FxWirePro: ECB, bearish neutral RRs and IV skews but Swiss franc no longer overvalued to signal OTM call writing in collars

Sep 28, 2017 12:35 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Before we proceed through the core part of this write up, lets have a glance through the implied volatilities of EURCHF ATM contracts from the above nutshell, IVs of this underlying pair of all expiries have still been the...

FxWirePro: Global central banks’ policy shift and frontiers on VXY valuations

Sep 28, 2017 10:57 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Fed was far from the only monetary policy game in town this week, and FX markets were as much driven by an ongoing repricing of BoE, policy rhetoric surprises in NOK, JPY, and to a lesser extent AUD. Rather than a...

FxWirePro: Puzzling trend scenarios in AUD/JPY consolidation phase ahead of RBA, forecasts and option trades to mitigate FX risks

Sep 28, 2017 07:20 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

RBA is scheduled to announce its cash rates on October 2nd followed by monetary policy statement. If the Aussie central bank remains firmly on hold, as we expect, AUD may lose its bullish streaks. While Mr Kuroda...

FxWirePro: Glimpse on G3 central banks and Macro trade perspectives in Q3’2017

Sep 28, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FOMC lent its imprimatur to the global reflation trade. For good measure, the Norges Bank also brought forward its lift-off by six months to mid-2019. The Feds confidence in US inflation and the repricing of a...

FxWirePro: Glimpse on G3 central banks and Macro trade perspectives in Q3’2017

Sep 28, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FOMC lent its imprimatur to the global reflation trade. For good measure, the Norges Bank also brought forward its lift-off by six months to mid-2019. The Feds confidence in US inflation and the repricing of a...

FxWirePro: Why payer position in CZK interest rate swap? Tepid CPI keeps CNB to stay pat but other key fundamentals indicate rate hikes underway

Sep 27, 2017 13:13 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Czech National Bank held its benchmark two-week repo rate at 0.25 pct on September 27, 2017, after a 20bps hike in the previous meeting, as policymakers await for new economic forecasts and more clarity on European...

FxWirePro: Has Sterling really responded to hawkish BoE? What causes acceleration in GBP rallies? FX OTC setup to unearth fact from fiction

Sep 27, 2017 12:42 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Pound recovers on hawkish Bank of England, it is quite easy to cook up story like this. Is it wise enough to give all credits BoE? Well, in FX market, it is not the isolated news that drives the action, we would rather...