FxWirePro: Be sensitive with gold's sensitivity to Fed rates – Bid 6m1m combinations of IVs and RR to deploy hedging vehicle

Dec 13, 2017 10:41 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We expect the Fed to hike rates by 25bps today, bringing the funds rate to 1.375%. More interesting will be the Feds dot plot, particularly the median rate outlook in 2018. In short, the dots could have a marginally dovish...

FxWirePro: Short 1y USD/JPY skews via put spreads ahead of Fed and BoJ

Dec 13, 2017 07:24 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The key attention today will be on the Fed but if you look through the What to watch today, the answer is rate hike of 25 bpstonight is fine, but how much in 2018? The Fed will almost certainly hike rates by...

FxWirePro: Intricacies of Fed and BoJ monetary policies and their cyclical effects on related FX space

Dec 13, 2017 07:04 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Fed is scheduled to announce funds rates decision tomorrow, and weve already stated in our previous post that the Federal Reserve is no longer expected to pause the rate hike cycle early next year for two main reasons....

FxWirePro: Gold prices on track of 50% Fibonacci retracements to hit 5-months highs – Short hedge as more slumps on cards ahead of Fed

Dec 12, 2017 13:17 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Technicals Central Banks

Chart and candlestick pattern formed: 50% Fibonacci retracements from the peaks of $1357.47 (refer weekly plotting). The decisive breach below strong support at $1261.12, thats where a stern bearish candle pops up with...

FxWirePro: UK inflation beats consensus, if not Cable’s spot trade, excitement in EUR/GBP vol trades

Dec 12, 2017 11:16 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Consumer prices in the United Kingdom rose by 3.1 pct in the year to November 2017, following a 3 pct gain in the previous month and beating market expectations of 3 pct. It was the highest inflation rate since March 2012,...

FxWirePro: Never blow FOMC out of the proportion, FX OTC indicates timely and proportionate quantum of hedging

Dec 12, 2017 10:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Amongst these crosscurrents, next weeks FOMC meeting might seem a sideshow. The meeting should deliver a rate hike that is largely priced, with even odds that the Committee adds the fourth dot to its 2018 projections, you...

FxWirePro: DAX, CAC and US exporters need smart hedging in 2018

Dec 12, 2017 07:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The currency market has been acting as the adjustment factor between countries positioned at different parts of the economic cycle clock. It has been one of the few assets on which carrying long volatility positions has...