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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy

Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?

Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...

Final 2019 election results: education divide explains the Coalition's upset victory

Jun 19, 2019 02:31 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the May 18 election, the size of the lower house was expanded from 150 to 151 seats. The Coalition parties won 77 seats (up one since the 2016 election), Labor 68 (down one) and the crossbench six (up one). The...

2001 polls in review: September 11 influenced election outcome far more than Tampa incident

Feb 24, 2019 06:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Many commentators have compared Labors support for the Medevac legislation with the Tampa incident in late August 2001. The implication is that Labor lost the 2001 election due to Tampa, and could lose this years election...

Democrats take House at US midterm elections, but Republicans keep Senate; Labor well ahead in Victoria

Nov 08, 2018 17:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

US midterm elections were held today. All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senators were up for election. Democrats were defending 26 Senators, including some states that Trump won by big margins in 2016, and Republicans...

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Economy

U.S. Treasuries steady ahead of January manufacturing, composite PMIs

The U.S. Treasuries remained steady during Fridays afternoon session ahead of the countrys manufacturing and composite PMI for the month of January, scheduled to be released today by 14:45GMT, amid an otherwise, muted...

UK gilts mixed following better-than-expected rise in January flash PMIs

The United Kingdoms gilts remained mixed during European trading hours Friday following a better-than-expected set of the countrys flash PMIs for the month of January, released today. The yield on the benchmark 10-year...

German bunds tad down following upbeat January manufacturing PMI

The German bunds remained tad down during European trading session Friday following an upbeat manufacturing PMI for the month of January, released early today. The German 10-year bond yield, which move inversely to its...

Australian dollar likely to weaken a little further in short term, says Commerzbank

The Australian dollar is expected to weaken a little further in the short term, particularly owing to the destruction caused by the recent bushfires, according to the latest research report from Commerzbank. The...

RBA unlikely to feel urgency to cut again as soon as next month, says St George Economics

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is not expected to feel an urgency to cut interest rates again as soon as next month, but rather, stand pat and assess incoming data, according to the latest research report from St....

Politics

Ivanka Trump praised by TV show host Samantha Bee for parental leave bill

Ivanka Trump has been earning praises for lobbying a bill that was approved by Senate in December 2019. For instance, political commentator and television host Samantha Bee praised Donald Trumps daughter for her efforts in...

Ivanka Trump 2020: Is Donald Trump grooming his daughter and senior advisor for the presidency?

As senior advisor to the president, Ivanka Trump holds a key position within Donald Trumps inner political circle. This explains why she is usually present in high-profile events such as the World Economic Forum in Davos,...

Donald Trump shock: POTUS on Greta Thunberg's climate change warnings 'she beat me out of TIME Magazine'

Donald Trump returned from the World Economic Forum at Davos, Switzerland the other day in the midst of an ongoing impeachment trial happening at the Senate. During a news conference, when asked about teenage climate...

Melania Trump shock: FLOTUS' non-attendance at Davos reportedly a 'subliminal message' to Donald Trump

If there is one thing to know about First Lady Melania Trump, it is that she tends to make subliminal messages. Her absence at the Davos Forum may reportedly be a subliminal message to her husband. Recently, Donald...

Donald Trump fury: POTUS rants about impeachment being weaponized for 2020 election

The United States President Donald Trump is currently facing an impeachment trial at the Senate while running a reelection campaign in this years presidential elections. Even though he does not need to be present at the...

Science

Antarctica: Scientists discover fossil of 40 million-year-old animal

Just when we think all the fossils of long ago were all found, we end up getting surprised at sudden discoveries in recent years. A new report emerges as scientists in Antarctica discover fossils belonging to an animal 40...

Taal volcano predicted to have explosive eruption

The Philippines was suddenly placed on high alert when the Taal volcano erupted. However, it appears that it is only just beginning as a new report reveals that the volcano may be gearing up for an explosive eruption...

Asteroids: Footage of Chelyabinsk meteor collision reveals the actual devastation caused

In 2013, a meteor made an unannounced visit and crash-landed in the city of Chelyabinsk in Russia. Now, footage capturing the incident shows just how bad the impact of the meteor was. The Chelyabinsk meteor incident is...

Asteroids: NASA spots space rock traveling 25,433 mph towards Earth

Another asteroid is set to make an approach towards Earths orbit, as NASAs asteroid trackers have noticed. It is now down to whether or not the asteroid will strike, and if it does not, how close is it going to...

Technology

‘Skull and Bones’ gameplay: Customize ships and deceive enemies to conduct ambushes

Skull Bones is an upcoming naval combat action video game from Ubisoft. Originally slated for a 2018 launch, the title will be coming out this year but a definite release date is yet to be announced, according to...

‘Total War: Warhammer 3’ update: Ogre Kingdom, Chaos Daemons, and Chaos Dwarfs will be playable factions

The upcoming Total War: Warhammer 3 is one of the most anticipated titles for fans of strategy games. Heres whats known about the upcoming strategy title. Will there be a Total War: Warhammer 3? This is a common...

iOS 14: Are iPad users finally getting a built-in calculator app?

The development of iOS is one of the reasons why Apple has maintained a loyal customer base for the iPhone and iPad lineups over the years. The company, however, still has some questionable decisions, including the choice...

‘PUBG Mobile’ v.0.17.0 anticipated going live in February

A new month is right around the corner, and that means another batch of patches is arriving for PUBG Mobile. The new features have been previewed in the v0.17.0 beta that includes a couple of new visual-related settings, a...

Pixelbook Go's Not Pink variant is finally available

Google announced the Pixelbook Go last fall, but it technically saw a gradual retail release as not all configurations and color variants became immediately available after the announcement. The good news now is Chromebook...
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