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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Sep 24, 2018 05:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 30, 2017 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 02, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probability spiked after FOMC decision

Sep 21, 2017 08:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yesterday, in its monetary policy announcement Fed signaled another hike by the end of the year and initiated the balance sheet reduction beginning October. In light of that, lets take a look at the market pricing of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Hike odds jump suggests market worrying over inflation

Sep 18, 2017 13:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last week, the media focus was largely on UK inflation report, followed by Bank of Englands (BoE) rare guidance on rates and less attention was paid to the market pricing of hike bets. The financial markets pricing of hike...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Market pushed back rate hike expectation beyond June next year

Sep 08, 2017 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This week, several key policymakers including Lael Brainard, Neel Kashkari, Robert Kaplan have warned against future rate hikes citing of lower inflation. Kashkari even went further to add that Fed rate hikes so far may...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Key commentaries from FOMC policymakers this week

Sep 08, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC policymakers have remarked on the monetary policy throughout the week. Here is the compilation of the key remarks, Lael Brainard: As a member of the board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve she is...

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Economy

Budget 2024: experts react to the UK government’s last roll of the economic dice ahead of a general election

The spring budget of 2024 was widely seen as a chance for UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt to inject some economic optimism into British politics ahead of a general election. Would he or wouldnt he cut income tax? (He wouldnt.)...

From micro to macro, Andrew Leigh’s accessible history covers the economic essentials – and an epic rap battle

Andrew Leighs The Shortest History of Economics is the latest in a series of such histories, mostly focused on particular countries. It begins with a striking mini-history of household lighting, focusing on the amount...

Taxes aren’t just about money – they shape how we think about each other

Taxes raising them, cutting them, creating them are useful political tools in an election year (as Chancellor Jeremy Hunts decision to cut national insurance shows). But they are always pertinent, even if some people...

Interest rates are expected to drop but trying to out-think the market won’t guarantee getting a good deal

With most economists expecting interest rates to start falling later this year, prospective home buyers might be weighing up whether to buy now for fear of strong competition for stock, or waiting until repayments are...

Wendy’s won’t be introducing surge pricing, but it’s nothing new to many industries

The recent controversy over Wendys pricing strategies is a perfect example of how online word-of-mouth can distort marketing communications and create confusion for consumers. Wendys new president and CEO Kirk Tanner...

Politics

3 things to watch for in Russia’s presidential election – other than Putin’s win, that is

Russians will vote in a presidential election from March 15-17, 2024, and are all but guaranteed to hand Vladimir Putin a comfortable victory, paving the way for him to remain in power until at least 2030. While the...

Ireland referendums: what went wrong for the government and why double defeat draws a line under a decade of constitutional reform

Ireland, more than any other EU country, has a long and colourful history of referendums. Another chapter in that history has played out in the form of resounding defeats for two government proposals aimed at modernising...

Artdocfest is a crucial outpost of free expression on Russia’s doorstep

On the day of the funeral of Alexei Navalny, Vladimir Putins most prominent opponent, the biggest festival of documentary film in the former Soviet countries opened in Latvia with a minutes silence. Artdocfest Rigas...

A beginner’s guide to the taxes you’ll hear about this election season

National insurance, income tax, VAT, capital gains tax, inheritance tax… its easy to get confused about the many different ways we contribute to the cost of running the country. The budget announcement is the key...

Science

Our survey of the sky is uncovering the secrets of how planets are born

When we look out to the stars, it is typically not a yearning for the distant depths of outer space that drives us. When we are looking out there, we are truly looking back at ourselves. We try to understand our place in...

Archeoastronomy uses the rare times and places of previous total solar eclipses to help us measure history

Total solar eclipses have fascinated and terrified people for centuries. Today, we know that total solar eclipses like the upcoming eclipse on April 8 are caused by a cosmic coincidence when the moon comes between the...

Spacesuits need a major upgrade for the next phase of exploration

Humans have long dreamed of setting foot on the Moon and other planetary bodies such as Mars. Since the 1960s, space travellers have donned suits designed to protect them from the vacuum of space and stepped out into the...

The brightest object in the universe is a black hole that eats a star a day

Scientists have no reported evidence of the true conditions in Hell, perhaps because no one has ever returned to tell the tale. Hell has been imagined as a supremely uncomfortable place, hot and hostile to bodily forms of...

The brain is the most complicated object in the universe. This is the story of scientists’ quest to decode it – and read people’s minds

In the middle of 2023, a study conducted by the HuthLab at the University of Texas sent shockwaves through the realms of neuroscience and technology. For the first time, the thoughts and impressions of people unable to...

Technology

Ford Plans $25K Electric Pickup, SUV to Counter Chinese EV Influence

Ford shifts its focus to affordable electric vehicles, announcing plans for a new platform. CEO Jim Farley highlights the importance of competitiveness amidst Chinese rivals. Ford CEO Jim Farley Warns of Chinese...

Shiba Inu Eyes 10% Dip Before Surge, Boasts $16.42B Cap Amid Volatility

Shiba Inu (SHIB) anticipates a potential 10% price correction for a liquidity sweep, even as it demonstrates remarkable market resilience with a $16.42 billion capitalization amid fluctuating trading conditions. Shiba...

Grab's Game-Changer: Crypto Payments Launch in Asia's Premier Super App

In a landmark move, Grab, the leading super app in Asia, has announced its partnership with Triple-A to introduce cryptocurrency payments, marking a significant milestone in digital finance within the region. Grab...

Rivian Joins Tesla's Supercharger Network, Boosting Electric Vehicle Accessibility

Rivian, the electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has integrated its vehicles into Teslas Supercharger network, adding to the accessibility of charging stations for EV owners. This move follows Fords recent inclusion in...
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