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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

Democrats take House at US midterm elections, but Republicans keep Senate; Labor well ahead in Victoria

Nov 08, 2018 17:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

US midterm elections were held today. All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senators were up for election. Democrats were defending 26 Senators, including some states that Trump won by big margins in 2016, and Republicans...

Poll wrap: Morrison's ratings slump in Newspoll; Wentworth's huge difference in on-the-day and early voting

Oct 29, 2018 19:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 25-28 from a sample of 1,650, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 39% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (down one), 9% Greens...

Poll wrap: Labor slips in Newspoll, but gains in Ipsos, in Wentworth and in Victoria

Oct 16, 2018 15:12 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 11-14 from a sample of 1,707, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (down one), 37% Coalition (up one), 11%...

Poll wrap: Worst reaction to midterm PM change in Newspoll history; contrary polls in Dutton's Dickson

Aug 28, 2018 12:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted August 24-26 - the days following the leadership spill - from a sample of 1,780, gave Labor a massive 56-44 lead, a five point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 41%...

How the hard right terminated Turnbull, only to see Scott Morrison become PM

Aug 25, 2018 07:52 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After a week of vicious internal party politics, Malcolm Turnbull has been deposed as prime minister and replaced not by Peter Dutton, but Scott Morrison. In todays party room vote, Morrison, who was supported by Turnbull,...

Polls update: Trump’s ratings held up by US economy; Australian polls steady

Aug 13, 2018 15:05 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Three months before the November 6 US midterm elections, the FiveThirtyEight poll aggregate gives Donald Trump a 41.7% approval rating and a 52.5% disapproval rating, for a net approval of -10.8. Despite issues such as...

Poll wrap: Turnbull’s Newspoll ratings slump; Labor leads in Victoria; Longman preferences helped LNP

Aug 13, 2018 12:46 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted August 9-12 from a sample of 1,607, gave Labor a 51-49 lead, unchanged on last fortnight. Primary votes were 37% Coalition (down two), 35% Labor (down one), 10% Greens (steady) and 9% One...

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Economy

Indonesian imports growth likely to ease this year on lagged impact of Rupiah depreciation, says DBS Economics

Indonesian imports growth is expected to ease through this year compared to last year as lagged impact of Rupiah depreciation will start to take effect, in addition to lower oil price, according to the latest research...

BoK likely to leave key policy rate unchanged next week amid synchronized global slowdown, says Scotiabank

The Bank of Korea (BoK) is expected to leave its benchmark monetary policy rate unchanged at 1.75 percent at its monetary policy meeting on next Thursday amid a synchronized global slowdown and heightened disinflation...

JGBs remain mixed after December national core CPI disappoints investors, November IP improves

The Japanese government bonds remained narrowly mixed Friday after the countrys national consumer price inflation (CPI) data for the month of December disappointed market sentiments and industrial production for November...

Australian bonds sag as U.S.-China trade talks progress; 10-year yield jumps 3bps

Australian government bonds slumped across the curve during Asian trading session Friday as better-than-expected U.S. economic data and progress in U.S.-China trade talks helped investors to move from safe-haven...

Britons locked up in political drama after PM May narrowly survives no-confidence vote; watch what Labour Party does next

The United Kingdoms citizens locked up in a political drama over the countrys divorce deal with the European Union after an array of events puzzled market reactions. Last nights no-confidence vote raised by opposition...

Politics

Melania Trump 2019: FLOTUS Flew to Palm Beach After Donald Trump Canceled Nancy Pelosi’s Afghanistan Visit

Melania Trump has been notably absent in the last few weeks amidst the government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history. But there is precedence to the FLOTUS actions as she behaved similarly last year, although the...

Vladimir Putin Reportedly Backed the Russian’s NRA Infiltration In a Bid to Create Conflicts in the US

Vladimir Putin and his government have repeatedly denied their involvement in the infiltration of the National Rifle Association (NRA) but a U.S. intelligence report showed otherwise. It was said that the Kremlins are...

