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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/CNH hedging portfolio reshuffling, will PBoC finally action on Chinese capital outflow crisis?

Jan 04, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

What occurred at the start of 2017 evokes the market anarchy in early 2016. This morning, Chinese offshore currency (CNH) overnight HIBOR spiked to 18.5%, a signal that Chinas currency is under great pressure again....

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Fair interpretation of SNB’s FX intervention – Hedge via 3-way straddles versus Call despite low yielders but to capitalize on 1m skews

Jan 03, 2017 12:40 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has exhausted with an average of CHF 1.2bn. per week on FX market interventions in 2016, sources say. As a result, the Swiss central bank contributed decisively to keeping the EURCHF exchange...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Russian disinflation moves in line with RCB, doors open for monetary easing – Gutsy check through put spreads for further USD/RUB depreciating risks

Jan 02, 2017 13:05 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

At year-end Russian consumer prices provided a positive surprise. Last Friday the office of statistics announced that inflation in December had fallen to 5.4%. The previous month the rate of inflation had stood at...

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Jan 02, 2017 11:05 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

This week is relatively less risk heavy, compared to the previous one. However, there are some key data such as the jobs report to watch out for. What to watch for over the coming days: Central banks: Federal...

FxWirePro: Dollar index likely to rise to 115 this year; Fed to hike thrice

Jan 02, 2017 04:18 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The United States dollar index is likely to continue its post-Presidential election merriment even in 2017. We foresee that the dollar index (DXY) will jump above 107 by the first quarter and break April 2002 high of 115...

Central Banking Series

PBOC to keep policy neutral, liquidity stable in 2017

Dec 30, 2016 15:48 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Peoples Bank of China (PBoC) on Friday said that it would keep monetary policy neutral to help maintain stable liquidity conditions in the year ahead. In a statement summarizing the fourth quarter monetary policy...

Kuroda strikes optimistic tone on Japan's recovery in 2017

Dec 29, 2016 14:32 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

In a rare exclusive interview with the Nikkei overnight, Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda continued to strike a more optimistic tone stating that he sees steady Japan recovery next year. He said that brightening...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Asian Stocks Drop Amid Iran War Fears and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Asian equity markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to mounting geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan added further pressure on...

South Korea March Exports Expected to Surge to Near Five-Year High Amid AI-Driven Chip Demand

South Koreas exports in March are projected to have surged at their fastest pace in nearly five years, powered by soaring global demand for semiconductors driven by artificial intelligence investment. A Reuters poll of 11...

Gold Prices Inch Higher Amid U.S.-Iran War Tensions and Technical Rebound

Gold prices edged up in Asian trading on Monday, recovering modestly after a turbulent week marked by sharp volatility tied to escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. Spot gold climbed 0.4% to...

Politics

U.S.-Iran War Talks Emerge Amid Ongoing Strikes and Economic Fallout

Diplomatic efforts to end the month-long U.S.-Iran war are gaining momentum, even as military operations intensify across the Middle East. President Donald Trump confirmed Sunday that the United States and Iran have...

Myanmar's Military Chief Steps Down to Pursue Presidency After Controversial Election

Myanmars military leader Min Aung Hlaing resigned as commander-in-chief on Monday to pursue the countrys presidency, marking a significant political shift following the nations first elections since the 2021 military coup...

UNIFIL Peacekeeper Killed in Southern Lebanon as Tensions Escalate

A United Nations peacekeeper was killed and several others were wounded after a projectile struck a UNIFIL position near the southern Lebanese village of Adchit al-Qusayr on Sunday. Indonesias foreign ministry confirmed...

Trump Says Iran Nuclear Deal Could Be Near as Direct Talks Progress

President Donald Trump announced Sunday that the United States is actively engaged in direct negotiations with Iran, expressing cautious optimism that a diplomatic agreement could be reached soon. Speaking to reporters...

Pakistan Leads Diplomatic Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Iran War

Pakistan brought together foreign ministers from Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia in Islamabad on Sunday in a high-stakes diplomatic effort to end the ongoing Iran war and restore critical oil shipping routes through the...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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