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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

KOSPI Drops Nearly 5% as Samsung, SK Hynix Lead AI Stock Selloff

South Koreas benchmark KOSPI tumbled nearly 5% on Monday, extending losses after recording its worst monthly decline since the 2008 global financial crisis. Renewed selling in major semiconductor stocks erased much of...

Japanese Yen Rallies as Intervention Hopes and BOJ Outlook Weigh on USD/JPY

The Japanese yen extended its rally against the U.S. dollar on Monday, climbing nearly 1% as investors increased bets that Japanese authorities could launch another coordinated currency intervention with the United States...

Gold Prices Rise as Trump Delays Iran Strike, Oil Slumps

Gold prices edged higher on Monday after a sharp decline in oil prices eased inflation concerns, boosting demand for safe-haven assets. The rally came after U.S. President Donald Trump delayed a planned military strike...

Asian Stocks Slide as AI Selloff Hits South Korea, Oil Prices Drop on Iran Talks

Asian stock markets opened the week lower on Monday, with South Korea leading regional losses as renewed selling in artificial intelligence-related technology stocks overshadowed improving investor sentiment from easing...

US Stock Futures Rise as Trump’s Iran Talks Boost Market Sentiment Ahead of Key Earnings

U.S. stock index futures moved higher late Sunday after President Donald Trump announced that negotiations with Iran would begin on Monday, easing geopolitical concerns and lifting investor sentiment. The prospect of...

Politics

DOJ Rescinds Anti-Weaponization Fund Ahead of Todd Blanche Senate Confirmation Vote

The U.S. Justice Department has rescinded an order establishing the controversial Anti-Weaponization Fund just days before the Senate Judiciary Committee is set to consider Todd Blanches nomination for attorney general, a...

Former House Appropriations Chair Kay Granger Dies at 83

Former U.S. Representative Kay Granger, a longtime Texas Republican and the first Republican woman to chair the powerful House Appropriations Committee, has died at the age of 83, according to confirmation from her son,...

Taiwan Says U.S. Military Cooperation Is Stronger Than Many Realize

Taiwans military cooperation with the United States is stronger than many people realize, Defence Minister Wellington Koo said, highlighting expanding exchanges with the U.S. Pacific Command as Taipei works to strengthen...

Russian Border Drone Strike Kills Child in Belgorod, Injures Two Others

A Ukrainian drone strike in Russias Belgorod region killed a 13-year-old girl and injured two other children on Sunday, according to local Russian officials. The incident occurred near a playground in the border village of...

China Defends Industrial Policy Ahead of Key U.S. and EU Trade Talks

China is doubling down on its industrial-focused economic strategy as it prepares for high-stakes trade negotiations with the United States and the European Union, signaling little intention of making major policy changes...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Meta Cuts Wipro Outsourcing by 25% After AI-Led Restructuring

Meta Platforms has reportedly reduced the amount of IT work it outsources to Wipro Ltd by at least 25% following an artificial intelligence-driven restructuring that resulted in the closure of its digital marketing...

Alibaba Stock Jumps as Qwen 3.8-MAX AI Model Intensifies China's AI Race

Alibaba Group (HK:9988) shares climbed sharply on Monday after the company introduced Qwen 3.8-MAX, the newest version of its flagship artificial intelligence model, highlighting its growing ambitions in the rapidly...

SpaceX Earnings Preview: Bernstein Says 4 Key Factors Will Drive Long-Term Valuation

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) is set to release its first quarterly earnings report on August 4, but Bernstein believes investors should focus less on the financial results and more on managements...

AI Data Center Boom Faces New Risks as Public Backlash and Policy Scrutiny Grow

Public opposition to large-scale data center construction is rising sharply, creating new challenges for the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom, according to Wolfe Research. The firm identified growing voter...

T-Mobile Executives Reportedly Oppose $300 Billion Deutsche Telekom Merger

Senior executives at T-Mobile US have reportedly told parent company Deutsche Telekom that they do not support a proposed $300 billion merger between the two companies, citing shareholder resistance and potential...