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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Moody's: Higher prices, improved market environment drive outlook change to stable for European steel sector

Apr 27, 2017 06:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Recovering steel prices and improved industrial output expected in the European Union are expected to boost producers profits over the next 12 months prompting a change in the outlook for the European steel sector to...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Apr 17, 2017 10:06 am UTC| Commentary Economy

This week is less risk heavy in terms of scheduled data and events, except for the upcoming French election. What to watch for over the coming days: Key economic data: Not many key economic dockets scheduled...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: Shiller PE and S&P500

Apr 04, 2017 10:06 am UTC| Commentary

Shiller PE is an important tool to measure fundamental valuation in stocks, which was explained by Robert Shiller in his book, Irrational Exuberance. It is based on price to earnings ratio that is calculated using average...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: S&P 500 valuation based on oil price

Mar 28, 2017 05:42 am UTC| Commentary

Defying pundits, the US benchmark stock index SP 500 rose sharply after the Republican candidate Donald Trump secured victory in the November 8th election. Despite the recent correction, the stock index is up by almost 10...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: Long-term yield spread vs. EUR/GBP

Feb 21, 2017 08:35 am UTC| Commentary

This chart shows the performance of EUR/GBP exchange rate in contrast to the performance of long-term yield divergence between 10-year German bund and 10-year UK gilt. During our evaluation period beginning August 2015, we...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Feb 21, 2017 08:00 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: Yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Feb 21, 2017 07:31 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cozy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

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Economy

Dollar Holds Near Two-Week High as Fed Rate Hike Bets Rise

The U.S. dollar held close to a two-week high on Monday as investors increased bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate hike following hawkish comments from Chair Kevin Warsh, while renewed tensions in the Gulf boosted...

Asian Currencies Mixed as Yen Nears 160, Oil Surges

Asian currencies traded mixed on Monday as the Japanese yen remained close to the critical 160-per-dollar level, while escalating U.S.-Iran tensions pushed oil prices higher and fueled risk aversion across financial...

Asian Tech Stocks Slide as Fed Rate Hike Bets Rise

Asian technology stocks fell sharply on Monday as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh strengthened expectations for a September U.S. interest rate hike, while renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and rising oil...

China Manufacturing PMI Contracts Again as Recovery Remains Fragile

Chinas manufacturing sector remained in contraction territory for a second consecutive month in August, although improving factory orders helped slow the pace of decline. Services activity also weakened, highlighting...

Asian Stocks Fall as Fed Rate Hike Bets and Iran Conflict Rattle Markets

Asian stocks fell broadly on Monday as investors reacted to hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, which drove oil prices higher and renewed inflation concerns. The...

Politics

North Korea Vows to Strengthen Nuclear Arsenal Amid U.S. Tensions

North Korea said Monday that it will continue strengthening its nuclear weapons program, arguing that Washingtons hostile policy toward Pyongyang remains unchanged and poses an ongoing threat to the countrys sovereignty...

Flavio Bolsonaro Pledges to Respect Brazil Election Result

Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the leading opposition candidate in the countrys presidential race, has pledged to respect the outcome of the October election and abide by Brazils existing electoral rules. Bolsonaro, a...

Trump Posts AI Video of Iran’s Kharg Island Exploding as Tensions Surge

U.S. President Donald Trump posted an AI-generated video depicting Irans Kharg Island oil hub being destroyed, adding to tensions after Washington and Tehran exchanged attacks for the first time since July. Kharg Island...

Nepal Seeks More China Glacier Data After Deadly Himalayan Flood

Nepal is pushing for stronger disaster data-sharing with China after a catastrophic Himalayan glacier collapse triggered floods and mudslides that killed nearly 800 people across both countries and left more than 3,000...

Iran Targets U.S. Forces in Jordan as Missiles Intercepted

Iran launched missile attacks targeting U.S. forces stationed in Jordan on Sunday, marking a fresh escalation in tensions between Washington and Tehran as military exchanges resumed across the region. Fox News reporter...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Faraday Future Delivers First Robots in Middle East, Plans September Launches

Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (NASDAQ: FFAI) has completed its first robotics sale and delivery in the Middle East, marking an early milestone in the electric vehicle and AI technology companys regional...

Pinterest Stock Falls as CFO Julia Brau Donnelly Resigns

Pinterest Inc. (NYSE: PINS) shares fell sharply in after-hours trading on Friday after the social media company announced the resignation of Chief Financial Officer Julia Brau Donnelly, prompting investor attention on the...

PayPal Shares Sink as $50 Billion Takeover Bid Collapses

PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL) shares plunged in extended trading after a consortium led by private equity firm Advent International and payments giant Stripe reportedly ended its pursuit of the digital payments company....

Nvidia Pauses AI Cloud Financing Deals Amid Antitrust Concerns

Nvidia has temporarily halted some deals tied to a recently introduced financing program for artificial intelligence cloud companies, amid internal concerns that the arrangement could attract greater antitrust scrutiny,...

Google Changes EU Spam Policy Amid Antitrust Scrutiny

Google has revised its spam policy in Europe after concerns from European Union regulators raised the possibility of a significant antitrust fine for Alphabet, the search giants parent company. The company said Friday that...