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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: RBNZ's steady real rates to favor option writers, NZD/JPY short leg on overpriced calls in collar spreads to render economic hedging

Mar 22, 2017 11:15 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

RBNZ monetary policy is scheduled on 23rd March where OCR would be decided. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 against the USD and below 72.620 level at year-end, falling real rates and tightening...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Diagonal Credit Call Spreads to hedge USD/TRY’s momentary dips on Fed and CBT’s tipoffs

Mar 20, 2017 12:27 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

CBT holds its March rate in the recent meeting: we do not expect the Turkish CB to raise its benchmark repo rate from 8%. CBT is unlikely to touch any other rate either, besides the late liquidity lending rate, which we...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedging European political risk - Buy EUR/JPY 3m one-touch vanilla

Mar 20, 2017 06:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The FX euro vol market is complacent compared to the bond market, seeing the resilient 10y OAT-Bund spread. This relief offers an attractive entry point to hedge a large euro downside move via options. The 3m downside skew...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Buying cheap downside vega amid French election

Mar 17, 2017 12:31 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

FX volatility is easing off following the March Fed hike and the reduction in political risk, following the defeat of the populist candidate in the Netherlands and a wider bookmakers spread between Macron and Le Pen (refer...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Does Riksbank impede Swedish Krona’s appreciation? Stay short via vanilla puts to arrest EUR/SEK’s downside risks

Mar 17, 2017 11:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The structural case for SEK appreciation remains intact the real effective exchange rate is 10-11% below its long-term average despite an economy that has a positive output gap and which continues to deliver above-trend...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY implied vols regime – Positively skewed 2m IVs conducive for OTM put holders

Mar 17, 2017 07:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the 2m implied volatilities of GBPJPY are spiking above 10.60% ahead of above-mentioned data events, while positively skewed IVs signifies the hedging interests in OTM put strikes. In spite of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY “Diagonal Option Strips” for vol convexity and major data events

Mar 17, 2017 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Data schedules: In theUK: House of Lords on Brexit bill. Article 50 invoked (mid-end-March). SNP conference Mar17-18. Brexit talks. CPI (Mar 21), retail sales (Mar 23), foreign Gilt flows (Mar 29), PMI (manufacturing...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Binance Reassures Filipino Users Amid SEC App Removal Request, Urges Balanced Review by Google and Apple

Following recent regulatory proceedings by the Philippine Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Binance has finally published a statement to its users regarding the removal request for its app from the Google Play...

Shiba Inu Announces Shibarium Hardfork: New Capabilities Teased, SHIB Price Jumps 3.2%

Shiba Inu has announced a transformative hardfork for its Shibarium platform, set for May 2, promising enhanced features and a surge in SHIBs price by 3.2% in response to the news. Shibarium Hardfork Set for May 2:...

Qualcomm Responds to Snapdragon X Elite Benchmark Cheating Claims

Qualcomm has responded to the serious allegations that it cheated on performance benchmarks for its Snapdragon X Elite and Plus chips, targeting competition with leading laptop processors. According to Toms Hardware,...

Japanese Yen Hits Record Low As Bitcoin Surges Globally

In a stunning financial shift, the Japanese yen has reached a 34-year low against Bitcoin, which also hit all-time highs in 14 countries, fueled by optimism surrounding new spot Bitcoin ETFs. Yen Hits 34-Year Low as...

Worldcoin Targets OpenAI Alliance, Faces Scrutiny Amid Regulatory Challenges

Worldcoin, a digital identification innovator, is eyeing a partnership with OpenAI despite facing regulatory scrutiny and data privacy concerns. The collaboration aims to bolster its technological advancements and market...