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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Construct AUD/USD calendar combinations ahead of Aussie CPI and RBA on hedging grounds as 1m IV skews move in sync with risk reversals

Oct 25, 2016 07:33 am UTC| Commentary

The stakes are high this week. A big shift in the trajectory of inflation in Australia would threaten both our view that the market will not move to price in hikes into the OIS strip, and that the AUD remains capped, with...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Uphold USD/SGD low premium call flies due to MAS NEER mechanism

Oct 24, 2016 13:58 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

Singapore dollar tumbled to 7-months lows to 1.3959 levels on disappointing growth flashes and the dovish tone of MAS. Q3 GDP grew by slower than anticipated at 0.6%. Following the MAS announcement, the Singapore dollar...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Expect bullish dollar amid mixed bag of US data - Positioning dollar strength via call flies in CAD

Oct 24, 2016 13:11 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

The recent data flow is mixed, but Fed hike by year-end remains likely. Some softer news on core inflation and jobless claims. The housing recovery likely to continue and we still have hope for factory sector improvement....

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/AUD 1m ATM IVs likely to take off owing to RBA and ECB’s QE – Deploy option strips as IV skews indicate OTM strikes significance

Oct 24, 2016 11:41 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

It was more than obvious that the ECB would extend its QE programme beyond March 2017. As a result it did not seem necessary to mention in great detail that ECB President Mario Draghi indicated just that. It seemed...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/CNH hits 5-1/2 year highs owing to PBoC currency mechanism – Uphold call spreads and seagull structures on hedging radar

Oct 24, 2016 09:45 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

The PBoC set USDCNY fixing rate at 6.7690 this morning, higher than our estimation at 6.7640. Afterward, USDCNY striked at 6.7747, the highest since 2010 when the CNH market was launched. Data compiled by SAFE showed...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Can RBA defer easing cycle ahead of Aussie CPI, how to improve AUD/NZD hedging odds in reverse spread?

Oct 24, 2016 07:19 am UTC| Research & Analysis

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CBRT’s status quo cushions momentary gains in Lira, Rosy times to deploy “USD/TRY Credit Call Spreads”

Oct 21, 2016 13:12 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Turkish lira rallied yesterday after CBT surprised markets by keeping rates on hold at its MPC meeting. But as the pair rallied today, the last weeks gains are almost wiped off when the dollar looked good today...

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Economy

South Korea Central Bank Signals Inflation Concerns as Oil Prices Surge

South Koreas central bank is expected to place greater emphasis on inflation control after rising global oil prices triggered concerns that inflation could move above the Bank of Koreas 2% target. The warning came from...

Norway Core Inflation Hits 3.2% in April, Fueling Interest Rate Hike Expectations

Norways annual core inflation rate climbed to 3.2% in April, reinforcing expectations that the countrys central bank could maintain higher interest rates for a longer period. The latest figures, released by Statistics...

Goldman Sachs Delays Fed Rate Cut Forecast to 2026 Amid Rising Inflation Concerns

Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, now expecting reductions in December 2026 and March 2027 instead of the previously projected September and December 2026 cuts. The...

ECB Signals Possible Interest Rate Move if Inflation Outlook Fails to Improve

European Central Bank (ECB) governing council member Martin Kocher signaled that the ECB may soon need to adjust interest rates if inflation in the eurozone does not show meaningful improvement. His comments, published...

Indian Stock Market Drops as Iran Conflict Fuels Oil Price and Inflation Fears

Indian stock markets opened sharply lower on Monday as investors reacted to growing concerns over the economic fallout from the escalating Middle East conflict and rising crude oil prices. The Nifty 50 index declined 1.2%...

Politics

US Auto Industry Urges Trump to Block Chinese EV Market Access

As President Donald Trump prepares for a high-profile meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, pressure is mounting from U.S. automakers, lawmakers, unions, and manufacturers urging the administration to keep Chinese...

Trump-Xi Summit Sparks Renewed Hope for Americans Detained in China

Families of two Americans imprisoned in China for more than a decade are urging U.S. President Donald Trump to raise their cases during his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The detainees, Dawn Michelle Hunt and...

Trump Rejects Iran Proposal as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Pushes Oil Prices Higher

Oil prices surged Monday after former U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Irans latest response to a U.S.-backed peace proposal, raising fears that the ongoing Middle East conflict could intensify and further disrupt...

Taiwan Confident in Strong U.S. Relations Ahead of Trump-Xi China Summit

Taiwan Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung said Monday that Taipei remains confident in the stable growth of Taiwan-U.S. relations as U.S. President Donald Trump prepares for a high-profile visit to China this week. Trump is...

Netanyahu Signals Plan to End Reliance on U.S. Military Aid Within 10 Years

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel aims to gradually eliminate its dependence on U.S. military assistance over the next decade while expanding strategic partnerships with Gulf nations. In an interview...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Nintendo Shares Tumble as Weak Forecast and Rising Switch 2 Costs Worry Investors

Nintendo shares plunged on Monday after the Japanese gaming giant posted annual earnings that missed analyst expectations and issued a weaker-than-expected outlook for the current fiscal year. The disappointing forecast...

AI-Driven Inflation Raises U.S. Consumer Prices, Goldman Sachs Says

Artificial intelligence is starting to increase U.S. consumer prices through rising costs in electronics, software, and electricity, according to a new Goldman Sachs report. The investment bank said AI-related inflation...

Judge Delays SEC Settlement With Elon Musk Over Twitter Stock Disclosure Case

A federal judge has declined to immediately approve a proposed $1.5 million settlement between Elon Musk and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) tied to Musks 2022 Twitter stock purchase disclosures. The...

Broadcom Eyes $35 Billion AI Chip Financing Deal With Apollo and Blackstone

Broadcom Inc. is reportedly in discussions with Apollo Global Management and Blackstone Inc. to secure around $35 billion in financing for its expanding artificial intelligence chip business, according to a Bloomberg...

Dell Stock Hits Record High After Trump Endorsement, AI Server Demand Fuels Rally

Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DELL) surged to an all-time high on Friday after receiving a public endorsement from President Donald Trump during a White House event. The president encouraged Americans to go out and buy...