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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: BoC unlikely to shift policy stance to confront Fed and Trump - EUR/CAD “Diagonal Debit Put Spread” for smart hedge

Feb 10, 2017 12:45 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

BoC firmly on hold: The lukewarm outlook indicates that the Bank of Canada would keep policy steady in the face of Fed tightening, which should nudge USDCAD gradually higher through mid-2017. The loonie remains highly...

Central Banking Series

Bank of Mexico hikes overnight rates by 50 bps, likely to further tighten policy this year

Feb 10, 2017 12:25 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Mexico hiked its overnight rates yesterday by additional 50 basis points to 6.25 percent, as was widely expected. In this cycle, the total tightening has come to 325 basis points. Significantly, the central...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

Kiwi dollar plummets after Chinese trade balance; FxWirePro’s option strips safeguard NZD/USD receivable exposures

Feb 10, 2017 07:05 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

China reported a USD 51.35 billion trade surplus in January of 2017, lower than a USD 56.67 billion surplus a year earlier but above market consensus of a USD 47.90 billion surplus. It was the largest trade surplus...

FxWirePro: Loonie likely to stay cheaper for longer on gloomy economy and high correlation to crude prices – Naked put for medium term and spread for long term

Feb 10, 2017 05:56 am UTC| Economy Central Banks Commentary

The Canadian dollar now appears cheap both from a PPP perspective and versus a time series of the real trade-weighted exchange rate (refer above graph). This has helped to support growth and is expected to last for longer,...

RBA's Statement on Monetary Policy: Preview

Feb 09, 2017 16:49 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) issues a Statement on Monetary Policy four times a year. The statement sets out the central banks assessment of current economic conditions, both domestic and international, along with...

U.K.'s accelerating inflation may push the need for rate hikes - BoE's Forbes

Feb 09, 2017 15:47 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Kristin Forbes who is an external member of the BoE Monetary Policy Committee, said in a speech in Leeds that U.K may soon need a rate increase. Forbes said she was beginning to grow...

U.K. business investment set to remain very weak in the near-term, says BoE's Cunliffe

Feb 09, 2017 14:59 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Jon Cunliffe in a speech at the Greater Birmingham Chamber of Commerce on Wednesday said that business investment in the United Kingdom is set to remain very weak in the near term in...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Asian Stocks Drop Amid Iran War Fears and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Asian equity markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to mounting geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan added further pressure on...

South Korea March Exports Expected to Surge to Near Five-Year High Amid AI-Driven Chip Demand

South Koreas exports in March are projected to have surged at their fastest pace in nearly five years, powered by soaring global demand for semiconductors driven by artificial intelligence investment. A Reuters poll of 11...

Gold Prices Inch Higher Amid U.S.-Iran War Tensions and Technical Rebound

Gold prices edged up in Asian trading on Monday, recovering modestly after a turbulent week marked by sharp volatility tied to escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. Spot gold climbed 0.4% to...

Politics

U.S.-Iran War Talks Emerge Amid Ongoing Strikes and Economic Fallout

Diplomatic efforts to end the month-long U.S.-Iran war are gaining momentum, even as military operations intensify across the Middle East. President Donald Trump confirmed Sunday that the United States and Iran have...

Myanmar's Military Chief Steps Down to Pursue Presidency After Controversial Election

Myanmars military leader Min Aung Hlaing resigned as commander-in-chief on Monday to pursue the countrys presidency, marking a significant political shift following the nations first elections since the 2021 military coup...

UNIFIL Peacekeeper Killed in Southern Lebanon as Tensions Escalate

A United Nations peacekeeper was killed and several others were wounded after a projectile struck a UNIFIL position near the southern Lebanese village of Adchit al-Qusayr on Sunday. Indonesias foreign ministry confirmed...

Trump Says Iran Nuclear Deal Could Be Near as Direct Talks Progress

President Donald Trump announced Sunday that the United States is actively engaged in direct negotiations with Iran, expressing cautious optimism that a diplomatic agreement could be reached soon. Speaking to reporters...

Pakistan Leads Diplomatic Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Iran War

Pakistan brought together foreign ministers from Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia in Islamabad on Sunday in a high-stakes diplomatic effort to end the ongoing Iran war and restore critical oil shipping routes through the...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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