Briferendum Series

Brexit uncertainties unlikely to cause sharp sell-off in CEE assets

Mar 21, 2016 15:36 pm UTC| Commentary

While Emerging Markets in 3Q15 recorded the strongest portfolio capital outflows since 2008, CEE managed to avoid heavy sell-offs. The total amount of portfolio capital inflows to CEE even increased in 3Q15, supported by...

Currency War Series

Hungary's MNB to use unconventional tools at policy meet tomorrow, rate cut unlikely

Mar 21, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The huge risk of missing inflation targets is likely to trigger additional monetary easing, at first from the Hungarian central bank at tomorrows meet (Tue, 22nd Mar). The MNB might tweak and/or deploy unconventional...

Decline in headline Shunto revision rate raises likelihood for additional easing from BoJ at April meeting

Mar 21, 2016 14:03 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

On 18 March, the Japanese Trade Union Confederation (Rengo) published first round results of the FY16 Shunto (spring wage negotiations) which saw a moderation in the size of base pay hikes. According to Rengo, the weighted...

China Crisis Series

China to press ahead with structural reforms

Mar 21, 2016 13:40 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Politics

Peoples Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan over the weekend sounded a warning over the countrys rising debt levels, saying corporate lending as a ratio to gross domestic product had become too high and the country must...

Brazil likely recorded first current account surplus in around seven years in February

Mar 21, 2016 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary

Brazil has likely recorded its first monthly current account surplus of $1,309m in February, as compared with Januarys deficit of -$4,817m and February 2015s deficit of -$7,175m. It is evident that weakness in domestic...

Commodities snapshot (precious & industrial)

Mar 21, 2016 12:34 pm UTC| Commentary

Metal pack is red today. Performance this week at a glance in chart table - Gold Gold is down today over stronger Dollar but likely to gain further from here, finding support around $1230 area. Todays...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Mexico’s inflation likely to be above central bank’s target rate in 2016

Mar 21, 2016 12:33 pm UTC| Commentary

In January 2015, the weakness in consumer prices in Mexico, mainly due to impacts of lower telecoms, energy and other prices in the housing segment, helped inflation decelerate by almost 1pp from its late 2014 level. This...