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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

China Imposes 55% Tariff on Beef Imports Above Quota to Protect Domestic Industry

China will impose an additional 55% tariff on beef imports that exceed newly set quota levels starting January 1, 2026, as part of safeguard measures aimed at protecting its domestic cattle industry. The policy will apply...

Trump Delays Tariff Increases on Furniture and Cabinets for One More Year

U.S. President Donald Trump signed a proclamation on Wednesday to delay planned tariff increases on upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets, and bathroom vanities for an additional year, according to a statement from the...

USDA $12 Billion Farm Aid Program Draws Mixed Reactions from Row Crop Farmers

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has released new details on a $12 billion farm aid program aimed at supporting American farmers struggling with low crop prices and ongoing trade disputes. While the initiative is...

Japanese Business Leaders Urge Government Action as Weak Yen Strains Economy

Two of Japans most influential business lobbying groups have called on the government to address the prolonged weakness of the yen, warning that the depreciating currency is driving up import costs, fueling inflation, and...

South Korea Exports Hit Record High as Global Trade Momentum Builds

South Koreas exports surged for a seventh straight month in December, closing out 2025 at an all-time high and surpassing the $700 billion mark for the first time, according to official government data released on...

Politics

Trump Administration Cancels National Links Trust Lease for Washington Public Golf Courses

The Trump administration has canceled a long-term lease held by the nonprofit National Links Trust (NLT) to manage three major public golf courses in Washington, D.C., a move that has sparked controversy and raised...

Trump Administration Lifts Sanctions on Three Intellexa-Linked Executives

The administration of President Donald Trump has lifted U.S. sanctions on three executives previously linked to the controversial spyware consortium Intellexa, according to a notice published on the U.S. Treasury...

U.S. Intelligence Disputes Russia’s Claim of Ukrainian Drone Attack on Putin

U.S. national security officials have concluded that Ukraine did not attempt to assassinate Russian President Vladimir Putin or target one of his residences in a recent drone incident, according to a Wall Street Journal...

Pentagon Awards $328.5 Million Lockheed Martin Contract to Support Taiwan Air Force Amid Rising Tensions

The United States Department of Defense announced on Wednesday that Lockheed Martin has been awarded a major contract tied to foreign military sales to Taiwan, aimed at addressing what Washington describes as an urgent...

Trump Administration Clarifies Minnesota Childcare Funding Status Amid Fraud Claims

A day after senior officials in the Trump administration suggested that federal childcare funds for Minnesota had been frozen, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) clarified that no such freeze had...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

Neuralink Plans Automated Brain Implant Surgeries and Mass Production by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface startup Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, with plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to fully automated surgical procedures in...

SoftBank Completes $41 Billion OpenAI Investment in Historic AI Funding Round

SoftBank Group has officially completed a massive $41 billion investment in OpenAI, marking one of the largest private funding rounds in global technology history. The deal gives the Japanese conglomerate an estimated 11%...

Elon Musk’s xAI Expands Supercomputer Infrastructure With Third Data Center to Boost AI Training Power

Elon Musk announced on Tuesday that his artificial intelligence startup, xAI, has acquired a third building to further expand its computing infrastructure, signaling a major step in the companys effort to compete with...

ByteDance Plans Massive AI Chip Spending Boost as Nvidia Demand Grows in China

Chinas technology giant ByteDance is preparing to significantly ramp up its artificial intelligence investment, with plans to spend about 100 billion yuan (approximately $14 billion) on AI chips in 2026, according to a...

Samsung Electronics Secures Annual U.S. Licence for China Chip Equipment Imports in 2026

Samsung Electronics has obtained an annual licence from the United States government that allows the South Korean technology giant to import critical semiconductor manufacturing equipment into its China-based facilities...