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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

Realized versus implied volatilities – Bullish or bearish dollar among EM FX radar

Oct 21, 2016 12:57 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Analyzing the time-varying properties of the EM FX spot-vol relationship reveals that the connection has weakened significantly over the past couple of years with the exception of the INR. In isolation, this reduces...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Is Swiss franc edgy on SNB? 1M lackluster IVs uphold the significance of USD/CHF long put ladders

Oct 21, 2016 12:23 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

It is not too hard to draw parallels between the size of the BoJ and the SNBs balance sheets, and hence the potential constraints on the SNBs FX policy which amounts to a soft floor in EURCHF. Its noteworthy that this...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY 1m IVs shrink but bearish hedging sentiments mounting that signifies conducive chance for option writers in reverse put spreads

Oct 21, 2016 09:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Fundamental updates: We will not find out what will happen next to the ECBs asset purchasing program until 8th December. ECB President Mario Draghi made that clear yesterday. He wants to wait for the results presented...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Slash long JPY exposure against USD but optimize CAD/JPY hedging portfolio with credit put spreads

Oct 21, 2016 07:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The JPY exposure has foundered on the combination of higher US bond yields which JGBs have been unable to follow courtesy of the BoJs cap and lower US election risk. The rather weak US data of the last few days cautions...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Cable options expressions capitalizing on risk reversal adjustments

Oct 20, 2016 13:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

In our recent posts, weve emphasized the significance of the GBP risk reversal expressions precisely both for short-term as well as long-term basis. GBP weakness is at the forefront of G10 FX markets as Brexit politics...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Construct USD/CNH seagull structure as Chinese economy grows but tight property policies due to bubble in the industry

Oct 20, 2016 13:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

TheChinese economy grew 6.7% YoY in Q3 2016, in line with market expectation. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the economy grew 1.8% QoQ in Q3, the same as last quarter. Activity data also remained stable in general....

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: S.Africa's political distress, inflation beyond SARB’s projection pump up ZAR OTC FX turbulence – Yields on USD/ZAR spread appears to be imminent

Oct 20, 2016 12:02 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

A glance at the implied 3-month volatilities illustrates the whole crux of the matter: at 19.9% ZAR is the currency with the highest volatility at present among G20 FX space. The volatility of the rand is the expression...

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Economy

South Korea Central Bank Signals Inflation Concerns as Oil Prices Surge

South Koreas central bank is expected to place greater emphasis on inflation control after rising global oil prices triggered concerns that inflation could move above the Bank of Koreas 2% target. The warning came from...

Norway Core Inflation Hits 3.2% in April, Fueling Interest Rate Hike Expectations

Norways annual core inflation rate climbed to 3.2% in April, reinforcing expectations that the countrys central bank could maintain higher interest rates for a longer period. The latest figures, released by Statistics...

Goldman Sachs Delays Fed Rate Cut Forecast to 2026 Amid Rising Inflation Concerns

Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, now expecting reductions in December 2026 and March 2027 instead of the previously projected September and December 2026 cuts. The...

ECB Signals Possible Interest Rate Move if Inflation Outlook Fails to Improve

European Central Bank (ECB) governing council member Martin Kocher signaled that the ECB may soon need to adjust interest rates if inflation in the eurozone does not show meaningful improvement. His comments, published...

Indian Stock Market Drops as Iran Conflict Fuels Oil Price and Inflation Fears

Indian stock markets opened sharply lower on Monday as investors reacted to growing concerns over the economic fallout from the escalating Middle East conflict and rising crude oil prices. The Nifty 50 index declined 1.2%...

Politics

US Auto Industry Urges Trump to Block Chinese EV Market Access

As President Donald Trump prepares for a high-profile meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, pressure is mounting from U.S. automakers, lawmakers, unions, and manufacturers urging the administration to keep Chinese...

Trump-Xi Summit Sparks Renewed Hope for Americans Detained in China

Families of two Americans imprisoned in China for more than a decade are urging U.S. President Donald Trump to raise their cases during his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The detainees, Dawn Michelle Hunt and...

Trump Rejects Iran Proposal as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Pushes Oil Prices Higher

Oil prices surged Monday after former U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Irans latest response to a U.S.-backed peace proposal, raising fears that the ongoing Middle East conflict could intensify and further disrupt...

Taiwan Confident in Strong U.S. Relations Ahead of Trump-Xi China Summit

Taiwan Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung said Monday that Taipei remains confident in the stable growth of Taiwan-U.S. relations as U.S. President Donald Trump prepares for a high-profile visit to China this week. Trump is...

Netanyahu Signals Plan to End Reliance on U.S. Military Aid Within 10 Years

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel aims to gradually eliminate its dependence on U.S. military assistance over the next decade while expanding strategic partnerships with Gulf nations. In an interview...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Nintendo Shares Tumble as Weak Forecast and Rising Switch 2 Costs Worry Investors

Nintendo shares plunged on Monday after the Japanese gaming giant posted annual earnings that missed analyst expectations and issued a weaker-than-expected outlook for the current fiscal year. The disappointing forecast...

AI-Driven Inflation Raises U.S. Consumer Prices, Goldman Sachs Says

Artificial intelligence is starting to increase U.S. consumer prices through rising costs in electronics, software, and electricity, according to a new Goldman Sachs report. The investment bank said AI-related inflation...

Judge Delays SEC Settlement With Elon Musk Over Twitter Stock Disclosure Case

A federal judge has declined to immediately approve a proposed $1.5 million settlement between Elon Musk and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) tied to Musks 2022 Twitter stock purchase disclosures. The...

Broadcom Eyes $35 Billion AI Chip Financing Deal With Apollo and Blackstone

Broadcom Inc. is reportedly in discussions with Apollo Global Management and Blackstone Inc. to secure around $35 billion in financing for its expanding artificial intelligence chip business, according to a Bloomberg...

Dell Stock Hits Record High After Trump Endorsement, AI Server Demand Fuels Rally

Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DELL) surged to an all-time high on Friday after receiving a public endorsement from President Donald Trump during a White House event. The president encouraged Americans to go out and buy...