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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: Inflation weakens across Europe

May 31, 2017 11:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The hawkish views of monetary policies from central banks around the world are taking a hit and the financial markets have started reprising it, facing with softer than expected inflation readings across globe amid a fresh...

Global Reflation Series

Explainer: what is reflation and is Australia experiencing it?

Apr 26, 2017 07:56 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Since the 2007 global financial crisis, policy makers have been fighting deflationary (falling prices) and disinflationary (prices rising at slow rate) pressures. But the global economy finally appears to be entering...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: Australian inflation reaches RBA’s target range

Apr 26, 2017 05:32 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) monetary policy has a duty to maintain price stability, full employment, economic prosperity and the welfare of the Australian people and to achieve these targets RBA maintain an...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: Inflation at multi-year high from Spain to Poland

Mar 15, 2017 08:32 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Latest data released yesterday show that the upward march of inflation that continued early last year is still gathering pace in Europe. Spain released its consumer price inflation report yesterday and it showed that...

Global Reflation Series

Negative Rates Series: Negative bond universe expands again

Mar 09, 2017 05:56 am UTC| Commentary Economy

After peaking around $14 trillion last September, the negative bond universe that comprises of bonds which are trading at negative yields shrank to $9.8 trillion in the third week of February. The election of the...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: ECB reaches target; Japan’s core back to positive

Mar 03, 2017 08:02 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Yesterdays data released from Japan and the Eurozone presented evidencethat inflation is gaining traction globally. Flash number released yesterday from Eurozone showed that inflation is set to reach the European Central...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: Inflation strengthens across Europe

Feb 14, 2017 10:17 am UTC| Commentary Economy

After a report showed that inflation in China strengthened in January with the consumer price index reaching 2.5 percent y/y and producer price index reaching 6.9 percent y/y, which is the highest in five years, further...

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Economy

What moves markets more, Twitter or traditional news?

Can a single tweet make a countrys currency depreciate by 16%? Apparently it did on August 10, when Donald Trump tweeted that US tariffs on Turkish steel and aluminium would rise sharply. Amid 36,100 retweets, and calls by...

Corporate welfare bums: It’s payback time

Canadas welfare state is disintegrating. Meanwhile, Canadas corporate welfare state has never been stronger. In his 2018 Fall Economic Report, Finance Minister Bill Morneau announced that corporations would receive $14...

Why Apple is no longer a by-word for innovation – just ask the markets

Which company would you say is going to grow faster in the coming years: Apple or Dominos Pizza? Intuitively, we see Apple as an innovative firm with a forward-looking culture and disruptive ideas, while Dominos Pizza...

‘Start-up nation’: a symptom, but of what?

Under pressure, young entrepreneurs would tend to forget to take into account the effects of their ambitions on their surroundings. Just dance/Shutterstock Today, becoming a start-up nation is a public policy objective...

Angel investors, not entrepreneurs, need government support

What is the secret sauce in Silicon Valleys success? It doesnt hurt to have a high concentration of brilliant minds in one place, but perhaps the biggest factor is the high concentration of angel investors successful,...

Politics

WhatsApp skewed Brazilian election, proving social media's danger to democracy

Misinformation via social media was probably the main winner in Brazils October 2018 election, playing a troubling role in boosting far-right Congressman Jair Bolsonaro to presidency. Bolsonaro did not win 55 percent of...

Neoliberalism has led to a crisis in care – and we urgently need to solve it

Infant mortality is on the rise in the UK, while life expectancy for both men and women has stalled and is even dropping in some areas. In 2017, the number of homeless families and individuals placed in temporary...

Ramaphosa is missing an economic policy. What needs to be in it

As the entrails of the era under South Africas former president Jacob Zuma continue to be exposed each day before a commission set up to investigate corruption, so the country witnesses the consolidation of the political...

Law and order is no get-out-of-jail card for floundering politicians

With confidence in politicians at an all-time low, it would be easy to assume criminal law-making is only ever about law and order bidding and winning elections. For example, when it emerged that Hassan Khalif Shire Ali...

Emission targets: If there's a (political) will, there's a way

It seems like a day doesnt pass without the release of yet another study that shows human actions will inevitably increase the Earths average temperature past a tipping point that will lead to runaway climate...

Science

Proteins reveal intricate details about life under the microscope

People have always been fascinated by life. We dream about revealing all its mysteries and are even searching other planets trying to find some forms of life there. Philosophies around the world have tried to define and...

How researchers assess whether medications work

This article is in the series This is research, where we ask academics to share and discuss open access articles that reveal important aspects of science. Todays piece explains how clinical trials assess drug...

These 'useless' quirks of evolution are actually evidence for the theory

Evolution is a fascinating field but can be rife with misunderstanding. One misconception is that evolution has some innate sense of direction or purpose. In reality, evolution is a mindless, plan-free phenomenon, driven...

Curious Kids: How does the Moon, being so far away, affect the tides on Earth?

This is an article from Curious Kids, a series for children. You can send your question to [email protected] You might also like the podcast Imagine This, a co-production between ABC KIDS listen and The...

Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create designer humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the...

Technology

How Twitter got blindsided by India’s still-toxic caste system

Twitter chief Jack Dorseys first visit to India had been going so well. He got to meet Prime Minister Narendra Modi (an avid Tweeter with 44.5 million followers), King of Bollywood Shah Rukh Khan (36.8 million followers),...

The Montréal Declaration: Why we must develop AI responsibly

I have been doing research on intelligence for 30 years. Like most of my colleagues, I did not get involved in the field with the aim of producing technological objects, but because I have an interest in the the abstract...

Protecting our digital heritage in the age of cyber threats

One of the key functions of the government is to collect and archive national records. This includes everything from property records and registers of births, deaths and taxes, to Parliamentary proceedings, and even the...

3 ways Facebook and other social media companies could clean up their acts – if they wanted to

Facebook is in crisis mode, but the company can take major steps to fix itself and the global community it says it wants to promote. Facebook founder, CEO and majority shareholder Mark Zuckerberg need not wait for...

Tech giants need to take more responsibility for the advertising that makes them billions

Last week I was followed around the Internet by a pair of shoes. I had looked at them online as a gift for my father-in-law, but he didnt like them, and neither did I. Yet no matter what site I visited, there they were,...
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