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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

Joe Biden wins US presidential election as mail-in votes turn key states around

Nov 08, 2020 10:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Pennsylvania and Nevada were today called for Joe Biden, taking him to 279 Electoral Votes, nine more than the 270 required to win. Biden is now the US president-elect, defeating an incumbent president for the first time...

Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll

Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics

Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...

Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll

Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...

With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally

Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...

Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy

Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

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Economy

China imposes 212% tariffs on Australia's wine, claims dumping

Chinese regulators would impose tariffs of between 107.1 and 212.1 percent on Australian wines after finding preliminary evidence of dumping, causing material damage to the domestic wine industry in China. An...

Oil price reaches highest level since March due to promising vaccine, Biden transition

Oil surged to $47 a barrel Tuesday, its highest level since in March on Tuesday, due to AstraZenecas promising coronavirus vaccine that spurred demand recovery hopes and US President-elect Joe Bidens transition to the...

Taiwanese money supply continues to see strong growth, CBC likely to keep rates on hold in December

Taiwanese MIB and M2 money supply continued to record solid growth in the month of October. On a year-on-year basis, MIB money supply grew 12.85 percent, while M2 money supply rose 7.05 percent in the month. This is the...

UK inks stopgap trade deal with Canada to get ready for Brexit

The UK signed a stopgap agreement with Canada, allowing trade between the two countries to continue under the same terms as Canadas existing treaty with the EU. The two countries are working on a new bilateral...

UN agency's heavy fuel oil ban in Arctic criticized as outrageous

The Clean Arctic Alliance criticized as outrageous the UN agency International Maritime Organizations (IMO) ban on the use and carriage of heavy oil fuel (HFO) by ships in Arctic waters as it would come into effect only in...

Politics

Barack Obama says Drake can play him in a biopic

There have been several screen adaptations that portrayed former President Barack Obama over the years. However, should there be another screen adaptation of the former president again, Obama has already given his approval...

Joe Biden victory: President-elect gains more votes in Wisconsin county recount

States are beginning to certify the wins received by president-elect Joe Biden as he moves forward to building his incoming administration before getting inaugurated by January. Following a recount of votes in Wisconsin,...

Melania Trump reportedly in talks to write a memoir with support from husband Donald Trump

Many political figures have often ventured into writing memoirs about their time as active public servants or even in the midst of their tenures. Outgoing first lady Melania Trump may soon be one of them as she is...

Donald Trump defeat: Supporter demands his $2.5 million donation be refunded in lawsuit

Donald Trump and his allies have continued to push their claims of voter and election fraud to court only to be met with overwhelming failure. Now, one of Trumps supporters is filing a lawsuit to demand a refund of his...

Science

Asteroid news: Hayabusa2 samples of Ryugu arriving at Earth in two weeks

Space agencies all over the world are already ahead of us in tackling possible asteroid collisions that may happen in the future. Japans own space agency is already making progress in studying one particular asteroid,...

Asteroid alert: Mysterious minimoon to make an approach to Earth next week

Back in September, astronomers were left speculating about the asteroid 2020 SO even after it was first spotted approaching our planet. As the mysterious space object makes itself visible again, astronomers now have...

Reincarnation: Top NASA scientist believed there is scientific proof of life after death

One of the biggest mysteries in life is the concept of the afterlife, something that could only be viewed in a more spiritual sense than scientific. However, one top NASA scientist believed that there is scientific...

Climate change warning: Antarctica's ice sheet may become unstable if global warming continues

The whole world may be suffering from climate change, but the icy region of Antarctica is among the worst-hit. As the ice has already melted at a concerning rate, scientists have warned that the ice sheet of the continent...

Technology

OnePlus 9 design leaks online while fans hope for specs upgrades

Smartphone fans can count on OnePlus to announce its annual lineup of flagship, premium smartphones. For next year, people are already building expectations on the upgrades that could be included in the OnePlus 9....

Samsung Galaxy Note 21 is reportedly still in the pipeline

There have been reports that Samsung will discontinue the Galaxy Note line this year after one of the upcoming Galaxy S21 devices is rumored to add S Pen support. However, more recent updates from insider reports are...

HBO greenlights ‘The Last of Us’ TV series adaptation

Naughty Dogs popular action-adventure franchise continues to thrive even beyond the video games industry. HBO recently confirmed that it ordered the The Last of Us adaptation into a TV series. The Last of Us release...

‘Forza Horizon 5’ release date could happen in 2021

Xbox fans who also love racing games might be getting a new Forza game way sooner than they expected. A known gaming journalist reported that Forza Horizon 5 could be released as soon as 2021, even before the already...
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