NJA: Further signs of slowdown in China
Jul 12, 2015 23:04 pm UTC| Commentary
Barclays notes:China reports real activity data for June (Wednesday) for which we expect further weakness with some signs of stabilisation at lower levels. IP is expected to have slid to 6.0% y/y (consensus: 6.0%) from...
AUD and NZD: Persistently low underlying inflation likely to spur a July RBNZ rate cut
Jul 12, 2015 22:39 pm UTC| Commentary
New Zealands Q2 CPI is due next week and should show a sharp rebound on the back of higher petrol prices. More important will be the measures of underlying inflation, which averaged around 1% in Q1. This is well below the...
Jul 12, 2015 22:21 pm UTC| Commentary
Next Wednesdays Bank of Canada policy meeting will likely get all the attention as the recent commodity sell-off has increased the chances of further easing. Currently, markets are pricing around a 50% chance of a 25bp cut...
Jul 12, 2015 21:49 pm UTC| Commentary
The yen appreciated across the board on flight-to-quality bids amid deteriorating risk sentiment on concerns about Greece and China last week. Global risk sentiment should remain the main driver of the yen this week with...
GBP: No inflation, despite continued labour market improvement
Jul 12, 2015 21:43 pm UTC| Commentary
UK CPI inflation is likely to remain non-existent in June (Tuesday; consensus: 0.0% y/y) as weakness in core prices persists. However, May wage growth is likely to accelerate further, to 3.2% 3m/y (Wednesday; consensus:...
Jul 12, 2015 21:36 pm UTC| Commentary
The outcome of the weekends political meetings regarding Greeces latest proposal to creditors will be an important driver of the EUR in the first part of this week. The EURs reaction is likely to be asymmetric - a...
BoC to cut the overnight rate target by 25bp
Jul 12, 2015 21:21 pm UTC| Commentary
The BoC is expected to cut the overnight rate target by 25bp to 0.5% at the July 15 meeting. Weak Q1 GDP performance has persisted into early Q2, suggesting that the output gap has likely widened by 0.5-0.75% since the...