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FxWirePro: US politics versus Europe politics to engulf EUR/USD momentum in H1’2017 but US central bank fuels dollar yields

Jan 11, 2017 07:32 am UTC| Central Banks

New cycle highs: Between late January and May, the US dollar fell 7.5% as an EM sell-off triggered (downward) revisions to expectations of Fed rate hikes and dragged 10y TIIPS yields down from over 70bp to below -10bp. But...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What after FED hikes and hints of hawkish tones - Treasury yields, ETF liquidation, and Gold trade perspectives

Jan 11, 2017 06:04 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

This write up emphasizes the upholding longs in Feb17 CME gold futures following the December Fed hike, macro markets broadly reacted meaningfully to the more hawkish rate projection, with gold specifically selling off to...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 11th January 2017

Jan 11, 2017 04:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Lots of economic data and events scheduled for today but all with low to medium risks associated. Upcoming: Japan: Eco watchers survey for December will be published at 5:00 GMT. Trade balance for December will be...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Turkish inflation goes against CBRT projections yet again, lira still seems vulnerable – Try long in USD/TRY via option trades

Jan 10, 2017 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The 1.64% MoM increase in CPI was far above the 0.9% market consensus. Strong FX pass-through and some idiosyncratic factors, including a jump in egg prices, led to a much sharper-than-expected increase in headline CPI...

FxWirePro: Inflation stir-up in Emerging Europe except Norway- Outright option trades in PLN, CZK and NOK

Jan 10, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Central Banks

In Poland, the stronger activity and CPI data unlikely to shift NBP from its wait-and-see stance. We expect the NBP to maintain interest rates unchanged at 1.5% in its first meeting of the year while reiterating its...

Central Banking Series

BoE to look through inflation rise, could react if slowdown proves more modest than expected

Jan 10, 2017 11:30 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Incoming economic data in UK do not support the view of an uncertainty driven slowdown in the aftermath of the EU referendum. UK economy expanded at 0.6 percent q/q in Q3 2016, the first full post-referendum quarter. The...

Trade War Series

Sniffing a Peg Break Series: Koruna- Euro peg likely to break soon

Jan 10, 2017 11:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

According to talks and rumors in the market, the Czech Central Bank, which has kept the Czech Koruna (CZK) pegged with the Euro since 2013 at 27 per euro could soon break away from this monetary policy regime. In an...

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Economy

US-India Trade Bombshell: Tariffs Slashed to 18% — Rupee Soars, Sensex Explodes

Announced on February 2, 2026, the US-India commerce deal offers Indian exports significant tariff relief. From 25% to 18%, US reciprocal tariffs on Indian goods have been cut; the extra 25% punitive tariff connected with...

India Services Sector Rebounds in January as New Business Gains Momentum: HSBC PMI Shows Growth

Indias dominant services sector showed a strong rebound in January after slipping to an 11-month low in December, supported by a rise in new business activity, according to the latest HSBC India Services Purchasing...

Asian Currencies Trade Sideways as Dollar Stabilizes, Yen Weakens Ahead of Japan Election

Most Asian currencies traded within a narrow range on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar steadied following a strong rebound over the past week, while the Japanese yen underperformed amid growing political uncertainty ahead of a...

Australia’s Corporate Regulator Urges Pension Funds to Boost Technology Investment as Industry Grows

Australias corporate regulator has warned the countrys rapidly expanding pension fund industry that it must significantly increase investment in systems, technology, and governance to safeguard its future and avoid...

Trump Administration Sued Over Suspension of Critical Hudson River Tunnel Funding

New York and New Jersey have filed an emergency lawsuit against the Trump administration, seeking to restore federal funding for the $16 billion Hudson River tunnel project, a critical piece of U.S. transportation...

Politics

Illinois Joins WHO Global Outbreak Network After U.S. Exit, Following California’s Lead

Illinois will join the World Health Organizations Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network (GOARN), marking a significant public health move following the United States official withdrawal from the WHO last month....

U.S.-Iran Nuclear Talks Expected in Oman Following Venue Change Request

Nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran are expected to take place in Oman on Friday, according to a report by Axios journalist Barak Ravid, who cited an Arab source familiar with the matter. The upcoming...

Trump Extends AGOA Trade Program for Africa Through 2026, Supporting Jobs and U.S.-Africa Trade

President Donald Trump has signed legislation extending the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), a key U.S.-Africa trade program, through December 31, 2026. The extension is retroactive from September 30, 2025,...

Australian Scandium Project Backed by Richard Friedland Poised to Support U.S. Critical Minerals Stockpile

An Australian scandium mining project backed by billionaire mining executive Richard Friedland is expected to play a role in the United States newly announced $12 billion critical minerals stockpile, according to comments...

Stephen Miran Resigns as White House Economic Adviser Amid Federal Reserve Tenure

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran has formally resigned from his role as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), fulfilling a commitment he made to the U.S. Senate as his tenure at the Federal...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Tencent Shares Slide After WeChat Restricts YuanBao AI Promotional Links

Shares of Tencent Holdings (HK:0700) fell sharply on Wednesday after its popular messaging platform WeChat blocked certain promotional links related to YuanBao, the companys artificial intelligence chatbot. The move...

Nvidia Nears $20 Billion OpenAI Investment as AI Funding Race Intensifies

Nvidia is reportedly nearing a major investment deal with OpenAI, signaling a significant development in the global artificial intelligence landscape. According to sources cited by Reuters, the chipmaking giant is in...

Anthropic Eyes $350 Billion Valuation as AI Funding and Share Sale Accelerate

Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic is reportedly preparing a major secondary share sale that would allow some employees to sell shares at a valuation of at least $350 billion, according to a recent Bloomberg report....

AMD Shares Slide Despite Earnings Beat as Cautious Revenue Outlook Weighs on Stock

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) delivered a solid quarterly earnings beat, topping Wall Street expectations on both revenue and profit, yet its stock slipped in extended trading after the company projected a sequential...

Nintendo Shares Slide After Earnings Miss Raises Switch 2 Margin Concerns

Nintendo shares fell sharply on Wednesday after the Japanese gaming giant reported weaker-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results, intensifying investor concerns over profitability and margins tied to its highly...
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