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FxWirePro: Deploy ‘debit call spreads’ to hedge USD/RUB

May 30, 2019 13:31 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

We remain MW RUB in the GBI-EM Model portfolio, but are bearishly biased, holding USDRUB call spreads. YTD the ruble has been the strongest performer in EM FX, with a spot around +7.2% stronger against USD. However, in...

Bank of Canada keeps key interest rate on hold, expects inflation to remain around target rate in months ahead

May 29, 2019 17:32 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Canada stood pat today, keeping its overnight interest rate at 1.75 percent. The central banks statement came with the decision had a business as usual tone, implying that there continues to be impetus to move...

Bank of Canada monetary policy preview

May 29, 2019 12:16 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is to provide further guidance in policy meet. The result of the monetary policy meeting is scheduled to be announced at 14:00 GMT. No press conference scheduled today. Current policy...

FxWirePro: Wise to Load-up ITM Longs in AUD/USD ‘Put Ratio Back Spread’ bidding both Bearish/Bullish Risks Ahead of RBA

May 29, 2019 10:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Bearish AUDUSD scenarios below 0.69 if: 1) the RBA cuts rates more quickly than we expect; 2) the Fed responds to firm labor market outcomes by reinvigorating the 2019 rate guidance; 3) the Financial conditions in...

FxWirePro: Activate and Uphold Short Hedges in AUD on Headwinds of RBA and Trade-War

May 29, 2019 07:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

We think the majority of the AUDUSD projections dont seem to have any changes from its last monetary policy meeting and we could still foresee Aussie dollar at around USD 0.66 levels by H119 on some considerable driving...

FxWirePro: Loonie’s bearish risk looms ahead of BoC, uphold optionality to trade and hedge

May 28, 2019 12:55 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Two central banks are the prime focus for this week as they are scheduled for their monetary policies, Bank of Canada (BoC) and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Last month, the BoC formally eliminated its rate hiking...

FxWirePro: PBoC to aggressively defend 7 per USD barrier

May 28, 2019 07:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Since April, after bottoming and consolidating around 6.65 area, Chinese yuan has steadily declined around 4 percent against the USD and currently trading at 6.92 per USD. However, a ride higher would face some serious...

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Economy

India Slashes Fuel Taxes: A Ten-Rupee Relief Amid Global Energy Turmoil

Effective March 26, 2026, the Indian government made a decisive fiscal action by significantly lowering the Special Additional Excise Duty (SAED) on motor fuels. This change in policy lowers the tax on gasoline from INR 13...

France's 2025 Budget Deficit Shrinks More Than Expected, Easing Fiscal Pressure

France made stronger-than-expected progress on its public finances in 2025, with the national budget deficit falling to 5.1% of GDP a notable improvement from 5.8% recorded in 2024 and well ahead of the governments own...

Oil Prices Slip as Trump Extends Iran Ceasefire Deadline Amid Ongoing War Fears

Global oil prices were on course for a weekly loss on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump granted Iran a 10-day extension before threatening to strike its energy infrastructure, offering markets a brief reprieve ...

Asian Stocks Rebound as Trump Delays Iran Strike Deadline

Asian equity markets staged a partial recovery on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump postponed a planned military strike on Iranian energy infrastructure, extending the deadline by over ten days while signaling...

Google's TurboQuant Sends South Korean Chip Stocks Tumbling Amid AI Memory Demand Fears

South Korean equities took a sharp hit Friday as mounting concerns over reduced artificial intelligence memory demand dragged the KOSPI index to its lowest point in more than two weeks. The benchmark fell nearly 3% to...

Politics

Lavrov Claims U.S. Seeks Control Over Damaged Nord Stream Pipelines

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has accused the United States of pursuing dominance over the Nord Stream gas pipelines in the Baltic Sea, which were severely damaged by underwater explosions in September 2022. The...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

U.S. Praises Kurdistan's Role in Oil Markets Amid Iran War Fallout

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio held a significant diplomatic call Thursday with Kurdistan Regional Government Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, signaling Washingtons commitment to regional energy stability as conflict...

Russia Accused of Helping Iran Target U.S. Forces, European Powers Tell G7

European nations have formally accused Russia of providing military intelligence and drone technology to Iran to help target American forces in the Middle East, raising the issue directly with U.S. Secretary of State Marco...

Trump Signs Executive Order to Pay TSA Workers Amid Airport Security Crisis

President Donald Trump announced Thursday that he will sign an executive order directing Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin to ensure Transportation Security Administration (TSA) employees receive their pay,...

Science

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Technology

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...

Reflection AI Eyes $25 Billion Valuation in Massive $2.5 Billion Funding Round

Nvidia-backed artificial intelligence startup Reflection AI is in advanced discussions to secure $2.5 billion in fresh funding, with negotiations pointing to a staggering pre-money valuation of $25 billion, according to a...

Nanya Technology Shares Surge 10% After $2.5 Billion Private Placement from Sandisk and Cisco

Shares of Taiwan-based memory chip manufacturer Nanya Technology soared to their daily limit of 10% on Thursday morning following the companys announcement of a major $2.5 billion private placement deal backed by prominent...
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