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Fed, ECB and BoJ likely to adopt 2 more rate cuts by March next year, says Barclays Research

The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are all expected to adopt two more rate cuts by 25bp to 1.25-1.50bp, by 10bp to -0.70 percent and to -0.30 percent respectively, according to the latest report from Barclays Research.

Growth prospects have further softened in recent months, as the global slump in manufacturing intensified and business sentiment weakened.

"We expect the global economy to slow to 3.1 percent in 2019 and 3.2 percent in 2020, down from 3.9 percent in 2018," the report further commented.

Consumption is holding up across regions, supported by healthy labor markets, low inflation and accommodative policies. This limits recession risk for now, but the uncertainty-related weakness in trade and investment could eventually spill over.

Both the Fed and the ECB have re-started easing, but increasing internal dissent is clouding the outlook, the report added.

By Debarati Bir
  • Market Data
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