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• EUR/ NZD declined on Friday as rebound risk sentiment and higher metal prices lifted kiwi dollar .
• Mixed jobs report showing unemployment at a decade high despite strong employment growth prompted markets to scale back expectations of a near-term rate hike..
• Traders are largely pricing in the next rate hike for October, with a September increase seen as about 70% likely.
• The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is scheduled to meet on February 18, marking the first policy meeting under its new governor, Anna Breman.
• The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will release updated economic and rate projections, with markets watching whether it keeps mid-2027 as the expected timing for the first rate hike.
• Immediate resistance is located at 1.9825(38.2% fib), any close above will push the pair towards 1.9922 (SMA 20).
• Immediate support is seen at 1.9534(23.6% fib) and break below could take the pair towards 1.9461 (Lower BB).
• Recommendation: Good to sell around 1.9650, with stop loss of 1.9700 and target price of 1.9540
