Feb 17, 2017 12:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
We believe that political risk into the French elections is priced more appropriately in bonds (but not in currencies) than going into the Brexit and US vote. In the remote scenario of a Le Pen Presidency with...
FxWirePro: Derivatives trades to short exorbitant EUR/JPY skew
Feb 17, 2017 09:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
The EURJPY volatility surface is currently offering very attractive opportunities, as ATM volatility is rich and 6m/1y skews are excessively priced. Here, we recommend a couple of trades taking advantage of both the...
Feb 17, 2017 09:29 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
AUDNZD is consolidating in a 1.0630-1.0710 range ahead of an eventual push higher. The pair in medium term perspectives:Higher to the 1.0770-1.0650 area at least. Majorly for valuation reasons, the cross remains well...
FxWirePro: Derivatives trades to short exorbitant EUR/JPY skewness
Feb 17, 2017 06:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
The EURJPY volatility surface is currently offering very attractive opportunities, as ATM volatility is rich and 6m/1y skews are excessively priced. Here, we recommend a couple of trades taking advantage of both the...
Feb 16, 2017 12:42 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks
EURCHF is so far tracking our forecast which assumes a softening in the SNBs intervention regime and a resultant orderly decline of around one cent per quarter in the cross to 1.03 by year-end. The SNB is certainly not...
Feb 16, 2017 12:18 pm UTC| Research & Analysis
USDCAD had a volatile month on mixed news flow and data, but ultimately positive signaling from Trump and a broadly weaker dollar pushed the pair to new lows since last September. While GDP, headline trade, and PMIs were...
Feb 16, 2017 06:37 am UTC| Research & Analysis
Euro and oil have adecent downside on a Le Pen victory: euro could fall about 10 cents (10%) to about 0.98 over a few weeks and oil could decline by 5-10%. In the remote scenario of a Le Pen Presidency with supportive...
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