US payrolls illustrate that recovery still robust

Jan 08, 2016 16:46 pm UTC| Commentary

The 292,000 surge in non-farm payroll employment, together with the 50,000 upward revision to the gains in preceding months should put paid to any fears that the US recovery is in serious difficulty, even if fourth-quarter...

Currency War Series

Russia's CBR rate cuts likely delayed to March 2016

Jan 08, 2016 16:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Russias inflation is edging lower on account of base effects, but the inflation trend is nowhere near the CBR target of 4%. The CBR will likely remains on hold at its next MPC meeting on 31 January, but as base effects...

Canadian employment ends 2015 on a solid note

Jan 08, 2016 16:18 pm UTC| Commentary

Canadian employment rose in December, up 23k net positions. Growth in the labour force kept pace, leaving the unemployment rate unchanged at 7.1%. There were some less impressive details, however, as employment growth was...

No slowing the U.S. job machine

Jan 08, 2016 16:08 pm UTC| Commentary

Nonfarm payrolls rose by 292k in December, well ahead of expectations for 200k. Private sector hiring expanded by 275k, above the consensus call of 201k. For the year as whole, the economy added an average of 221k jobs per...

Supportive arguments for JPY longs in 2016

Jan 08, 2016 16:00 pm UTC| Commentary

Despite BoJs accommodative monetary policy, JPY surprisingly strengthened slightly in 2015. We feel JPY will see a larger-than-forecast strengthening in 2016 and are presenting hereby arguments in support: 1. BoJ is...

Renminbi Series

Currency War Series

PBoC unlikely to have specific target levels for USD/CNY or USD/CNH

Jan 08, 2016 15:42 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The PBoC has been guiding the Yuan lower for the past nine days. There is definitely no basis for the RMB to devalue continuously and going forward the RMB exchange rate regime will continue to be based on market supply...

Weaker CNY and its impact on AXJ currencies

Jan 08, 2016 15:02 pm UTC| Commentary

Asian currencies which have already been beaten down by lower commodity prices, capital outflows and the Fed rate hike are now facing the brunt of renewed CNY weakness. It is no surprise that the Asian currencies have...