Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USDJPY vs. yield divergence

Jul 26, 2017 11:07 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: GBP/USD vs. short-term yield divergence review

Jul 26, 2017 11:01 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cozy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Jul 26, 2017 10:58 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: Short-term yield spread vs. EUR/USD

Jul 26, 2017 08:34 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between EUR/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. It is evident that these short rates have been a key influencing factor for the pair as policy divergence...

U.S. Federal Reserve likely to adopt one additional rate hike in December, says Barclays Research

Jul 26, 2017 07:39 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 1.0-1.25 percent at its July meeting and signal that balance sheet normalization is likely to begin in...

FxWirePro: Currency swap yields on RBNZ and FOMC regime

Jul 26, 2017 07:39 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The US 10yr Treasury yields rose from 2.25% to 2.33%, and 2yr yields rose from 1.36% to 1.39%. Fed fund futures yields firmed slightly, pricing the chance of a December rate hike at around 47%. Ahead of todays FOMCs...

FxWirePro: Anchoring CNB hiking hopes, advancing forecasts and valuations stimulate EUR/CZK

Jul 25, 2017 11:24 am UTC| Central Banks Economy Insights & Views

On the back of formidable economic data and the improved outlook for both domestic and foreign demand, we have revised our calls on GDP dynamics, the labor market, CNB policy, and the financial markets. We now expect two...