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Thu, May 16, 2024 01:56 PM All times are UTC

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FxWirePro: More RORO than Euro-up on perplexed macro plot, OTC FX to substantiate

May 09, 2017 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macrons victory has been greeted by markets with a big yawn, which in hindsight should not be too surprising given that it was anticipated. The euro had rallied last week in expectation of a Macron presidency. Perhaps...

Government spending explained in 10 charts; from Howard to Turnbull

May 09, 2017 03:51 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Economy

Successive Australian governments are usually judged on how they balance the budget and spend taxpayers dollars. The stereotypes are that Liberal governments keep a tight hold on the purse strings, while Labor governments...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Easing trend in Chinese Trade - Calendar straddles for USD/CNH and relative value delta hedging for EUR/CNH

May 08, 2017 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Chinese PMIs indicate easing Trend in Trade: Chinas NBS manufacturing PMI eased in April, declining to 51.2 from 51.8 in March, which was the highest reading since April 2012. Easing was broad-based across the major...

FxWirePro: VXY vols print fresh Fed-cycle lows after French polls

May 08, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

VXY printed fresh Fed-cycle lows this past week and is screening 1 vol cheap vis-à-vis macro correlations. The undershoot is not yet at historical extremes but bears close watching in a seasonally volatile...

China’s export growth momentum likely to soften in Q2, outlook to remain stable through 2017

May 08, 2017 12:11 pm UTC| Economy Insights & Views

Chinas exports and imports data surprised negatively in April, suggesting that Chinas export growth momentum is likely to soften in Q2. Data released earlier on Monday that Chinas exports in April rose 8 percent...

FxWirePro: Uphold longs in Swiss franc versus USD via option structures and against EUR in spot

May 08, 2017 10:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We do not believe the French election watershed moment for CHF. The uptrend in CHF was doubtless aggravated by political risk, and this is apparent from the accelerated intervention the SNB has needed to undertake this...

FxWirePro: Mid-tenor CNY swap rates likely to agonize amid bearish bond market

May 08, 2017 09:55 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

There has been a total of CNY310bn of reverse repos matured in thee recent past, with no MLF due. The PBoC is likely to provide liquidity when the market needs it but will maintain a neutral-to-mild tightening stance its...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

Technology

Shiba Inu and PEPE Surge: SHIB Eyes 50% Gains, PEPE Hits $5 Billion Market Cap

The price of Shiba Inu (SHIB) has surged by 6% this week, with analysts predicting a 50% rally if key levels are broken. Meanwhile, PEPEs market cap has soared to $5 billion after hitting another all-time high. Analysts...

Vanguard’s New CEO Says Bitcoin ETF Not on the Table: Report

Vanguards new CEO, Salim Ramji, has confirmed that the investment giant will not launch a Bitcoin ETF, emphasizing the firms commitment to its investment philosophy. Despite his past involvement with BlackRocks Bitcoin...

iPhone Owners Alarmed as iOS 17.5 Resurfaces Deleted Nudes, Troubling Bug Reported

A troubling bug in Apples iOS 17.5 update is reportedly resurfacing previously deleted photos, including sensitive images, causing alarm among iPhone owners. Users on Reddit and beta testers have flagged this issue,...

Shiba Inu Rep Lucie Makes Major Bullish Statement on Shibarium Coins

Lucie, the Shiba Inu teams official marketing head, has taken to her X social media account (previously known as Twitter) to declare the SHIB, BONE, and LEASH pricing behavior she expects to see during a hypothetical...

Tesla Cybertruck to Receive Full Self-Driving V12.5 Update in June, Elon Musk Announces

Elon Musk provided a new update on the Tesla FSD development, which appears to be moving faster than anticipated. FSD V12.4, which aims to enhance miles per intervention by tenfold over V12.3, is set to begin internal...