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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll

Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics

Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...

Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll

Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...

With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally

Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...

Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy

Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?

Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...

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Economy

FxWirePro: A Glimpse At ZAR’s RV And Delta-Hedge Trades On Looming South African Debt Crisis

Due to global recession fears and rising risk aversion yesterday brought a further sell-out for many EM currencies. The rand was amongst the biggest losers over the past days and reached new lows against USD and EUR. This...

FxWirePro: Sterling Still Edgy Amid Pandemic Saga - Driving Forces, OTC Outlook & Hedging Strategies of GBP/USD

GBPs performance ranks mid-table over the past month (+0.5% vs USD, -2.5% vs EUR) as the global impact of the coronavirus has come to dominate GBPs local difficulties with Brexit. But even though Brexit is now being...

FxWirePro: Take Prudent Look At Short Euro Trades Amid Pandemic Outlook

Pandemic COVID-19 impact has broadened, eliciting abrupt financial market moves. We all know that the strength of a relationship can be severely tested during times of crisis. This is currently very obvious in the EU, and...

FxWirePro: Driving Forces, OTC Outlook And Hedging Strategies Of EUR/JPY

Universal fact is that the strength of a relationship would be severely tested during times of crisis. This is currently very obvious in the EU, and the euro is not taking it well. There is no agreement about how to...

We are entering a recession – but what did we learn from the last one?

As the coronavirus continues to spread around the world, it is abundantly clear that the global economy is entering a recession the first weve seen since 2008. Some officials have compared the last period of economic...

Politics

US Election 2020: Wisconsin mayors urge health official to shut down in-person voting in this week's primary

As the coronavirus crisis in the United States escalates, the country struggles to push through with the ongoing elections as a new set of primaries is to be held this week. However, the mayors of Wisconsin are now urging...

Joe Biden urges Americans to 'follow the science' as pandemic continues

The pandemic that is the coronavirus or COVID19 placed the United States as well as affected countries all over the world in a crisis as lives were turned upside down. As the country struggles to proceed with electoral...

Donald Trump, Mike Pence say the US coronavirus outbreak is stabilizing

For the past several weeks, President Donald Trump has tried to push some optimism regarding the current status the United States is in when it comes to the coronavirus pandemic. Recently, he, along with Vice President...

US President Donald Trump clashes with Nancy Pelosi and Democrats over voting methods

For the past several months since the coronavirus pandemic made its way onto American soil, the electoral proceedings have since been disrupted due to the skyrocketing numbers of cases and deaths. This time, there is a...

Science

Mars: New study claims proof of life under the Red Planet's volcanic rocks

Space agencies all over the world are now looking to Mars in the quest for space exploration. A new study reveals a potential breakthrough when it comes to exploring the red planet, as the findings suggest the possibility...

NASA: Hubble Space Telescope captures spiral 'Cannibal' galaxy

Galaxies are made up of billions of stars and planets and are mostly known for merging with other galaxies nearby. However, one particular galaxy that was captured by NASAs Hubble Space Telescope, is believed to have...

Dinosaurs: Fourth consecutive Pterosaur species found by scientists

Dinosaurs were once the species that roamed all over the Earth, and paleontologists are still on the lookout to further understand how life was like for these creatures millions of years ago. In an amazing breakthrough,...

Asteroids alert: NASA releases image of asteroids Lina and Klotho in the asteroid belt

While there are asteroids that are relatively smaller, there are asteroids that are a lot larger, and then there are asteroids that are large enough to destroy an entire continent. NASA recently shared a photo of two major...

Technology

‘Total War: Three Kingdoms’ update 1.5.1: New patch fixes bugs and updates gameplay

Total War: Three Kingdoms update 1.5.1 is now live and available to all players. The patch will be bringing with it changes and fixes to the game, such as enabling players to seek confederation after their declared King or...

Will Erangel 2.0 arrives in the ‘PUBG Mobile’ v0.18.0 patch?

PUBG Mobile players are currently enjoying new gameplay features and content released in the latest patch and in celebration of the games second anniversary. However, many players have likely set their eyes on one...

iOS 14 to arrive with major iCloud Keychain upgrades

Apple might soon convince iOS 14 users there is no need to install third-party password managers. The upcoming mobile operating system is now expected to deploy significant improvements to the iCloud Keychain. iOS 14 to...

Pixelbook 2 spotted on Geekbench with an AMD Ryzen processor?

Chromebooks enthusiasts have been waiting for a while for Google to unveil the direct follow-up to its tablet-laptop hybrid that the rumor mill has been calling the Pixelbook 2. If a recent benchmark test result is to be...

Over-ear AirPods could be announced at the WWDC 2020 in June

Apples annual Worldwide Developers Conference is primarily held to announce all the upcoming operating system updates and other software products the company has in store. It is not uncommon for the company to use this...
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