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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Sep 24, 2018 05:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 30, 2017 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 02, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probability spiked after FOMC decision

Sep 21, 2017 08:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yesterday, in its monetary policy announcement Fed signaled another hike by the end of the year and initiated the balance sheet reduction beginning October. In light of that, lets take a look at the market pricing of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Hike odds jump suggests market worrying over inflation

Sep 18, 2017 13:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last week, the media focus was largely on UK inflation report, followed by Bank of Englands (BoE) rare guidance on rates and less attention was paid to the market pricing of hike bets. The financial markets pricing of hike...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Market pushed back rate hike expectation beyond June next year

Sep 08, 2017 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This week, several key policymakers including Lael Brainard, Neel Kashkari, Robert Kaplan have warned against future rate hikes citing of lower inflation. Kashkari even went further to add that Fed rate hikes so far may...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Key commentaries from FOMC policymakers this week

Sep 08, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC policymakers have remarked on the monetary policy throughout the week. Here is the compilation of the key remarks, Lael Brainard: As a member of the board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve she is...

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Economy

UK gilts shrug off solid retail sales data; 10-year yield falls to 1-week low as coronavirus fear haunts

The United Kingdoms held gains during European trading hours on Thursday even as the countrys January retail sales remained solid and promising, with month -over- month data rising to seven month high of 0.9...

German bunds hold gains as investors monitor coronavirus situation

German bunds held gains during afternoon session on Thursday as traders seek refuge in safe-haven assets on fear that the coronavirus outbreak will slow the global economy. The German 10-year bond yield, which move...

Australian jobless rate lifts to 5.3 pct in January, employment change modest

In a reversal of Decembers move, Australias unemployment rate ticked back up to 5.3 percent in January, while employment rose modestly. The underutilisation rate jumped to a 19-month high. Alongside this, the participation...

Australian bonds surge as January employment data raises prospects of RBA rate cut

Australian bonds surge on Thursday as January disappointing employment data has strengthened the prospects for Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut. The yield on Australias benchmark 10-year note, which moves...

Coronavirus impact likely to affect Japan’s export recovery, says Oxford Economics

After exports to China had picked up in previous months, the renewed contraction in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak underscores risks to growth and dents hope for a near-term export recovery, according to the latest...

Politics

Michelle Obama encourages students to vote in the upcoming elections

Former first lady Michelle Obama wants people to vote. In fact, shes encouraging students to vote by sharing her photo taken when she was still a student. Now, everyone knows Michelle Obama wore a polka-dotted dress to...

Donald Trump spent ‘virtually’ no time, not interested with Don Jr., Ivanka, Eric, Tiffany

Donald Trumps relationship with his five children has been a topic for discussion among netizens. The majority of which are convinced that the POTUS is not a hands-on dad to Don Jr., Ivanka, Eric, Tiffany, and...

Melania Trump shock: FLOTUS doesn’t want to vouch for Donald Trump at upcoming elections

Melania Trump has been criticized for not supporting Donald Trump as much as the other first ladies supported their respective husbands. According to Political Flare, the POTUS doesnt have the support of women, which he...

Melania Trump fury: FLOTUS underserving of Women of Distinction award; Be Best initiative ‘laughable’

Melania Trump received the Women of Distinction award from a small Florida Christian college this week. However, the decision to grant her with the recognition didnt sit well with a lot of people. During her speech, the...

Melania Trump has a Valentine’s Day tradition that involves visiting sick children

First Lady Melania Trump has a Valentines Day tradition not many people know about. For three years now, the FLOTUS spent part of the special day with patients at the Childrens Inn at the National Institutes of Health...

Science

Aliens: Scientists plan exploring other Earth-like planets in search of alien life

Space agencies all over the world continue to explore what lies beyond Earth and into the cosmos. Now, a group of scientists claims that alien life forms may exist in other exoplanets similar to that of Earth. Over the...

Asteroids: Rock traveling 48,400 mph heading towards Earth, says NASA

Another asteroid is apparently on its way towards Earth as space agency NASAs asteroid trackers have caught sight of the rock. A new report reveals how fast the asteroid is going, and whether or not it would actually...

Aliens: Extra-terrestrial hunter organization makes their data available to the public

For decades, various organizations and agencies, both public and private, have been on the search for signs of extra-terrestrials or life beyond Earth. One ET hunting organization, in particular, is asking the public for...

The ice melt in Antarctica 129,000 years ago caused a drastic increase in sea levels

Climate change is an issue that many are bringing to light and urging influential figures to make a change in the process, with activists like Greta Thunberg headlining the movement. Looking back at the cause of an extreme...

Technology

GoPro HERO8 Black: Display Mod pre-order is expected to go live soon

It has been four months since GoPro unveiled HERO8 Black, but fans of the action camera still have some things to look forward to at this point. The company has also announced mod accessories specifically designed for the...

Nintendo Switch: ‘Cooking Mama’ franchise to debut in the console next month, per video leak

As Nintendo Switch fans already now coming into 2020, there is a long list of highly anticipated games already slated to launch for the hybrid portable console. But that list keeps getting longer as more popular titles are...

Pocophone F2’s launch with top-tier Snapdragon chip is still uncertain

Consumers and the top tech enthusiasts were in unison throughout 2019 that Pocophone F2 is part of their smartphone wish list. However, Poco, as a brand, remained silent about its plans on future device launches until the...

‘NBA 2K20’ ratings update no. 5 upgrades Damian Lillard to a 94 OVR

One of the aspects of NBA 2K games that keep it the talk of the town is the changes in the players overall ratings from time to time. In the latest update, fans of Damian Lillard and Zion Williamson will be delighted as...
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