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FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 13th March 2017

Mar 13, 2017 03:41 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Upcoming: Japan: Tertiary industry report will be released at 4:30 GMT. Italy: Industrial output report...

FxWirePro: Hunt for relative betas in Fed hiking cycle - Buy ATMF straddle 3Mx5Y versus 3Mx30Y volatility

Mar 10, 2017 13:09 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Although the Fed hiking is expected to drive price action, with a March hike now essentially priced in, speculation regarding the near-term pace of tightening is likely to take center stage. Along those lines, our...

ECB keeps policy unchanged, acknowledges improvement in eurozone's economic and inflation situation

Mar 10, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept interest rates unchanged, including its 2.3 trillion bond-buying program but presented a brighter view of the eurozone economy. ECB president Mario Draghi sounded more upbeat about the...

FxWirePro: Volatility relative to 10y tails assuming next Fed hike odds

Mar 10, 2017 11:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Although the March meeting ended last week a roughly 1:4 shot for a hike, a range of FOMC members and the Chair herself pushed it to fully priced by this Thursday. With March fully priced, markets should turn to focus...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC sentiments for bearish risks remain intact but IVs mounting higher on assertive Fed

Mar 10, 2017 07:06 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSDs negative momentum remains strong, the 0.7500 area vulnerable to giving way. All eyes will be on the US payrolls data tonight, markets believing it would take a major disappointment to dent the likelihood of a Fed...

Central Banking Series

BoE likely to maintain 'neutral' policy stance, Bank Rate at 0.25 pct: Danske Bank

Mar 10, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to maintain its neutral policy stance at the monetary policy meeting, scheduled to be held on March 16. Further, the central bank is also expected to hold its Bank Rate at 0.25 percent...

PBoC to continue shift towards gradual tightening, inflation unlikely to be a near-term driver

Mar 09, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Chinas CPI inflation for February surprised sharply on the downside, falling to 0.8 percent from a year earlier, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday. CPI fell short of expectations for a rise...

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Economy

Gold Prices Inch Higher Amid U.S.-Iran War Tensions and Technical Rebound

Gold prices edged up in Asian trading on Monday, recovering modestly after a turbulent week marked by sharp volatility tied to escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. Spot gold climbed 0.4% to...

Oil Prices Surge Amid Middle East Tensions as Houthi Attacks Escalate Conflict

Global oil prices climbed sharply at the start of Mondays trading session following a significant escalation in Middle East hostilities. Yemens Iran-backed Houthi group launched a missile barrage targeting Israel over the...

Asia Markets Tumble as Gulf Conflict Drives Oil Prices to Historic Highs

Asian stock markets fell sharply on Monday as investors braced for a prolonged Gulf conflict that has sent oil prices surging to their highest monthly gains in decades, raising serious concerns about global inflation and a...

Bank of Japan Signals Rate Flexibility Amid Yen Volatility

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Monday that the central bank will keep a close eye on foreign exchange rate movements, acknowledging their significant influence on Japans economic outlook and...

WTO Digital Trade Talks Stall as E-Commerce Tariff Deadline Looms

Trade ministers convening in Cameroon for the World Trade Organization ministerial summit are entering a critical final stretch with no agreement in sight on one of global commerces most consequential digital policy...

Politics

Trump Says Iran Nuclear Deal Could Be Near as Direct Talks Progress

President Donald Trump announced Sunday that the United States is actively engaged in direct negotiations with Iran, expressing cautious optimism that a diplomatic agreement could be reached soon. Speaking to reporters...

Pakistan Leads Diplomatic Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Iran War

Pakistan brought together foreign ministers from Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia in Islamabad on Sunday in a high-stakes diplomatic effort to end the ongoing Iran war and restore critical oil shipping routes through the...

Trump Eyes Military Operation to Seize Iran's Uranium Stockpile

President Donald Trump is reportedly weighing a bold military operation to physically extract nearly 1,000 pounds of uranium from Iran, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing senior U.S. officials. While no final...

Iran-U.S. Military Tensions Escalate: Markets, Universities, and the Strait of Hormuz at Risk

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have intensified dramatically as Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a stark warning targeting U.S.-affiliated universities across neighboring countries. The IRGC...

Pakistan's Diplomatic Pivot: Brokering Peace Between the U.S. and Iran

Pakistan has undergone a remarkable foreign policy transformation, shifting from regional isolation to becoming one of the most consequential diplomatic players in the Middle East. Under the joint leadership of Prime...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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