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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: Inflation strengthens across Europe

Feb 14, 2017 10:17 am UTC| Commentary Economy

After a report showed that inflation in China strengthened in January with the consumer price index reaching 2.5 percent y/y and producer price index reaching 6.9 percent y/y, which is the highest in five years, further...

Global Reflation Series

China producer prices rise for 13th consecutive month and at fastest pace in five years

Feb 14, 2017 06:18 am UTC| Commentary

Yet another sign from China that inflation is strengthening its grip all around the world. The inflation has already picked up in the United States; now closer to the Federal Reserves long-term 2 percent target, which may...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation Series: Inflation returning in Europe amid high unemployment

Jan 31, 2017 11:16 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

More evidence shored up since yesterday that the inflation is in fact, picking up across the European continent. Yesterday, two regions in Germany reported more than 2 percent inflation; Hesse (2.4 percent), Saxony (2.3...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation Series: Carney maintains either side rhetoric amid spark in inflation

Jan 17, 2017 11:53 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney reiterated that the very next move from the central bank has equal chances of getting either way. He said, while the central bank can choose how it achieves the target and...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: PPI inflation in Europe for first time since 2013

Jan 05, 2017 11:39 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The producer prices in the Eurozone rose for the very first time since 2013, which shows that the stubbornly low inflation in the single currency bloc might finally be gaining some momentum. The producer price inflation...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation series: TIPS in demand

Mar 21, 2016 10:15 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Yet another sign that some investors have started pricing reflation. We think FED is likely to reach its inflation target and this time around a bit more. Last week, 10 year treasury inflation protected securities returned...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: early signs of inflation call for preparations

Mar 10, 2016 08:41 am UTC| Commentary Economy

We have long been arguing that all the monetary stimulus from central banks around the world would ultimately spark inflation and only happenings that have been encountering such is lower commodity prices. We believe,...

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Economy

India Budget 2026: Modi Government Eyes Reforms Amid Global Uncertainty and Fiscal Pressures

Indias central government is set to present its annual budget on Sunday, a closely watched event as Prime Minister Narendra Modis administration seeks to accelerate domestic reforms while navigating rising global...

China Home Prices Rise in January as Government Signals Stronger Support for Property Market

Average prices of new homes across 100 major Chinese cities recorded an increase in January, while price declines in the secondary housing market continued to narrow, according to a private survey. The data suggests early...

South Korea Exports Surge in January on AI Chip Demand, Marking Fastest Growth in 4.5 Years

South Koreas exports recorded a strong start to the year, rising for an eighth consecutive month in January and posting their fastest growth in four and a half years, driven largely by booming global demand for AI servers...

Russia Stocks End Flat as MOEX Closes Unchanged Amid Mixed Global Signals

Russian stocks finished Saturdays trading session slightly lower overall, with the benchmark MOEX Russia Index closing unchanged at 0.00% in Moscow. Market sentiment remained cautious as investors weighed mixed...

China Factory Activity Slips in January as Weak Demand Weighs on Growth Outlook

Chinas factory activity contracted at the start of the year, highlighting persistent pressure from weak domestic demand despite continued policy support from Beijing. An official survey released on Saturday showed that...

Politics

Trump Says Fed Pick Kevin Warsh Could Win Democratic Support in Senate Confirmation

U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed confidence that his nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, could secure votes from Senate Democrats during what is expected to be a closely watched and potentially...

Christian Menefee Wins Texas Special Election, Narrowing GOP House Majority

Democrat Christian Menefee has won a Texas special election for the U.S. House of Representatives, according to the Associated Press, a result that further tightens Republicans slim majority in the chamber. Menefees...

Trump’s Iraq Envoy Mark Savaya Ousted Amid U.S.-Iraq Tensions Over Iran Influence

Mark Savaya, who was named by U.S. President Donald Trump as special envoy for Iraq in October, is no longer serving in that role, according to multiple sources familiar with the decision. The reported removal comes at a...

Keir Starmer Urges Prince Andrew to Testify in U.S. Epstein Investigation

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has called for former Prince Andrew to testify before a U.S. congressional committee following new revelations about his long-standing links to disgraced financier and convicted sex...

U.S. Government Enters Brief Shutdown as Congress Delays Funding Deal

The U.S. government entered a partial shutdown early Saturday after Congress failed to finalize a funding agreement before a midnight deadline, temporarily halting a range of federal operations. The shutdown officially...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Elon Musk’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI Merger Talks Spark Investor Debate

Speculation around a potential Musk Inc has resurfaced as Elon Musks companiesSpaceX, Tesla, and xAIexplore closer ties amid rapid advances in artificial intelligence and automation. With SpaceX expected to go public later...

SpaceX Reports $8 Billion Profit as IPO Plans and Starlink Growth Fuel Valuation Buzz

SpaceX delivered a strong financial performance last year, generating an estimated $8 billion in profit on revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, according to people familiar with the companys results. The figures,...

SpaceX Updates Starlink Privacy Policy to Allow AI Training as xAI Merger Talks and IPO Loom

SpaceX has revised its Starlink privacy policy to allow customer data to be used for artificial intelligence training, a move that could significantly support Elon Musks broader AI ambitions. The policy change comes as...

Nvidia’s $100 Billion OpenAI Investment Faces Internal Doubts, Report Says

Nvidias ambitious plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, aimed at supporting the training and operation of next-generation artificial intelligence models, has reportedly hit a roadblock. According to a report...

Federal Judge Signals Possible Dismissal of xAI Lawsuit Against OpenAI

A U.S. federal judge has signaled she may dismiss a high-profile lawsuit filed by Elon Musks artificial intelligence startup, xAI, against rival OpenAI, dealing a potential setback to Musk in an escalating legal battle...
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