Donald Trump’s Ratings Plunge as Shutdown Continues; POTUS Reportedly Won’t Negotiate Reopening Government Without Wall Funding

A Rasmussen poll report, on Monday, showed Donald Trumps ratings plunged to its lowest for the past year. A source said the President of the United States is unlikely to negotiate the reopening of the government until his...

Donald Trump Allegedly Furious, Let Out Expletives As Michael Cohen Is Set to Testify Before House Next Month

Donald Trump is allegedly furious after learning that his former lawyer, Michael Cohen, is set to testify before the House committee in February. The hearing would be televised, and the lawyer would be questioned about the...

Jake Tapper Laughed at Mick Mulvaney’s Face for Saying No One Blames Donald Trump for Political Discourse

Mick Mulvaney, Donald Trumps acting chief of staff, was on CNN on Jan. 6 and he was interviewed by John Tapper about the current situation in Washington and about Congresswoman Rashida Tlaibs profanity-filled statements...

Science

When you look up, how far back in time do you see?

Our senses are stuck in the past. Theres a flash of lightning, and then seconds pass until we hear the rumble of distant thunder. We hear the past. We are seeing into the past too. While sound travels about a...

David vs. Goliath: What a tiny electron can tell us about the structure of the universe

What is the shape of an electron? If you recall pictures from your high school science books, the answer seems quite clear: an electron is a small ball of negative charge that is smaller than an atom. This, however, is...

How we're probing the secrets of a giant black hole at our galaxy's centre

Supermassive black holes are giant black holes found at the centre of almost every galaxy. Astronomers recently made the clearest image yet of the supermassive black hole at the heart of our own galaxy using the new...

Dramatic advances in forensics expose the need for genetic data legislation

Many people first became familiar with DNA testing through its use in the OJ Simpson murder trial in 1994. Now, 24 years later, there have been two dramatic advances in the capability of forensic genetics that mark the...

Proteins reveal intricate details about life under the microscope

People have always been fascinated by life. We dream about revealing all its mysteries and are even searching other planets trying to find some forms of life there. Philosophies around the world have tried to define and...

Technology

‘Final Fantasy VII: Remake’ Release Date, Latest News & Update: Developers Rumored to Announce Big Reveal in April

Final Fantasy VII: Remake is still being created within the studio of Square Enix and the developers are remaining mum about when its going to be finished. News about the reimagining is few and far in between given that...

Samsung Galaxy S10 Release Date, Specs: 3 Variants Eyed for 2019 Launch — Including a 5G-Enabled Smartphone

Samsung is rumored to break tradition with the release of the Galaxy S10 series this year. The company is expected to launch, not only two but a total of three variants with one that supports 5G connectivity. The South...

‘Cyberpunk 2077’ Possible Release Date, Latest News & Update: Game Writer Reveals Location That Inspired Night City

Cyberpunk 2077 is not expected to come out this year if the developers previous statements are anything to go by. According to CD Projekt Red CEO Adam Kiciński, their team is hard at work in polishing the game as the...

iOS 12.1.2 Jailbreak Release Date, Latest News & Update: Newly Revealed Exploit Could Lead to Fully-Functioning Jailbreak

Another exploit was found and revealed to the public in less than a month since Apple released the iOS 12.1.2 update. The jailbreaking community is now hoping that the recent discovery would lead to the latest jailbreak...

‘Kingdom Hearts 3’ Release Date, Features: Anti-Spoiler Measure Leads to Post-Launch Release of Epilogue & ‘Secret’ Video

The countdown is on for one of the most awaited video games of 2019, Kingdom Hearts 3. Unfortunately, being exposed to leaked spoilers comes with the territory of being one of the popular titles in the gaming...
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2019-01-18 08:03:58
0m

January 18 09:00 UTC Released

EZCurrent Account SA, EUR

Actual

20.3 Bln EUR

Forecast

Previous

22.993 Bln EUR

January 18 09:00 UTC Released

EZCurrent Account NSA,EUR

Actual

23.2 Bln EUR

Forecast

Previous

26.6 Bln EUR

January 31 00:00 UTC 507445507445m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 507445507445m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 519265519265m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 507445507445m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 519265519265m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 507445507445m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 507445507445m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 507445507445m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

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