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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections.

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?

Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...

Final 2019 election results: education divide explains the Coalition's upset victory

Jun 19, 2019 02:31 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the May 18 election, the size of the lower house was expanded from 150 to 151 seats. The Coalition parties won 77 seats (up one since the 2016 election), Labor 68 (down one) and the crossbench six (up one). The...

2001 polls in review: September 11 influenced election outcome far more than Tampa incident

Feb 24, 2019 06:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Many commentators have compared Labors support for the Medevac legislation with the Tampa incident in late August 2001. The implication is that Labor lost the 2001 election due to Tampa, and could lose this years election...

Democrats take House at US midterm elections, but Republicans keep Senate; Labor well ahead in Victoria

Nov 08, 2018 17:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

US midterm elections were held today. All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senators were up for election. Democrats were defending 26 Senators, including some states that Trump won by big margins in 2016, and Republicans...

Poll wrap: Morrison's ratings slump in Newspoll; Wentworth's huge difference in on-the-day and early voting

Oct 29, 2018 19:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 25-28 from a sample of 1,650, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 39% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (down one), 9% Greens...

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Economy

GDP update: spending dips and saving soars as we stash rather than spend our tax cuts

Australians saved rather than spent most of the budget tax cuts, almost doubling the proportion of household income saved, leaving spending languishing. The September quarter national accounts show that in the first...

A global downturn looks likely, yet it's being totally ignored in the UK election

For all the marked policy differences between the different parties in the UK election, they share a common blindspot. They all seem to assume that the UK is the sole determiner of its economic fate. There is nothing in...

South Africa is missing out on fresh fruit export growth. What it needs to do

South Africas urgent need to create jobs requires that the country take advantage of opportunities in the global economy that it can convert into quick wins. The fruit industry presents such an opportunity. The countrys...

Currency manipulation and why Trump is picking on Brazil and Argentina

President Donald Trump slapped new tariffs on Brazil and Argentina after accusing them of manipulating their currencies to boost exports. It wasnt the first time Trump has labeled another country a currency manipulator...

How to protect the NHS in a post-Brexit trade deal with the US

A US-UK trade deal is being negotiated, and drug prices are a key issue. Several US officials are demanding that foreign countries pay higher prices to US drug companies. The UK government is denying that drug prices will...

Politics

Melania Trump and Ivanka Trump are not close but there is no feud, new book suggests

The relationship of Melania Trump and Ivanka Trump behind the cameras is probably one of the most speculated aspects of the Trump family dynamic since they occupied the White House. It was then not surprising that the...

Hong Kong: when the citizen-birds rebel

Over the past year, a number of nations around the world have been the scene of tumultuous popular protests, including Lebanon, Algeria, Bolivia, Chile and even France. While the protests in Hong Kong bear some...

Michelle Obama did not favor the initial draft of Barack Obama's official portrait, artist reveals

It has been more than a year since the official portraits of Barack Obama and Michelle Obama were unveiled. However, a piece of interesting behind-the-scenes information was revealed on Monday by Kehinde Wiley, the artist...

Rick Perry's belief that Trump was chosen by God is shared by many in a fast-growing Christian movement

In a recent interview with Fox News, Secretary of Energy Rick Perry stated that Donald Trump was chosen by God to be president. He said throughout history God had picked imperfect people such as King David or Solomon to...

The government is hyping digitalised services, but not addressing a history of e-government fails

In politics, when you have little to show for your achievements, you can release a roadmap for what will supposedly be achieved in the future. You can look on the bright side. Use phrases such as ontology of...

Science

ESA’s space robot can only complete its mission by committing ‘suicide’

Propelled by the U.S. and Russias space race, mankind finally learned to launch a man-made object into space in 1957 with Sputnik 1. While space exploration is relatively new, the space near the earth is surprisingly...

Mars mission: Expert says to focus on Earth

Many countries who have succeeded in their efforts to travel to space are now thinking of the possibilities of colonizing a neighboring planet, such as Mars. However, one expert believes otherwise and says that before...

New Zealand White Island eruption: What caused the unexpected eruption?

Recently, the unexpected eruption coming from White Island in New Zealand brought in casualties. Now, scientists and authorities are wondering what might have caused the eruption and how there was no warning. Express...

NASA: Video footage reveals space agency rocket explosion

The continuous interest in studying the entities and phenomena that lie beyond the Earth has enthusiasts and scientists paying close attention to any breakthrough. However, there will always be instances where experiments...

Volcano eruption: Volcanic rock claimed to be releasing carbon responsible for global warming

From the various sources of carbon in the world today that are responsible for the world going through global warming, there is one unexpected source. A study claims that volcanic rocks are also contributing to the global...

Technology

Another Tesla Model 3 crashed while on autopilot, police warn drivers not to rely on the feature

Tesla Motor 3 is one of the most popular electric cars available on the market today. But one of the vehicles high-tech features, its autopilot, is a cause of concern and unease among owners and potential buyers due to a...

iPhone 12 will have six variants, set to arrive by September 2020

When the iPhone 12 release date arrives next year, buyers will have more options to choose from. Apple is set to introduce six variants of its upcoming smartphone flagship, which will arrive by the fall of...

Samsung Galaxy S11 will have more powerful battery compared to S10

The Samsung Galaxy S11 release is still a couple of months away, but tech enthusiasts are already busy talking about its new design and cool specs. However, a new leak reveals that the upcoming Korean brands flagship...

‘The Last of Us Part 2’ Ellie and Collector's Edition offer exclusive collectible items

Naughty Dogs popular action-adventure titles are more than just video games to many fans. Its intricate gameplay stories and memorable characters have become staples in the pop culture, making the array of The Last of Us...

‘Cyberpunk 2077’ is smaller than ‘The Witcher 3’ but it doesn’t mean less gameplay content

The start of a new decade is promising for video game fans as several highly anticipated titles such as Cyberpunk 2077 are confirmed to launch next year. CD Projekt Red remains a little secretive about the gameplay...
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