FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: A year rate hike speculation comes to end, ECB surprises steeper EUR vol curve with soft taper, can Fed also deliver astounding forward guidance?

Dec 14, 2016 13:04 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Steeper EUR vol curve on ECBs soft taper As has become par for the course in recent years, the December ECB meeting surprised by delivering a soft taper that reduced the pace of asset purchases, but forestalled a vicious...

Sweden 1-2 year inflation expectations continue to rise, reduce likelihood of Riksbank rate cut

Dec 14, 2016 12:21 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

According to Prosperas quarterly survey, the Riksbanks much watched Sweden inflation expectations for the five-year horizon came in at 1.95 percent in December, down from the 2.00 percent in September. Inflation...

Central Banking Series

FOMC interest rate projections review since 2013

Dec 14, 2016 11:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The above figure represents FOMC interest rate projections since 2013 and we would try to assess todays meeting from the past projections. First of all, a rate hike is completely priced in and the financial markets are...

Deutsche Bank lays out probable markets reactions to Fed

Dec 14, 2016 09:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Deutsche Bank laid out probable market reactions after US Federal Reserves monetary policy decision. According to the investment bank, there are three probable scenarios; a hawkish hike, a neutral hike, and a dovish hike...

Central Banking Series

BoJ seems committed to yield curve control

Dec 14, 2016 08:13 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The actions taken by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) yesterday shows that the central bank remains committed to its experimental monetary policy of yield curve control and we at FxWirePro believe that it would continue that way as...

FxWirePro: Argentinian exports likely to rise in Q1’2017 – Bid USD/ARS 2w ATM calls and hedge FX payable exposures via 3m NDFs

Dec 14, 2016 07:38 am UTC| Central Banks

For today, the major focus would be theFOMC meeting on Funds rate, where a Fed funds rate likely to hike from 0.50% to 0.75% mark which is broadly projected (and clearly priced in by all markets). Also of interest would be...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/USD short/long 1m/3m delta risk reversals via reverse put spreads to optimize hedging portfolio

Dec 14, 2016 07:27 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The AUDUSD momentum remains positive for today but slightly weaker. We look for another push above 0.7500, which will probably happen if theres a bout of long-USD profit-taking post FOMC tonight. AUD/USD 1-3 month:The...