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FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 1st March 2017

Mar 01, 2017 05:11 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: United Kingdom: BRC shop price index is down 1 percent y/y in February. Australia:...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: March hike odds rise sharply after Kaplan comments

Feb 28, 2017 10:30 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Speaking at an event with the University students in Norman Oklahoma, Dallas Fed president Robert Kaplan said that the Fed should increase interest rates sooner than later in the near future so that the central bank doesnt...

Central Banking Series

FxWirePro: Is PBoC effort prudent to keep capital outflows on check? Buzzing IRS and cash bonds (CGBs)

Feb 28, 2017 09:35 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

We expect depreciation pressures on the Renminbi would return over the medium-term. Although the slower capital outflows may persist in the very near-term, the downside risk in the medium-term comes from the private...

Central Banking Series

ECB likely to stretch QE beyond March 2017, says Commerzbank

Feb 28, 2017 08:33 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The European Central Bank is expected to extend its quantitative easing programme beyond March 2017 at its last monetary policy meeting this year, scheduled on December 8. Also, the Italian constitutional referendum, to be...

FxWirePro: Does BoE equate Brexit politics? Stop paying in 10Y GBP versus USD swaps

Feb 28, 2017 07:21 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

GBP has been choppy but trendless this year on a messy interplay between Brexit politics and BoE expectations. Hopes that deterioration in the growth-inflation trade-off might prompt a rate hike as early as the end of this...

FxWirePro: “Pulling forward to Fed call”, divergence between S&P and UST 10Y - What’s buzzing in US treasury? Why is annuity hedge in unwinding phase?

Feb 28, 2017 07:13 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Treasury yields have remained stuck in the same range they have held since early December, even as equities have continued to rise and are now up 5% YTD (refer above diagram). In the recent times, UST yields initially rose...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 28th February 2017

Feb 28, 2017 04:31 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Australia: Current account balance improves to -$3.9 billion in the fourth quarter....

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Economy

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Asian Stocks Drop Amid Iran War Fears and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Asian equity markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to mounting geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan added further pressure on...

South Korea March Exports Expected to Surge to Near Five-Year High Amid AI-Driven Chip Demand

South Koreas exports in March are projected to have surged at their fastest pace in nearly five years, powered by soaring global demand for semiconductors driven by artificial intelligence investment. A Reuters poll of 11...

Gold Prices Inch Higher Amid U.S.-Iran War Tensions and Technical Rebound

Gold prices edged up in Asian trading on Monday, recovering modestly after a turbulent week marked by sharp volatility tied to escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. Spot gold climbed 0.4% to...

Politics

U.S.-Iran War Talks Emerge Amid Ongoing Strikes and Economic Fallout

Diplomatic efforts to end the month-long U.S.-Iran war are gaining momentum, even as military operations intensify across the Middle East. President Donald Trump confirmed Sunday that the United States and Iran have...

Myanmar's Military Chief Steps Down to Pursue Presidency After Controversial Election

Myanmars military leader Min Aung Hlaing resigned as commander-in-chief on Monday to pursue the countrys presidency, marking a significant political shift following the nations first elections since the 2021 military coup...

UNIFIL Peacekeeper Killed in Southern Lebanon as Tensions Escalate

A United Nations peacekeeper was killed and several others were wounded after a projectile struck a UNIFIL position near the southern Lebanese village of Adchit al-Qusayr on Sunday. Indonesias foreign ministry confirmed...

Trump Says Iran Nuclear Deal Could Be Near as Direct Talks Progress

President Donald Trump announced Sunday that the United States is actively engaged in direct negotiations with Iran, expressing cautious optimism that a diplomatic agreement could be reached soon. Speaking to reporters...

Pakistan Leads Diplomatic Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Iran War

Pakistan brought together foreign ministers from Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia in Islamabad on Sunday in a high-stakes diplomatic effort to end the ongoing Iran war and restore critical oil shipping routes through the...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...