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FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 10th April 2017

Apr 10, 2017 04:37 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Australia: Home loans declined by 0.5 percent in February, investment lending for homes...

FxWirePro: Intricacies of European derivatives and valuation arguments of Bund Swap spread

Apr 07, 2017 13:12 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The ECB rhetoric has reduced expectation of an early ECB lift off but the EONIA market is still pricing 10bp of tightening by Jun18. Over the past week, swap spreads narrowed at the front while Bund and Buxl widened...

FxWirePro: EUR/PLN calls and other outright trades lure investors in CEE FX streets

Apr 07, 2017 12:07 pm UTC| Central Banks

The MPC of Polish central bank (NBP) meeting yesterday was a non-event from a rate standpoint. But it brought fresh dovish emphasis as per the market anticipation. Perhaps the CBs latest message is best summarized by...

FxWirePro: RBI surprises streets with reverse repo, more focus on inflationary outlook than INR appreciation – Futures of mid-month tenors to hedge

Apr 07, 2017 10:47 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) surprised the market slightly yesterday by hiking the reverse repo rate and raising the inflation outlook slightly for FY2017-2018. The benchmark repo was left unchanged at...

FxWirePro: Prefer USD/MXN gamma neutral calendar skews on carry-to-vols ratio and Banxico hikes

Apr 07, 2017 09:43 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Banxico hiked 25bp; we see limited MXN gains but prefer calendar skews at the current juncture. Banxico has hiked its policy rate 25bp to 6.5% and signaled a shift in gears towards a slower pace of tightening...

FxWirePro: Stay short EUR/CZK on CNB’s macro projection

Apr 07, 2017 07:16 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

EURCZK spot and forward exchange rates as well as Czech interest rates went through huge volatility yesterday after the Czech National Bank ended its EURCZK floor mechanism at an extraordinary board meeting. The EURCZK...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Antipodeans bank upon central banks, Aussie dollar edgy on commodity markets – 3-way straddles vs OTM call for optimal hedging

Apr 07, 2017 06:54 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Antipodean pair now wants to retest the 1.0800 area, which looks vulnerable to giving way to 1.0750. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 at year-end. The support to growth from migration will...

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Economy

US Debt Tops $40 Trillion as Global Borrowing Costs Surge

U.S. government debt has surpassed $40 trillion for the first time, highlighting growing fiscal pressures as major economies face rising spending demands from ageing populations, defence, climate change and higher interest...

UK Budget Swings to Surprise £1.8 Billion Deficit in July

Britain recorded an unexpected 1.8 billion ($2.5 billion) budget deficit in July, as inflation-driven government spending outweighed record self-assessed income tax receipts, highlighting continued pressure on the UKs...

US Plans ‘Toughest Sanctions in History’ on Iran, Bessent Says

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Washington is preparing to impose sweeping new sanctions on Iran, reinforcing President Donald Trumps push to intensify economic pressure on Tehran amid ongoing tensions and...

South Korea Producer Prices Fall 0.4% in July

South Koreas producer prices fell in July for the first time in nearly a year, as lower global crude oil prices helped offset rising agricultural costs caused by extreme summer heat. The producer price index (PPI) declined...

Japan Inflation Rises, Boosting BOJ Rate Hike Bets

Japans inflation accelerated for a third consecutive month in July, strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates again in the coming months as underlying price pressures intensify. Japans...

Politics

Prince Harry Faces Potential Multi-Million-Pound Legal Bill in Daily Mail Case

Prince Harry could soon learn how many millions of pounds he and other claimants must pay toward the legal costs of the publisher of the Daily Mail after losing a high-profile privacy lawsuit. On Friday, London High Court...

Russia Arrests Nine Over Alleged Ukraine-Linked Attack Plans

Russian authorities have arrested nine people in separate cases involving alleged plans to target strategic infrastructure and government sites, according to state news agencies citing the Federal Security Service (FSB)....

Trump Eyes Kim Jong Un Summit as North Korea Sets Tough Terms

U.S. President Donald Trump is seeking another meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later this year, but Pyongyangs guarded response suggests renewed diplomacy could depend on major changes in U.S. policy toward...

Myanmar Military Pushes to Clear Land for Russia-Backed Dawei SEZ

Myanmars military has deployed hundreds of troops around the Russia-backed Dawei Special Economic Zone (SEZ), as authorities seek to revive the strategically important project in the countrys southern Tanintharyi Region....

Imran Khan Returns to Prison After Islamabad Hospital Visit

Pakistans former Prime Minister Imran Khan returned to prison on Friday after spending several hours overnight at an Islamabad hospital for a medical examination ordered by the countrys Supreme Court. Khan, 73, was...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Samsung Shares Rise on $72 Billion Shareholder Return Plan

Samsung Electronics shares climbed on Friday following reports that the South Korean technology giant is preparing a shareholder return package potentially exceeding 100 trillion won ($72 billion). Samsungs board is...

Alibaba Shares Fall as AI Spending Hits Profit

Alibaba shares dropped nearly 3% in Hong Kong trading on Friday after the Chinese technology giant reported a steep decline in quarterly profit, as aggressive artificial intelligence investment weighed on earnings and cash...

Samsung Eyes $72 Billion Shareholder Return Plan as AI Chip Boom Fuels Profits

Samsung Electronics is reportedly preparing a new shareholder return policy worth more than 100 trillion won ($71.75 billion), as booming demand for artificial intelligence chips drives expectations of record profits at...

SK Hynix Shares Surge on Record $28.6 Billion Buyback

SK Hynix shares staged a strong rebound on Thursday after the South Korean memory-chip giant announced a record 40 trillion won ($28.6 billion) share buyback and cancellation plan, providing fresh confidence to investors...

OpenAI Revenue Rises 18% in Q2 as Losses Widen and Anthropic Surges Ahead

OpenAI reported an 18% increase in second-quarter revenue, but widening losses and rapid growth at rival Anthropic are adding pressure on the ChatGPT maker, according to The Wall Street Journal. OpenAI told investors that...