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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

Huawei Chip Breakthrough Sparks Rally in Chinese Semiconductor Stocks

Chinese semiconductor stocks surged Monday after Huawei announced a major breakthrough in advanced chip technology, fueling optimism about Chinas push for semiconductor self-sufficiency amid ongoing U.S. export...

European Stocks Rise as U.S.-Iran Peace Deal Hopes Lift Market Sentiment

European stock markets opened higher on Monday as investors reacted positively to reports suggesting the United States and Iran may be moving closer to a peace agreement. The prospect of easing geopolitical tensions helped...

Asian Stocks Rally as Japan’s Nikkei Hits Record High on AI and Chipmaker Surge

Asian stock markets advanced sharply on Monday, led by Japans Nikkei 225 and TOPIX indexes reaching fresh record highs as investors reacted positively to strong gains in U.S. semiconductor and artificial intelligence...

Dollar Weakens as Iran Deal Hopes Boost Global Currencies and Risk Appetite

The U.S. dollar slipped on Monday as optimism surrounding a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement improved investor sentiment and reduced demand for safe-haven assets. Trading activity remained light due to public holidays...

Rupee Rebounds as RBI Signals Strong Support Amid Falling Oil Prices

The Indian rupee strengthened on Monday after hitting record lows near 97 against the U.S. dollar last week, as fresh intervention signals from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) boosted market confidence. The USD/INR...

Politics

Trump-Taiwan Call Could Reshape U.S.-China Relations, Says Taiwan Foreign Minister

Taiwan Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung said on Monday that a potential phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Taiwan President Lai Ching-te would be welcomed by Taipei, though any initiative depends entirely on...

Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 to Focus on Iran War, Taiwan Tensions and U.S. Role in Asia

The ongoing war in Iran, growing tensions over Taiwan, and concerns about U.S. military commitments in Asia are expected to dominate discussions at the 2026 Shangri-La Dialogue, Asias leading defence and security forum...

U.S.-Iran Talks Advance as Trump Signals Tough Stance on Hormuz and Nuclear Deal

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Monday that Washington would either secure a good agreement with Iran or address the situation through another way, as negotiations between the two countries continue amid ongoing...

Turkey Opposition Crisis Deepens as Police Storm CHP Headquarters

Turkeys political tensions escalated sharply after riot police forced their way into the headquarters of the main opposition Republican Peoples Party (CHP) in Ankara, intensifying concerns over the future of Turkish...

Russia Launches Massive Missile and Drone Assault on Kyiv, Killing Civilians and Damaging Historic Sites

Russia carried out one of its largest attacks on Kyiv and nearby regions since the war began, launching hundreds of drones and missiles, including the nuclear-capable Oreshnik hypersonic missile. The overnight assault...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Macquarie Names Five Taiwan AI Stocks Set to Benefit From Data Center Growth in 2026

Macquarie has highlighted five major Taiwanese electronics stocks that it believes are well positioned to benefit from rising artificial intelligence infrastructure spending, data center upgrades, and next-generation...

Meta AI Push Could Add $26 Billion in Revenue by 2027, Wolfe Research Says

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) is projected to generate more than $26 billion in additional revenue by 2027 through artificial intelligence products, subscription services, and new advertising tools, according to a recent...

SpaceX Starship V3 Test Flight Boosts IPO Momentum Ahead of Historic Market Debut

SpaceX successfully completed a major test flight of its upgraded Starship V3 rocket, marking a significant achievement for Elon Musks aerospace company as it moves closer to a highly anticipated initial public offering....

PDG Explores $1 Billion Sale of China Data Center Assets

Princeton Digital Group (PDG), a major data center operator backed by private equity firm Warburg Pincus, has reportedly launched a sale process for its China-based assets that could be valued at as much as $1 billion,...

Lam Research Expands AI-Powered Semiconductor Tools and Arizona Operations

Lam Research is accelerating its investment in artificial intelligence and advanced sensing technology to improve semiconductor manufacturing efficiency while expanding its presence in Arizona and California. The...
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