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FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 10th April 2017

Apr 10, 2017 04:37 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Australia: Home loans declined by 0.5 percent in February, investment lending for homes...

FxWirePro: Intricacies of European derivatives and valuation arguments of Bund Swap spread

Apr 07, 2017 13:12 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The ECB rhetoric has reduced expectation of an early ECB lift off but the EONIA market is still pricing 10bp of tightening by Jun18. Over the past week, swap spreads narrowed at the front while Bund and Buxl widened...

FxWirePro: EUR/PLN calls and other outright trades lure investors in CEE FX streets

Apr 07, 2017 12:07 pm UTC| Central Banks

The MPC of Polish central bank (NBP) meeting yesterday was a non-event from a rate standpoint. But it brought fresh dovish emphasis as per the market anticipation. Perhaps the CBs latest message is best summarized by...

FxWirePro: RBI surprises streets with reverse repo, more focus on inflationary outlook than INR appreciation – Futures of mid-month tenors to hedge

Apr 07, 2017 10:47 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) surprised the market slightly yesterday by hiking the reverse repo rate and raising the inflation outlook slightly for FY2017-2018. The benchmark repo was left unchanged at...

FxWirePro: Prefer USD/MXN gamma neutral calendar skews on carry-to-vols ratio and Banxico hikes

Apr 07, 2017 09:43 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Banxico hiked 25bp; we see limited MXN gains but prefer calendar skews at the current juncture. Banxico has hiked its policy rate 25bp to 6.5% and signaled a shift in gears towards a slower pace of tightening...

FxWirePro: Stay short EUR/CZK on CNB’s macro projection

Apr 07, 2017 07:16 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

EURCZK spot and forward exchange rates as well as Czech interest rates went through huge volatility yesterday after the Czech National Bank ended its EURCZK floor mechanism at an extraordinary board meeting. The EURCZK...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Antipodeans bank upon central banks, Aussie dollar edgy on commodity markets – 3-way straddles vs OTM call for optimal hedging

Apr 07, 2017 06:54 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Antipodean pair now wants to retest the 1.0800 area, which looks vulnerable to giving way to 1.0750. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 at year-end. The support to growth from migration will...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Rise as Dollar Weakens; Yen Holds Steady Amid Japan Intervention Watch

Most Asian currencies edged higher on Friday after the U.S. dollar retreated from a 13-month high following weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, raising fresh questions about the Federal Reserves interest rate...

Asian Stocks Rebound as Tech Shares Rally on Fed Rate Cut Hopes and Easing Iran Tensions

Asian stock markets rebounded sharply on Friday as investors returned to technology shares following a week of heavy selling, while easing geopolitical tensions and growing expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate...

Oil Prices Slip as Oversupply Concerns and U.S.-Iran Talks Shape Market Outlook

Oil prices edged lower on Friday as improving global crude supplies and expectations of near-term oversupply continued to pressure the market, while traders reduced bearish positions ahead of the U.S. holiday weekend....

Gold Price Today: Bullion Heads for First Weekly Gain as Weak U.S. Jobs Data Eases Rate Hike Fears

Gold prices stabilized on Friday as weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data eased concerns over additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, helping bullion recover after recently falling to an eight-month low....

China Services PMI Beats Forecasts as Strong Demand Supports June Growth

Chinas services sector expanded at a faster-than-expected pace in June, highlighting the resilience of the countrys economy despite ongoing challenges in domestic consumption. A private business survey released on Friday...

Politics

US Ambassador Prioritizes Cook Islands Critical Minerals, Warns of China’s Pacific Influence

The United States is placing greater emphasis on securing critical minerals from the Cook Islands, with newly appointed U.S. Ambassador Jared Novelly identifying the resource-rich nation as a key strategic priority while...

Air Force Investigates Officer After Capitol Protest Calling for Trump, Vance Impeachment

The U.S. Air Force has launched an investigation into an active-duty officer who publicly called for the impeachment of President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance during a protest outside the U.S. Capitol, drawing...

Venezuela Interim President Defends Earthquake Response as Death Toll Climbs

Venezuelas Interim President Delcy Rodriguez on Thursday strongly defended her governments response to the devastating earthquakes that struck the countrys northern coast, rejecting accusations that officials reacted too...

Taiwan Simulates Chinese Blockade and Invasion in Major Civil Defense Drill

Taiwan has stepped up its civil defense and military preparedness with one of its most comprehensive resilience exercises, simulating a Chinese blockade, cyberattacks, disinformation, infrastructure sabotage, a major...

US Appeals Court Limits ICE Detention Without Bond Hearings After 90 Days

A U.S. federal appeals court ruled that Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) cannot detain migrants for more than 90 days without giving them an opportunity to seek release through a bond hearing, dealing a setback to...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Tightens AI Access Controls After Reports of China-Based Workarounds

Anthropic is strengthening measures to prevent unauthorized access to its artificial intelligence services from China after discovering that several Chinese companies had allegedly bypassed its restrictions, according to a...

Kuaishou Stock Jumps as Kling AI Secures $2 Billion Funding Round

Hong Kong-listed shares of Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024) climbed more than 6% on Thursday after its spun-off artificial intelligence business, Kling AI, secured an initial $2 billion in venture capital funding to...

Meta CEO Zuckerberg Says AI Agent Development Has Slowed Despite Massive AI Investment

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) CEO Mark Zuckerberg has acknowledged that the companys progress in developing artificial intelligence (AI) agents has been slower than expected, despite Metas aggressive investment in AI...

Kioxia Bets on AI Memory Boom With Next-Gen NAND Production in Japan

Kioxia is set to mark a major milestone on Friday with a ceremony at its manufacturing facility in northern Japan as the company prepares to begin mass production of its next-generation NAND flash memory chips. The move...

OpenAI Proposes 5% U.S. Government Stake Amid AI Policy Talks

OpenAI has reportedly proposed granting the U.S. government a 5% ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company as it seeks to strengthen ties with Washington and address growing political scrutiny over the rapidly...