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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: Inflation strengthens across Europe

Feb 14, 2017 10:17 am UTC| Commentary Economy

After a report showed that inflation in China strengthened in January with the consumer price index reaching 2.5 percent y/y and producer price index reaching 6.9 percent y/y, which is the highest in five years, further...

Global Reflation Series

China producer prices rise for 13th consecutive month and at fastest pace in five years

Feb 14, 2017 06:18 am UTC| Commentary

Yet another sign from China that inflation is strengthening its grip all around the world. The inflation has already picked up in the United States; now closer to the Federal Reserves long-term 2 percent target, which may...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation Series: Inflation returning in Europe amid high unemployment

Jan 31, 2017 11:16 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

More evidence shored up since yesterday that the inflation is in fact, picking up across the European continent. Yesterday, two regions in Germany reported more than 2 percent inflation; Hesse (2.4 percent), Saxony (2.3...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation Series: Carney maintains either side rhetoric amid spark in inflation

Jan 17, 2017 11:53 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney reiterated that the very next move from the central bank has equal chances of getting either way. He said, while the central bank can choose how it achieves the target and...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: PPI inflation in Europe for first time since 2013

Jan 05, 2017 11:39 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The producer prices in the Eurozone rose for the very first time since 2013, which shows that the stubbornly low inflation in the single currency bloc might finally be gaining some momentum. The producer price inflation...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation series: TIPS in demand

Mar 21, 2016 10:15 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Yet another sign that some investors have started pricing reflation. We think FED is likely to reach its inflation target and this time around a bit more. Last week, 10 year treasury inflation protected securities returned...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: early signs of inflation call for preparations

Mar 10, 2016 08:41 am UTC| Commentary Economy

We have long been arguing that all the monetary stimulus from central banks around the world would ultimately spark inflation and only happenings that have been encountering such is lower commodity prices. We believe,...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

DeepL Unleashes AI-Powered Tool for Business Writing

DeepL is a translation service from Germany, and it announced on Friday, April 26, that it would launch a new tool called DeepL Write Pro. It is an AI-based writing assistant created to help businesses with their writing...

Arthur Hayes Predicts Major Bullish Crypto Market Recovery Signal From US Treasury Department

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has identified a potential boost for the cryptocurrency and stock markets based on recent U.S. Treasury actions. These actions could inject substantial liquidity, fueling a bullish...

Tesla Cybertruck Spotted in Sydney Sparks Debate: Potential Australian Release?

As the Tesla Cybertruck makes unexpected appearances on the streets of Sydney, speculation swirls about its potential availability in Australia, despite previous doubts regarding its local launch. Tesla Cybertruck...

Hertz to Offload 30K EVs This Year, Deepens Cuts Amid Mounting Fleet Losses

In a recent financial revelation, Hertz disclosed continued losses from its electric vehicle (EV) investments, announcing plans to sell 30,000 EVs this year amid depreciating values and escalating maintenance...
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