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Adrian Beaumont

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.

The US could default on June 1 owing to gridlock over the debt limit; Biden vs Trump polls are close

May 23, 2023 15:21 pm UTC| Economy Politics

The United States debt limit is a legislative limit on the overall debt the US government can incur. As the US keeps running budget deficits, the debt keeps increasing. Congress could deal with this permanently by either...

Republicans gain in US midterm polls with three weeks until election

Oct 21, 2022 06:17 am UTC| Politics

The United States midterm elections will be held in nearly three weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by 222-213 in...

Morrison slumps in Newspoll but Coalition gains, as lockdown shows vaccination is essential

Jun 08, 2021 00:16 am UTC| Politics

This weeks Newspoll had Labor and the Coalition tied at 50-50 on a two-party-preferred basis. This is a one point gain for the Coalition since the last Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 41% Coalition (steady),...

Joe Biden wins US presidential election as mail-in votes turn key states around

Nov 08, 2020 10:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Pennsylvania and Nevada were today called for Joe Biden, taking him to 279 Electoral Votes, nine more than the 270 required to win. Biden is now the US president-elect, defeating an incumbent president for the first time...

Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll

Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics

Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...

Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll

Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...

With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally

Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...

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Economy

Mercedes Pay+ Debuts In-Car Fingerprint Payments in Partnership with Mastercard

Mercedes-Benz collaborates with Mastercard to launch Mercedes Pay+, facilitating in-car refueling payments. Using an integrated fingerprint sensor, drivers can now securely settle fuel bills directly from their vehicles....

Getty, NVIDIA Partner on AI Image Generator; Ensuring Copyright Compliance

Getty Images Holdings Inc. and NVIDIA are collaborating on an AI-driven image generator, striving to produce content free from copyright concerns and averting deepfake creation and intellectual property...

Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Bank Teams Up with Binance Japan for New Stablecoin Venture

Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Bank collaborates with Binance Japan and Progmat on a stablecoin initiative, leveraging Progmat Coin infrastructure. Anticipated stablecoin issuance follows the amended Fund Settlement Acts June 2023...

LG Electronics Unveils First Foldable Laptop in South Korea: The LG Gram Fold

LG Electronics introduced the LG Gram Fold (17X90R) in South Korea, marking a revolutionary shift in laptop design. This innovative device, releasing next week, combines adaptability and cutting-edge technology and is...

Jeff Bezos Announces Dave Limp's Transition from Amazon to Blue Origin's Top Role

Dave Limp, Amazons senior vice president of devices and services, has been named the new CEO of Blue Origin Rocket. Jeff Bezos conveyed this leadership shift in a letter, praising Limps capabilities. Limp assumes the...

Politics

Zelenskyy's meetings with Trudeau and Biden are aimed at winning the long war

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has capped off a visit to North America with a stop in Ottawa, where he addressed Parliament and urged the world not to forget about the war in Ukraine. It is genocide what...

Offshore wind: a perfect storm of inflation and policy uncertainty risks derailing the UK's main hope for a low-carbon future

In what many have deemed a disaster, the UK governments latest auction for renewable power an annual attempt to incentivise private sector investment in a range of power sources has failed to bring forward any new...

Ukraine war: mixed signals among Kyiv's allies hint at growing conflict fatigue

It is now almost 600 days since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and the war that has followed has tested the resilience of both countries. But it has also tested those in the west that have supported...

Sunak should be wary of backtracking on net zero – what history tells us about flip-flopping on the environment

Rishi Sunak has delivered a speech in which he announced delays to key net zero targets, including postponing the ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars until 2035. It is a remarkable event given that the UK...

The fraught history of India and the Khalistan movement

The Indian government has warned its citizens living in Canada to exercise extreme caution due to a deteriorating security environment in the country. The warning came after Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau...

Science

A Nasa spacecraft is on course to deliver material from an asteroid to Earth – here's what we could learn

Around 15 years ago, I was on a European Space Agency (Esa) committee, looking at Esas strategy for proposed forthcoming space missions. Under consideration was a mission to an asteroid. Over dinner, one of the committee...

Five golden rules for effective science communication – perspectives from a documentary maker

Over the past three years, people from all walks of life have learned a great deal about different branches of science. The COVID-19 pandemic introduced many of us to information about virology and vaccine production....

Discovering the universe from our own backyards

When I was a college student, I worked at the Charlevoix Astronomical Observatory in Québec. It was a pretty decent summer job, as I got to observe celestial bodies until the dead of night, talk to astronomy...

Our planet is burning in unexpected ways - here’s how we can protect people and nature

People have been using fire for millennia. It is a vital part of many ecosystems and cultures. Yet human activities in the current era, sometimes called the Anthropocene, are reshaping patterns of fire across the...

Jamais vu: the science behind eerie opposite of déjà vu

Repetition has a strange relationship with the mind. Take the experience of déjà vu, when we wrongly believe have experienced a novel situation in the past leaving you with an spooky sense of pastness. But...

Technology

Hitachi Taps VR to Preserve Japanese Craftsmanship: Veteran Workers Guide Newbies in Metaverse

Hitachi Ltd. is revolutionizing Japanese craftsmanship training using the metaverse, enabling remote skill transfer. Utilizing VR and advanced cameras, the Tokyo-based electronics company offers real-time instruction,...

Mitsubishi Unveils Mysterious Electrified Minivan Concept Ahead of Japan Mobility Show 2023

Mitsubishi Motors unveiled an electrified minivan concept teaser, creating a buzz ahead of the Japan Mobility Show 2023. Speculation arises over its features and connection to existing models. The darkened image reveals...

How AI and AR could increase the risk of problem gambling for online sports betting

Sometimes referred to as the crack cocaine of gambling, electronic gaming machines (EGMs) such as slot machines allow bets to be placed as quickly as once every 2.5 seconds, delivering a rapid and immersive gambling...

OpenAI Unveils Major ChatGPT Update with 'See, Hear and Speak' Capabilities

OpenAI announces a groundbreaking ChatGPT update, introducing voice comprehension, audible responses, and image processing. This significant enhancement redefines AI communication, elevating the user experience. One of...

Mitsubishi Chemical to Open New Semiconductor Materials Plant by 2025 Amid Global Demand

Mitsubishi Chemical Group announces a new semiconductor materials plant, operational by March 2025. While the location remains undecided, Fukuoka Prefecture is under consideration. Given the components pivotal role in...