FxWirePro: Should you blame BoJ for USD/JPY vol and risk reversal shift?

Jan 11, 2017 11:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Although the Yen appears under pressure momentarily as BoJ caps nominal yields and risk sentiment holds up, but the move in relative real yields between Japan and the US represents a clear case for a weaker yen. The risk...

Rapid rise in PPI may complicate PBoC's monetary policy management

Jan 11, 2017 11:06 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

China Statistics Bureau report on January 10th showed Chinas headline CPI inflation came in at 2.1 percent y/y in December, missing market expectations of 2.3 percent and below 2.3 percent recorded in November. On a...

Sniffing a Peg Break Series: Costly Saudi peg

Jan 11, 2017 10:05 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Saudi Arabia has its currency pegged to the dollar at 3.75 Riyal per dollar since 1986, and this year might see the breakaway from this three decade old peg as the US Federal Reserve prepares to hike rates at a much faster...

FxWirePro: US politics versus Europe politics to engulf EUR/USD momentum in H1’2017 but US central bank fuels dollar yields

Jan 11, 2017 07:32 am UTC| Central Banks

New cycle highs: Between late January and May, the US dollar fell 7.5% as an EM sell-off triggered (downward) revisions to expectations of Fed rate hikes and dragged 10y TIIPS yields down from over 70bp to below -10bp. But...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What after FED hikes and hints of hawkish tones - Treasury yields, ETF liquidation, and Gold trade perspectives

Jan 11, 2017 06:04 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

This write up emphasizes the upholding longs in Feb17 CME gold futures following the December Fed hike, macro markets broadly reacted meaningfully to the more hawkish rate projection, with gold specifically selling off to...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 11th January 2017

Jan 11, 2017 04:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Lots of economic data and events scheduled for today but all with low to medium risks associated. Upcoming: Japan: Eco watchers survey for December will be published at 5:00 GMT. Trade balance for December will be...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Turkish inflation goes against CBRT projections yet again, lira still seems vulnerable – Try long in USD/TRY via option trades

Jan 10, 2017 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The 1.64% MoM increase in CPI was far above the 0.9% market consensus. Strong FX pass-through and some idiosyncratic factors, including a jump in egg prices, led to a much sharper-than-expected increase in headline CPI...