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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What drives vols flirting in S&P and DXY despite Q4 equity earning season and Trump’s protectionism?

Jan 31, 2017 12:29 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FX vol market is showing signs of capitulation and front-end vols are softer over the week, leading to vol steepening across the board. Softer vols in U.S. could provide a momentary soft patch as the Dow Jones broke...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Assessment of RVs versus IVs AUD/JPY and MXN/JPY - Relative values in conditional spreads

Jan 31, 2017 10:57 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Pick up relative value in conditional spreads, the conditional long/short vanilla spreads provide another avenue to explore when looking to fade vol risk premia. The idea is to structure zero-cost (or even premium...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Deploy AUD/USD option combinations - ITM put versus OTM call to match IV skews and delta risk reversals on tight range

Jan 31, 2017 06:18 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUD remained in ranging mode, mostly between 0.7747 and 0.7162: Remains contained in a consolidative range of 0.7500-0.7600. AUDUSD in medium term perspective: Lower to 0.7400. The US dollars impressive post-election...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/JPY chart pack – after shooting star and hanging man, now gap down candle on verge of forming double top pattern – Trade via tunnel spreads

Jan 30, 2017 05:49 am UTC| Technicals

The flurry of bearish candlestick patterns occurred at peaks of USDJPY rallies. Shooting star pattern is traced out 114.975, hanging man at 115.224 levels, now a gap down opening has popped up at 114.396 levels. As a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: SARB inaction in benchmark but shift in forecasts – lingering headwinds indicate USD/ZAR upside risks and IVs conducive for option spreads

Jan 25, 2017 12:28 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In the recent unanimous decision of South African central bank (SARB), benchmark rateisunchanged at 7% as had universally been projected. However, the SARB increased its projections and now only expects the overall rate to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Can MXN and TRY be deceptive? Don’t catch falling knife as rising EMFX hedging ratio prolongs

Jan 25, 2017 11:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We highlight a number of tactical signals for the FX market and some options concepts that could accomplish well in a market scenario characterized by the US dollar strength over the medium term. Since the election of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/JPY calendar spreads seem right hedging vehicle amid BoJ, RBA monetary policy stances and JGB apprehensions

Jan 25, 2017 11:13 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The two main risks to our bearish AUD view are that 1) The currency is dragged higher in a more sustained re-rating of the global growth outlook, and that 2) The better global news and some signs of housing...

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Economy

South Korea Central Bank Signals Inflation Concerns as Oil Prices Surge

South Koreas central bank is expected to place greater emphasis on inflation control after rising global oil prices triggered concerns that inflation could move above the Bank of Koreas 2% target. The warning came from...

Norway Core Inflation Hits 3.2% in April, Fueling Interest Rate Hike Expectations

Norways annual core inflation rate climbed to 3.2% in April, reinforcing expectations that the countrys central bank could maintain higher interest rates for a longer period. The latest figures, released by Statistics...

Goldman Sachs Delays Fed Rate Cut Forecast to 2026 Amid Rising Inflation Concerns

Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, now expecting reductions in December 2026 and March 2027 instead of the previously projected September and December 2026 cuts. The...

ECB Signals Possible Interest Rate Move if Inflation Outlook Fails to Improve

European Central Bank (ECB) governing council member Martin Kocher signaled that the ECB may soon need to adjust interest rates if inflation in the eurozone does not show meaningful improvement. His comments, published...

Indian Stock Market Drops as Iran Conflict Fuels Oil Price and Inflation Fears

Indian stock markets opened sharply lower on Monday as investors reacted to growing concerns over the economic fallout from the escalating Middle East conflict and rising crude oil prices. The Nifty 50 index declined 1.2%...

Politics

US Auto Industry Urges Trump to Block Chinese EV Market Access

As President Donald Trump prepares for a high-profile meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, pressure is mounting from U.S. automakers, lawmakers, unions, and manufacturers urging the administration to keep Chinese...

Trump-Xi Summit Sparks Renewed Hope for Americans Detained in China

Families of two Americans imprisoned in China for more than a decade are urging U.S. President Donald Trump to raise their cases during his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The detainees, Dawn Michelle Hunt and...

Trump Rejects Iran Proposal as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Pushes Oil Prices Higher

Oil prices surged Monday after former U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Irans latest response to a U.S.-backed peace proposal, raising fears that the ongoing Middle East conflict could intensify and further disrupt...

Taiwan Confident in Strong U.S. Relations Ahead of Trump-Xi China Summit

Taiwan Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung said Monday that Taipei remains confident in the stable growth of Taiwan-U.S. relations as U.S. President Donald Trump prepares for a high-profile visit to China this week. Trump is...

Netanyahu Signals Plan to End Reliance on U.S. Military Aid Within 10 Years

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel aims to gradually eliminate its dependence on U.S. military assistance over the next decade while expanding strategic partnerships with Gulf nations. In an interview...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Nintendo Shares Tumble as Weak Forecast and Rising Switch 2 Costs Worry Investors

Nintendo shares plunged on Monday after the Japanese gaming giant posted annual earnings that missed analyst expectations and issued a weaker-than-expected outlook for the current fiscal year. The disappointing forecast...

AI-Driven Inflation Raises U.S. Consumer Prices, Goldman Sachs Says

Artificial intelligence is starting to increase U.S. consumer prices through rising costs in electronics, software, and electricity, according to a new Goldman Sachs report. The investment bank said AI-related inflation...

Judge Delays SEC Settlement With Elon Musk Over Twitter Stock Disclosure Case

A federal judge has declined to immediately approve a proposed $1.5 million settlement between Elon Musk and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) tied to Musks 2022 Twitter stock purchase disclosures. The...

Broadcom Eyes $35 Billion AI Chip Financing Deal With Apollo and Blackstone

Broadcom Inc. is reportedly in discussions with Apollo Global Management and Blackstone Inc. to secure around $35 billion in financing for its expanding artificial intelligence chip business, according to a Bloomberg...

Dell Stock Hits Record High After Trump Endorsement, AI Server Demand Fuels Rally

Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DELL) surged to an all-time high on Friday after receiving a public endorsement from President Donald Trump during a White House event. The president encouraged Americans to go out and buy...