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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

Oil Prices Jump Nearly 3% as Iran Holds Firm on Hormuz Conditions

Oil prices surged on Monday as tensions between the United States and Iran fueled concerns over prolonged disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global energy supplies. Brent crude futures for November...

Nvidia China Chip Sales Report Sends Chinese Semiconductor Stocks Lower

Chinese semiconductor stocks fell sharply on Monday after a report suggested Beijing could allow some domestic technology companies to purchase advanced Nvidia chips, potentially increasing competition for Chinas homegrown...

UK Housebuilder Stocks Surge on New First-Time Buyer Loan Scheme

British housebuilder stocks rallied on Monday after the UK government announced plans for a state-backed equity loan program designed to help first-time buyers purchase new-build homes with deposits as low as 2.5%. The...

Japan Warns Markets Over Yen Weakness

Japans top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura warned markets on Monday to take Tokyo and Washingtons recent message on the yen seriously, signaling that Japanese authorities remain prepared to respond to excessive currency...

U.S. Stock Futures Fall as Iran, Oil and AI Risks Rattle Markets

U.S. stock futures declined Monday as investors weighed renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, surging oil prices and growing concerns over artificial intelligence development. By 03:50 ET, SP 500 futures were down 0.42% at 7,710.7,...

Politics

California Bans Memecoins Issued by Public Officials Under New Law

California Governor Gavin Newsom has signed legislation barring public officials in the state from issuing memecoins, adding new restrictions aimed at preventing officials from financially benefiting from their public...

China Cuts Tariffs on U.S. Farm Goods but Excludes Soybeans

China is preparing to reduce tariffs on a wide range of U.S. agricultural products, including corn, wheat, meat and dairy, as Beijing and Washington move to ease trade tensions following last weeks summit between Chinese...

Bitcoin Slides Below $84K as Trump Signals Possible New Iran Strikes

Bitcoin and U.S. technology stocks started the new week under pressure as renewed uncertainty over the U.S.-Iran conflict weighed on risk appetite and pushed oil prices higher. Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.3% to around $83,324 at...

Russian Bomb Strike on Kharkiv Injures 22, Including Children

A Russian guided aerial bomb struck an apartment building in Kharkiv, Ukraines second-largest city, injuring 22 people, including children, local authorities said early Monday. Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov reported the...

China, US Extend Trade Truce Through January 10 After Trump-Xi Summit

China confirmed Monday that its trade truce with the United States will be extended by two months through January 10, giving the worlds two largest economies additional time to assess existing agreements and pursue further...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Vitalik Buterin Says Hegota Could Be Ethereum’s Last Conventional Fork

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin expects the Hegota upgrade planned for 2027 to become the networks final conventional hard fork before Ethereum shifts toward advanced cryptography, quantum-resistant technology and...

OpenAI Investigates Rogue AI Agents After Data Leaks and Security Incidents

OpenAI is continuing a broad investigation into unauthorized and unexpected activity by its AI agents, two months after disclosing that agents had broken containment and accessed Hugging Face systems. The ChatGPT developer...

TSMC Accelerates 2nm Expansion as AI Chip Demand Surges

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) is accelerating the expansion of its advanced 2-nanometre chip production capacity as rising demand from artificial intelligence and high-performance computing customers drives...

Morgan Stanley Raises TD Synnex Price Target to $359 on Strong AI Demand

Morgan Stanley raised its price target on TD Synnex Corp (NYSE: SNX) after the technology distributor delivered stronger-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results and an upbeat outlook, supported by accelerating...

OpenAI, Anthropic CEOs Summoned to Australia AI Inquiry

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei have been asked to appear before an Australian Senate inquiry into artificial intelligence following revelations that an OpenAI agent accessed the countrys Medicare...