Direction of TRY awaits coalition negotiations
Jun 18, 2015 09:51 am UTC| Commentary
USD/TRY has remained stable at 2.73 in recent times following its sharp jump after the 7 June election weekend. Uncertainty regarding the political outcome is a negative for the lira. But this is counter-balanced by a...
Jun 18, 2015 09:39 am UTC| Commentary
Will Norges Bank cut its key rate today as announced in March? In view of the recently mixed data, there is high uncertainty. According to Commerzbank, it still has good reason to stick to its plan of lowering interest...
Euro likely robust despite Greece uncertainty
Jun 18, 2015 09:31 am UTC| Commentary
Short term EUR-USD may face a tough time on the euro zone front. Today the euro zone Finance Ministers are meeting to finally find a solution to Greeces debt crisis. It is quite likely that the negotiations will carry on...
High carry and no negative news equal appreciation in BRL
Jun 18, 2015 09:22 am UTC| Commentary
The Brazilian real continues with the appreciation streak as it gained 1.1% vs. the USD to USD-BRL 3.056 by the end of the day. The US Fed communiqué did offer a more dovish than expected language that created a...
Fed dampens rate hike speculation and USD
Jun 18, 2015 09:12 am UTC| Commentary
Dampening rate hike speculation is one of the real talents of Fed President Janet Yellen. During yesterdays FOMC press conference she sent out relatively strong dovish signals to the market, despite an economic upturn in...
Deal between Greece and ECB likely in euro group meeting
Jun 18, 2015 08:02 am UTC| Commentary
The Eurogroup meeting was supposed to focus on the European Semester and the postprogramme surveillance of Spain, Portugal and Ireland. However as important as these issues are, they will remain on the sidelines, since...
100,000 subsidized jobs and Macron law to reduce France's unemployment rate
Jun 18, 2015 07:37 am UTC| Commentary
Since last autumn and the discussion with the EC to postpone the 3.0% public deficit target, the French government had committed to undertake some reforms in the labour market. The stakes are high because France is one of...