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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

2001 polls in review: September 11 influenced election outcome far more than Tampa incident

Feb 24, 2019 06:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Many commentators have compared Labors support for the Medevac legislation with the Tampa incident in late August 2001. The implication is that Labor lost the 2001 election due to Tampa, and could lose this years election...

Democrats take House at US midterm elections, but Republicans keep Senate; Labor well ahead in Victoria

Nov 08, 2018 17:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

US midterm elections were held today. All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senators were up for election. Democrats were defending 26 Senators, including some states that Trump won by big margins in 2016, and Republicans...

Poll wrap: Morrison's ratings slump in Newspoll; Wentworth's huge difference in on-the-day and early voting

Oct 29, 2018 19:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 25-28 from a sample of 1,650, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 39% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (down one), 9% Greens...

Poll wrap: Labor slips in Newspoll, but gains in Ipsos, in Wentworth and in Victoria

Oct 16, 2018 15:12 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 11-14 from a sample of 1,707, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (down one), 37% Coalition (up one), 11%...

Poll wrap: Worst reaction to midterm PM change in Newspoll history; contrary polls in Dutton's Dickson

Aug 28, 2018 12:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted August 24-26 - the days following the leadership spill - from a sample of 1,780, gave Labor a massive 56-44 lead, a five point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 41%...

How the hard right terminated Turnbull, only to see Scott Morrison become PM

Aug 25, 2018 07:52 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After a week of vicious internal party politics, Malcolm Turnbull has been deposed as prime minister and replaced not by Peter Dutton, but Scott Morrison. In todays party room vote, Morrison, who was supported by Turnbull,...

Polls update: Trump’s ratings held up by US economy; Australian polls steady

Aug 13, 2018 15:05 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Three months before the November 6 US midterm elections, the FiveThirtyEight poll aggregate gives Donald Trump a 41.7% approval rating and a 52.5% disapproval rating, for a net approval of -10.8. Despite issues such as...

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Economy

UK gilts rally after EU leaders agree to Article 50 deadline extension to avoid no-deal Brexit next week

The United Kingdoms gilts rallied during Fridays afternoon session, after the European Union leaders have finally agreed to an extension of the Article 50 deadline to avoid a no-deal Brexit next week. If the House of...

German bunds jump following lower-than-expected March manufacturing PMI

The German bunds jumped during European session Friday after the countrys manufacturing PMI for the month of March came in lower than market expectations. This mornings European dataflow has added new downwards pressure to...

Germany manufacturing PMI for March registers lowest reading in over six-and-half years

Germanys manufacturing PMI for the month of March, released by IHS Markit, registered 44.7 in March, down from 47.6 in February and its lowest reading in over six-and-half years. The index has now fallen in 14 of the past...

JGB 10-year yield slump to over 2-year low tracking global peers after Fed delivers dovish stance

The Japanese 10-year government bond yield slumped to over 2-year low Friday tracking a buying in the global debt market after the Federal Reserve delivered a dovish stance at its monetary policy meeting held on...

Australian 10-year bond yield dips to 2-1/2 year low as global central banks adopt dovish stance; focus on Brexit uncertainty

Australian government bonds gained during Asian trading session Friday as investors moved towards safe-haven assets amid end of monetary-policy normalization by major global central banks. Market attention was largely...

Politics

Melania Trump Did Not Let Ivanka Trump Take Over the White House East Wing, 'Kushner, Inc.' Author Alleges

Since United States President Donald Trump and his family occupied the White House, there have been several books released allegedly exposing the behind-the-scenes interactions among the first family and other Presidential...

Donald Trump 2019: Nancy Pelosi is Surprisingly Against His Impeachment and Here’s Why

The Democrats want Donald Trump to be impeached as soon as possible. They have been calling for the Congress to start the impeachment proceedings now but it appears that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is not for it. In a...

Vladimir Putin 2019: Activist Jailed for Putting Up Russian President’s Gravestone

Vladimir Putins hater set up a fake gravestone in the middle of the Russian city, Naberezhnye Chelny, and the act landed him in jail. The fake gravestone featured the presidents picture and the year 1952-2019 was written...

Melania Trump’s #FakeMelania Conspiracy Theory Resurfaced; People Think There Is Someone Pretending to be the FLOTUS

Melania Trump is being accused of casting someone to fill in for her in events like visits to states. The FLOTUS is said to be using a body double so it will appear that she is present on occasions that she should...

Vladimir Putin Claims Russia Stopped 600 Spies in 2018, Passes Law that Will Imprison People Who Will Disrespect Government

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, alleged that the foreign intelligence services stepped up activities after discovering that hundreds of spies attempted to carry out their works in the country. The president claimed...

Science

Cancer Cure 2019: Possible Treatment for Cancer Caused by Severe Skin Disease Is Being Developed

A group of researchers is recently focused on coming up with a cure for skin cancer that developed from a severe skin disease called recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (RDEB). This medical progress is especially...

HIV/AIDS Cure 2019: Advancements in Treatments and Therapies Continue Now Help Patients Return to ‘Non-Frail State’

For decades, scientists and researchers have been working hard in finding the complete cure for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). While the ultimate cure for HIV/AIDS is not...

Cancer Cure 2019: University of Colorado Research Sparks Hope as AML Patient Marks 2nd Anniversary of Remission

Despite the advancement of science and technology that the world has seen through the past decades, cancer diagnoses remains a piece of very heavy news to whoever receives it. Humanity has yet to find the ultimate cure for...

HIV/AIDS Cure 2019: Hopes Are Up for Potential Cure as 2nd Patient Goes on HIV Remission

The whole world is still on the lookout for the ultimate cure for patients infected with human immunodeficiency viruses (HIV) and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). A recent development sparked hope as one patient...

Mining the Moon

If you were transported to the Moon this very instant, you would surely and rapidly die. Thats because theres no atmosphere, the surface temperature varies from a roasting 130 degrees Celsius (266 F) to a bone-chilling...

Technology

Oculus Rift S: Is It Worth The Money?

Impressions with regards to the Oculus Rift S have been coming in and it would appear that the new VR headset has been making a mark in reviewers minds. However, while the general discussions with regards to the device...

‘Kingdom Hearts 3’ Updates: DLCs Are Finally Confirmed; It Starts With the Addition of Critical Mode ‘Soon’

Kingdom Hearts 3 is the final installment of the popular video game series, so gaming fans are hoping that they could get more of it through post-launch downloadable contents. Luckily, directors Tetsuya Nomura and Tai...

iPhone X Mini Is Not Included in Apple's iPhone 2019 Lineup

One of the rumored Apple projects was a device dubbed in reports as the iPhone X Mini. However, tech fans can still expect the Cupertino, California-based company to unveil a lineup of all-new iPhones in 2019. Early...

Torrent Site Admins Sentenced to 4.5 Years for Releasing Sylvester Stallone Movie Before Official Premiere

Four administrators of a torrent website were recently sentenced of up to four and a half years in the United Kingdom. They are known for releasing torrents for a number of movies even before it is officially out in the...

‘Borderlands 3’ Release Date, Latest News: Game’s Official Announcement Happens Next Week

Borderlands 3 has been on many gaming fans radar for years now. They would be delighted to know that Gearbox Software recently dropped a major hint at a big announcement about the franchise. Earlier this month, Gearboxs...
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March 22 19:00 UTC Released

USFCOJ Stock

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0.634 Pounds B

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0.605 Pounds B

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USBeef Stocks

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479.282 Pounds M

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510.065 Pounds M

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-1541 %

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January 22 19:00 UTC 611870611870m

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-1541 %

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January 31 00:00 UTC 600050600050m

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