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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

Switzerland Population Cap Referendum Sparks Economic and Immigration Debate

Switzerland will vote on June 14, 2026, in a closely watched referendum that could cap the countrys population at 10 million people. The proposal, backed by the right-wing Swiss Peoples Party (SVP), has drawn comparisons...

Vietnam Prioritizes Fiscal Stimulus as Monetary Policy Space Narrows

Vietnam is expected to rely more heavily on expansionary fiscal policies to achieve its ambitious economic growth targets, while the scope for further monetary easing remains limited, according to Deputy Governor of the...

BoE Policymaker Alan Taylor Signals No Need for Interest Rate Hike Amid Iran War Inflation Risks

Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Alan Taylor has indicated that the UKs current interest rate level remains restrictive enough to manage inflation, despite growing concerns over price pressures linked to the ongoing...

Goldman Sachs Sees Fed Holding Interest Rates Steady Until 2027

Goldman Sachs has revised its outlook for U.S. monetary policy, predicting that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through 2026 and postpone any rate cuts until 2027. The updated forecast reflects...

Indonesia Plans Higher Asset Yields to Boost Rupiah and Restore Investor Confidence

Indonesias central bank and finance ministry have agreed to increase yields on Indonesian financial assets in an effort to attract foreign portfolio inflows and strengthen the rupiah, which has recently fallen to record...

Politics

Kosovo Election 2026: Albin Kurti’s Party Wins Most Votes but Falls Short of Majority

Prime Minister Albin Kurtis Vetevendosje party emerged as the leading force in Kosovos 2026 parliamentary election, securing the largest share of votes but failing to obtain the outright majority needed to end the countrys...

Israel Strikes Iran Petrochemical Site as Trump Presses for Restraint Amid Peace Talks

Israel launched fresh airstrikes on Iranian targets Monday, including the Mahshahr petrochemical complex in southwestern Iran, marking the first reported attack on an energy facility since the April ceasefire. Iranian...

Peru Presidential Election Too Close to Call as Ipsos Quick Count Shows Statistical Tie

Perus presidential election remains on a knife-edge after an early Ipsos quick count showed Roberto Sanchez holding a narrow lead over Keiko Fujimori, highlighting one of the closest presidential races in the countrys...

Trump Says Iran Sanctions and Frozen Assets Will Remain Until Peace Deal Is Reached

U.S. President Donald Trump has stated that the United States will not unfreeze Iranian assets or lift sanctions on Iran until a formal peace agreement is finalized. In an interview with NBC News Meet the Press, Trump...

Trump Urges Restraint as Israel-Iran Tensions Threaten Fragile Peace Talks

U.S. President Donald Trump has reportedly urged Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not to launch a retaliatory strike against Iran following a new missile exchange that threatens ongoing efforts to secure a broader...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Naver Stock Jumps on NVIDIA Partnership to Build South Korea’s AI Infrastructure

Naver Corp. (KS:035420) shares surged on Monday after the South Korean technology giant announced a major artificial intelligence partnership with NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA). The news fueled strong investor...

Nvidia Expands South Korea AI Partnerships to Strengthen Data Center and Memory Chip Supply

Nvidia has announced a series of strategic partnerships with leading South Korean technology companies as the AI chip giant seeks to strengthen its supply chain and accelerate the growth of its artificial intelligence...

Bouygues, Orange and Iliad Strike €20.35 Billion Deal to Acquire SFR

Frances telecom sector is on the verge of a major transformation after Bouygues Telecom, Orange, and Free, part of the Iliad Group, signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Altice France to acquire telecom operator...

US Officials Explore AI Company Equity Stakes Ahead of OpenAI and Anthropic IPO Plans

Senior U.S. government officials have reportedly held preliminary discussions with leading artificial intelligence companies regarding the possibility of the federal government acquiring equity stakes in their businesses....

Switch Eyes Multi-Billion-Dollar Funding Round at $50 Billion Valuation Ahead of Potential IPO

Data center operator Switch is reportedly in discussions to raise billions of dollars in a new funding round that could value the company at more than $50 billion, according to a report from The Information. The potential...