Central Banking Series

BoE Super Thursday could see some volatility even if rates and quantitative easing are held steady

Jan 31, 2017 12:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The Bank of England (BoE) back into focus this Thursday as it holds its first monetary policy meeting for 2017. Analysts widely expect the central bank to maintain its interest rate at a historic low of 0.25 percent amid...

Central Banking Series

BoJ’s QQE exit strategy not possible in near-term, negative rates appropriate for meeting price target: Governor Kuroda

Jan 31, 2017 12:22 pm UTC| Economy Central Banks Commentary

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said in the conference held post monetary policy decisionthat the central banks inflation target of 2 percent is likely to be reached around fiscal year 2018, while the...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation Series: Inflation returning in Europe amid high unemployment

Jan 31, 2017 11:16 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

More evidence shored up since yesterday that the inflation is in fact, picking up across the European continent. Yesterday, two regions in Germany reported more than 2 percent inflation; Hesse (2.4 percent), Saxony (2.3...

FxWirePro: USD/TRY FVAs hedge seems more appealing

Jan 31, 2017 09:25 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

There is merit in earning carry in risk efficient form, and we sell USDTRY 1Yx1Y FVAs hedged with a static vanilla ATM call. USDTRY 1Yx1Y FVAs an appealing shorts, we are not chasing the drop in USD gamma lower;...

FxWirePro: Two FX derivatives trades for USD/RUB on threats of potential CBR FX interventions

Jan 31, 2017 07:41 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In upcoming Russian monetary policy meeting, the CBR to remain on hold at 10%. Recent CBR rhetoric has been fairly cautious and we dont think the CBR would act at a non-core meeting (the next core meeting is in March)....

FxWirePro: Macros to drive CBR’s FX interventions – Short term bullish prospects of USD/RUB in Q1’2017

Jan 31, 2017 07:30 am UTC| Economy Central Banks

Every good structural story needs a repricing and a clear-out of extended positioning. The medium-term case for Russian local markets is underpinned by high nominal and real interest rates, falling inflation, and a trend...

Eurozone economic growth likely to stabilise in 4Q16, January inflation to climb higher

Jan 31, 2017 06:39 am UTC| Economy Central Banks

The Eurostat is expected to release its advance estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) for the last quarter of 2016 and January consumer inflation numbers on January 31. Growth is likely to have stabilised into 4Q16...