuation Ahead of Potential IPO

Data center operator Switch has reportedly launched a private funding round led by venture capital giant Andreessen Horowitz, aiming to raise approximately $2 billion in fresh capital at a valuation approaching $50...

ShareChat Eyes 2027 IPO After Reaching Operational Profitability, Report Says

Indias ShareChat is preparing for a potential initial public offering (IPO) next year that could raise up to $400 million, according to a Bloomberg News report citing the companys chief financial officer. The move would...

Trump Administration to Launch Voluntary AI Standards for Frontier Models

The Trump administration is preparing to introduce a new set of voluntary standards for advanced artificial intelligence models as early as next week, according to a Financial Times report. The move is expected to provide...

Apple Eyes Chinese Memory Chips as AI Shortage Pressures iPhone Supply Chain

Apple Inc. is reportedly in advanced discussions to source memory chips from Chinese semiconductor makers ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) and Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC), as the company works to secure...

Meta Stock Jumps as AI Cloud Expansion Challenges AWS, Microsoft, and Google

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) surged 8.8% on Wednesday after a Bloomberg report revealed the company is preparing to enter the cloud infrastructure market by offering excess artificial intelligence (AI) computing capacity...
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